Reid/Angle Race Now Statistical Dead Heat
The Senate race between Majority Leader Harry Reid and Tea Party conservative Sharron Angle is essentially a tie:
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is creeping forward and now is nearly tied with Republican Sharron Angle in his bid for reelection in Nevada.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada finds Angle with 46% support, while Reid earns 43% of the vote. Six percent (6%) like some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) remain undecided.
This is Reid’s best showing all year and follows a visit by President Obama to the state to help his campaign.
Reid has also been trying to raise doubts about Angle and a solid plurality of voters now have negative perceptions of both candidates. Reid is viewed Very Favorably by just 26% of Nevada voters and Very Unfavorably by 48%. For Angle, Very Favorables are 18% and Very Unfavorables are 39%.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Nevada was conducted on July 12, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
This is a significant drop from a previous Rasmussen poll that had Angle with an 11 point lead over Reid, and suggests that Reid’s negative campaign, along with Angle’s well-documented gaffes, is starting to work.
If I had to call this race today, I’d say the odds favor Reid winning re-election.