Trump and Utah
No state voted more heavily for the GOP presidential nominee in 2012 than Utah. And in 2008, it was the third-most Republican state in the union.
A new poll shows that Donald Trump is tied with Hillary Clinton in Utah.
We’re not quite saying, of course, that Utah is a tossup or that Trump is in real trouble in the ruby-red state — or even that it portends trouble for Trump in the 2016 presidential race, more broadly. There are plenty of factors at work here that are unique to Utah and the poll (which we will get to).
But it’s also hard to overemphasize how unthinkable it is for a Republican — any Republican — to be tied in Utah in any poll.
Currently Johnson is polling at 13% with Trump and Clinton at 35% each (which leaves 17% not accounted for in those numbers). Without a doubt a lot of the undecided support, and almost certainly a chunk of the Johnson support will swing to Trump and he will carry the state. Still, for such a heavily Republican state, Utah does not appear to care for Trump very much.