Markey Has Huge Lead In New Massachusetts Senate Poll

With the Massachusetts Special Election to fill John Kerry’s Senate seat headed into its final weekend, Congressman Ed Markey seems well-positioned for victory:

Rep. Ed Markey (D) has opened up a big lead going into Tuesday’s Massachusetts special Senate election, according to a new poll.

The UMass-Lowell/Boston Herald poll shows Markey with a 20-point lead on Republican Gabriel Gomez. He leads 56 percent to 36 percent.

For much of the race, Markey has held a single-digit lead, according to most polls.

A Boston Globe poll last week showed Markey opening a double-digit lead, as did a poll from GOP automated pollster Harper Polling. Polls from Gomez’s campaign and another GOP pollster showed it remained a competitive race.

But this is the first time a poll has suggested the race is essentially over.

Another poll, from Emerson College, shows Markey with a ten point lead [PDF].

The RealClearPolitics polling average, which includes the Boston Herald poll but not the Emerson College at the moment, puts Markey ahead by 11.4 points. Unless all of these polls are viewing the probable turnout next Tuesday incorrectly, it seems that Markey is going to win this thing quite easily.

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Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug Mataconis held a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010 and contributed a staggering 16,483 posts before his retirement in January 2020. He passed far too young in July 2021.


  1. al-Ameda says:

    I know that Markey is fairly well-respected in Massachusetts, but Gomez must really be a stiff.

    On the other hand, in the non-reality based GOP conservative world, Breitbart is reporting that Markey is up by only 3%.

    A new poll of the Massachusetts U.S. Senate race released by GOP pollster John McLaughlin shows that Republican Gabriel Gomez is trailing by only three points behind his Democratic challenger, Ed Markey. The election is this coming Tuesday and the spread is 47% – 44% in favor or Markey.

  2. Caj says:

    Surely to God the people of Massachusetts aren’t dumb enough to vote in another Republican idiot! Haven’t we got enough of them across the country as it is? Markey should win, if not by some unforeseen act of God, all I can say is Massachusetts will get what they deserve!!

  3. Neil Hudelson says:


  4. Cass Bingham says:

    There is no way that newcomer Gomez will win this election. He sides with the NRA and with Big Oil. And he made his fortune exactly the way Mitt Romney made his. A new kind of Republican? I don’t think so!!