Giuliani Overtakes McCain as GOP Frontrunner

I’ve just received an email from the folks at the political stock market Intrade with the subject: “Intrade Political Newsflash – Giuliani Has Just Overtaken McCain as Frontrunner for GOP Nomination!”

I couldn’t find a link online to the data [Update: LINK], but the email included this nifty graph of the trading results:

Intrade Giuliani Has Just Overtaken McCain

Then again, regular OTB readers know this is old news:

For those who missed that one (for shame!) I reiterated it more recently:

I’m still not convinced that either man will emerge as the nominee but I agree with Michael Brandon McClellan that Giuliani has alienated the base less, despite almost certainly being further from them ideologically, than McCain.

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James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is Professor and Department Head of Security Studies at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm veteran. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.


  1. Rodney Dill says:

    Talk about peaking too early.

  2. Rodney,

    That sometimes happens to a man of a certain age.

  3. MSS says:

    Uh, can you say “margin of error”?