About that Skipping NH Strategy…
There was some discussion about whether indications that the Perry, Bachmann, and Gingrich campaigns were looking to SC and possibly skipping NH were, as I called it, “signs of doom” for the candidates in question as well as a question about whether there was a viable strategy to be pursued after poor showings in IA and NH.
Well, we already have a partial answer: Bachmann has suspended her campaign and Perry is in “reassessment” mode (although he is apparently going to campaign in SC and so will really test the skipping hypothesis).
So yes: poor showings on IA matter as will a poor showing in NH for anyone who stays in to that point. There will be more winnowing after NH.
So far, there is no evidence to support the contention that skipping forward to SC (rhetorically or otherwise) is either a) a good sign for a campaign or b) even a viable option.
Granted, there are more observations to be made on this question.