Trump and Latino Republicans?

One poll says he is doing well with Latino Republicans (via the NY Post):

Despite his controversial comments about Mexican immigrants, GOP frontrunner Donald Trump is the favorite among Latino Republicans, according to new polling results revealed to The Post.

Thirty eight percent favor Trump, followed by Cuban American Ted Cruz (15 percent), Jeb Bush (14 percent) and Cuban American Marco Rubio (8 percent), according to the national poll conducted by the Beck Research for the American Federation for Children.

One the one hand, one would think that Cruz and Rubio would be doing better than they are with this demographic and that Trump’s statements about Mexicans would be more damaging.  However, I would note that these numbers are not that far off from polling on general GOP support for the various candidates, and hence not all that surprising.

Here is the info on the survey (with which I am unfamiliar):

The poll was conducted Jan. 19-24 and surveyed 1,100 likely voters. The survey of general election voters was conducted to survey school choice, and found 70 percent of Americans favor it, with even stronger support for education options among Hispanics and young people.

In looking at the poll report itself, there is no mention of candidate preference, but focuses on the poll’s main emphasis:  school vouchers.  Hence, I am not sure exactly was was “revealed to The Post.”

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Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter


  1. humanoid.panda says:

    There is also the issue that any general survey of Republican voters would have a tiny sample of Latinos. GIGO.

  2. Ron Beasley says:

    I guess my question would be what percentage of those “Latinos” are Cuban – an entirely different demographic.

  3. @Ron Beasley: Well, not entirely different, but a significant subset of hispanic overall, to be sure.

    Even so, though, you would like Rubio and Cruz would be higher with that group.

  4. Davebo says:

    @Steven L. Taylor: I’m not so certain.

    Cubans don’t vote as a block as they used to. I blame mortality.

  5. @Davebo: Generational change has clearly changed the Cuban demo. However, they do tend to still be distinct from the general Latino population.

  6. Andre Kenji says:

    Trump has more similarities with Latin American Politicians in the right than Establishment Republicans have. Conservatives in Latin America don´t want to privatize the whole government nor they wan´t to end government support to people.

  7. M. Bouffant says:

    Of course that did appear in Murdoch’s N.Y. Post, so it should be taken w/ two grains of salt.

    And I can tell you that many non-Cuban Hispanics/Latinos do not generally like Cubans, mostly from resentment of the special treatment that Cuban refugees, most of them middle-class or better & often reactionary racists* of strictly European descent, received from various U.S. administrations while people attempting to flee actual violence & terror in Central America weren’t given the free passes Cubans got.

    *A woman I worked w/ many yrs. ago, a Cuban refugee, once referred to “those Mexicans with their ugly Indian faces.” Nice, huh?

  8. M. Bouffant says:

    @M. Bouffant: It would also be interesting to know how many Latino Republicans are of Cuban extraction.

    Added: Said Ron Beasley earlier …