Friday’s Forum
Steven L. Taylor
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Friday, July 7, 2023
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23 comments
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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More good news on the green energy front:
This cloud tho, comes with a silver lining:
I don’t speak emoji. I could be in trouble.
I wonder how long it will take to sort this out.
For some reason The Hill keeps publishing the enthusiastic gushings of one Marik von Rennenkampff, a UFO true believer. I suppose it’s just for the clicks? But she’s (he?) an absolute encapsulation of the stereotypical alien conspiracy nut. “There are important people who say there are aliens!” or rather “Important people who say there are secret investigations into aliens!” OK, let’s hear what these people have to say. “Well, we can’t because they are secret whistleblowers! They are anonymous!” Okay, so if you don’t know who they are and what positions they hold, how do you know they are important and credible? “Marco Rubio told us!”
Sheesh.
Court ruling could overturn federal control of the National Guard
Bottom line: This undermines national readiness standards for the National Guard and leaves an important component of our defense establishment at the whims of state governors.
There’s a new erectile dysfunction drug, you, ah, hmmm, rub it on.
@Scott: This is just kooky. The national government pays their salary but can’t have a say in who serves or their readiness?
@Scott: OK. No more money for you.
@MarkedMan: Yeah, I see this getting overturned soon.
@Scott: Ron DeUseless went to a lot of trouble and expense to reactivate the old Florida Guard so he’d have a paramilitary independent of the Feds. If Abbott makes this National Guard thing work that’ll sure put him one up on DeSantis.
Kevin Drum had some fun with a survey saying inflation expectations are low. It said the average American thinks a year from now inflation will be down to 4%. Drum thinks that’s a pretty safe assumption as the current year-to-year number is 4.1. Over at Balloon Juice Anne Laurie notes the success of Bidenomics and quotes Matt Yglesias accusing Biden of lying. Biden says inflation’s down to 4. Yglesias cites a private analyst saying 2.11. (I assume that’s current while the 4.1 number is the usually cited, and misleading, year-over-year.)
On aviation news, some weeks ago a judge declared the American Airlines and JetBlue Northeastern Alliance to be illegal, and ordered it dissolved.
Airline alliances are complex things. The gist here is if a customer in, say, Denver, were looking for a flight to Madrid, they could book it on JetBlue on a single ticket. The actual flight would be Denver to JFK on a JetBlue plane, and then to Madrid on an AA plane.
Of course, the same customer could do the same with Delta, flying first to atlanta on Delta, and then to Madrid on Delta. or with United through Newark. AA needed an alliance, because they don’t have many domestic flights to JFK to feed their overseas flights (they have tons of flights to LaGuardia, though, but that’s not as useful in connecting at another airport).
In any case, the alliance is off and being wound down.
The thing is AA is appealing the decision, even without a stay of the dissolution order pending appeal. But JetBlue isn’t joining it.
Why? Because they’re more interested in acquiring Spirit, and they’re already fighting with the DOJ over that one. It seems reasonable to limit their involvement in antitrust lawsuits.
Both the AA appeal and the JetBlue fights will take a while. If AA wins, they may find JetBlue no longer interested (unlikely), but they could form an alliance with a different airline (though by my count this leaves them just Southwest and Frontier).
Since the unhinged and unpopular Trump is trailing Biden in the polls, and the charisma-free DeSantis is trailing Trump in the polls, when does coverage of Drama Queen Donnie and Ron DeFascist start to focus daily on their shrillness and lack of likeability?
Or do we reserve the constant “likeability” think pieces for women candidates only?
@Sleeping Dog:
Well, I suppose one could commission one’s spouse or partner to do the rubbing. Might be fun.
The headline of the day (or month or year)- Women made to strip in Kenyan cheese factory over sanitary towel in bin
@OzarkHillbilly:
When in doubt you cannot go wrong with the non-committal sequence of eggplant, droplets, peach. Suitable for all occasions, from the most casual to the most formal.
Just wanted to put this on record so I can rub the noses of those who ridiculously want Manchin gone. Which is a total certainty since Jim Judge (ex Dem) is way ahead in the polls and if he tips the Senate to Republican you idiots will be on call to swallow your bschite.
You’re friggin morons as Mr. Reynolds has pointed out numerous times in forgetting without power (i.e. holding office) we can’t pass legislation.
You think Manchin is bad DK for giving out goodies to billionaires? Just wait till Jim Judge replaces him. And as another wisely opined, goodbye SCOTUS Jackson, IRA, Infrastructure investment with GOP Senate.
This blog is full of erudite, sometimes brilliant commentary. An educated, literate crowd who I immensely enjoy reading. Which means we can sometimes be detached from the reality that 90% (or more) of Americans lack this sophistication and well informed punditry.
But many of them do VOTE and it seems a blind spot with many here is we don’t see things they way they do, hence demonization of Manchin for voting against what HIS constituents would quite rightly perceive as a far left choice for the court.
If any of you think electing Republican Jim Judge is preferable to a Democrat you find odious, well everyone is entitled to one f*uck up
@The Q: In fairness, “Manchin is a right tool and he disgusts me” is not the same thing as “I hope Manchin loses” which is not the same thing as “Manchin sold his soul and prevented us from getting a bunch of good stuff and the dumb bastard still isn’t going to win his reelection”. Only the middle one qualifies as a stupid thing. The other two are just plain observation.
Latest in an ongoing series!
UK opinion poll, YouGov Westminster voting intention (5-6 July)
Con: 22% (-2 from 27-28 Jun)
Lab: 47% (+1)
Lib Dem: 9% (-1)
Reform UK: 9% (+1)
Green: 7% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)
INJECT ME!
If this is even close to the actual voting next year, the Conservative Party are going to get hammered into the ground like tent-pegs. 🙂
There’s a nice little sequence of by-elections coming up in late July as well.
Fun for all the family; as long as none of said family are Tories.
I know attorneys are obligated to proffer a “zealous defense” of their client, but this is beyond BS:
I also know in a lawsuit, the plaintiff carries the burden of proof. That means it was necessary for Rudy to appear in court with enough evidence to make his case. Either he knew there was no evidence, and therefore was acting fraudulently at court, or he went to court, and billed his client*, knowing full well he’s going to lose, which also strikes me as fraudulent and unethical.
Seriously, imagine a lawyer whose whole case is “my client assures me this is so.”
*Yes, I know this particular client would never pay him, but that’s not the point.
Bit of good news for Friday: the US has finished destroying the last of its chemical weapons stockpile
The world is officially ‘free’ of chemical weapons. Here’s what that means
@The Q:
You think Manchin is a good guy for giving out goodies to billionaires, The Q? You think Jim Judge being terrible automatically makes Manchin not a bad guy?
I’m not following your logic. Two people can both be bad. People can want bad guys to win for strategic reasons.
The OTB commentariat has a 0% effect on whether or not West Virginia voters will re-elect Joe Manchin next year. If complaints about Joe Manchin’s corruption had an effect on West Virginia voters, he would have lost a long time ago.
If every Democratic voter in the country wanted Joe Manchin to win, he probably would still lose. If every Democratic voter in the country wanted Joe Mansion to lose, he would probably still lose and it still wouldn’t have anything to do with them.
@The Q: Hands up — how many commenters here actually vote in West Virginia?
Let’s see… I count… zero.
So unless you’ve decided that the commentariat on this little blog have tremendous power over the voting habits of West Virgnina’s citizenry, all you’re doing is screaming about how much smarter you are than everyone else over a matter of complete inconsequence.
Have you ever wondered why people cross the street when they see you coming?
Huh. My delightfully pithy response to the Q showed up twice, and since I can’t actually delete one, I’m replacing it here with this explanation…