Least Shocking Assertion of the Day

Memeorandum is abuzz with the following ABC story:   Sarah Palin Says She Could Beat Obama (indeed, it is sufficiently big news that the BBC went all international on the story:  Palin says she could beat Obama).

The startling revelation comes from an interview with Barbara Walters:

Asked Walters: "If you ran for president, could you beat Barack Obama?"

"I believe so," Palin said.

And did anyone expect her to say anything other than that?  Since it is pretty obvious that she is considering a run doesn’t that, by definition, mean that she thinks she has a shot at winning?

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2012, Quick Takes, US Politics
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter

Comments

  1. Andyman says:

    “Since it is pretty obvious that she is considering a run doesn’t that, by definition, mean that she thinks she has a shot at winning?”

    Not in the least. It may very well mean that she thinks the publicity of losing will help her celebrity-pundit career more than sitting on the sidelines. All the media criticism she racks up will help with the martyrdom narrative as well.

  2. john personna says:

    I saw that clip on Morning Joe. Her words were yes, her tone was no. In fact the tone was striking. A little funny, but in the end, sad.

  3. Andyman says:

    The dissonance in her tone is because she dreads the thought that she might actually win. It would be a terrible experience for her, and she knows it: remember, she had to get out of Juneau after a couple years because running Alaska left her too bogged down in obligations.

    Palin’s already exactly where she wants to be in life. Parachuting into media-ready events, scripted banter in prime time, a podium to criticize without any accountability, etc. Unfortunately for her, being a fringe politician means going through the motions of desiring a more ambitious role. Otherwise her celebrity wattage plummets. So we’ll be treated to this faux campaign where she’ll try to rack up a primary win or two to assuage her ego and then be more than content to bow out and claim a kingmaker role.

  4. Thanks heavens the PDS carriers have been heard from.

    I shudder to think what life would be like without their broken record and facile, out-of-touch commentary.

  5. mantis says:

    There is no way she would answer that question any other way, considering she has a book coming out in a couple of days. Gotta keep people dangling so they’ll stay interested and buy her book!

    Here’s my prediction: there’s no way she’s running for president. TV/Internet celebrity pays much more, requires no responsibility or tough decision making, and is all she really wanted anyway.

  6. TG Chicago says:

    Actually, I think many politicians would answer something along the lines of “that’s for the American people to decide”. So it’s at least a little surprising she didn’t go that route. Can’t say it’s all that big a deal, though.

    (if Obama dared to say that he could beat Palin, the right would go nuts saying how entitled/smug/arrogant he is)

  7. An Interested Party says:

    “I shudder to think what life would be like without their broken record and facile, out-of-touch commentary.”

    Indeed, just like how life woul be without those who suffer from ODS…

    “(if Obama dared to say that he could beat Palin, the right would go nuts saying how entitled/smug/arrogant he is)”

    And everyone else could note how he was simply telling the truth…

  8. […] in 2012, a not surprising assertion from someone who’s thinking of running for President as my co-blogger Steven Taylor noted. Anyway, yesterday, Joe Biden was on MSNBC’s Morning Joe and, well, here’s his […]