Iowa Caucus Results – Huckabee, Obama Win
Drudge has the following results from the Iowa Caucuses:
RESULTS:
Clinton 0; Obama 0; Edwards 0
Huckabee 0; Romney 0; McCain 0; Paul 0; Thompson 0; Giuliani 0
Developing . . .
UPDATE (2049): CNN’s Bill Schneider reports, “The first wave of our entrance polling is showing us what we expected in both fields. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are in a tight race on the GOP side and Hillary Clinton is holding a narrow edge over Barack Obama and John Edwards on the Democratic side.”
ABC News has it Edwards 33%, Clinton 32%, and Obama 32% and Huckabee 36%,
Romney 23%, Thompson 15%, McCain 12%, and Paul 11% with 15 percent of the precincts in.
UPDATE (2055): Fox News (TV, no link) projects Huckabee the Republican winner “by a wide margin.”
UPDATE (2148): ABC News reports Obama 37%, Edwards and Clinton 30% with 86 percent of precincts in. Not unreasonably, they project Obama as the winner. For the GOP, it’s Huckabee 34%, Romney 25%, Thompson 14%, McCain 13%, and Paul 10% with 66 percent in.
For Ron Paul supporters, the good news is that he came in ahead of Giuliani. But it’s still fifth place.
UPDATE (2213): With 94 percent and 66 percent of the precincts in for the Democrats and Republicans, respectively, the above percentages continue to hold.
UPDATE (2220): At 95 and 78, the only noteworthy change is that McCain and Thompson have swapped places. They’re separated by a mere 36 votes, so we’ll likely not know who finishes in third place until morning.
UPDATE (0540): Final:
The big MO is for Ron Paul.
We were told by the national press that he wasn’t registering in the polls or at best he had 2 to 4 %. 0 to 11% in two days is forward momentum.
But most of his “momentum” seems to have come out of Duncan Hunter’s support, and that’s not going to get him very far. Unless Paul can swing voters away from one of the top or even middle candidates, he’s still at the bottom.
Ah, forget RP. The story in the next few days is going to be the GOP’s collective aneurysm from trying to figure out how to deal with a strong Huckster showing.
Speaking of which, I love that the attack ad he made, and then publicized by showing it to the press & telling them he wasn’t going to run it, actually ran in Iowa. Anyone who buys his line about being a “moral Christian alternative” probably still believes in the Easter Bunny, too. What a slime.
Forget Huckster. He’s a flash in the pan. As Romney so helpfully points out, Huck has neither the money nor the organization to carry his campaign much further. Plus, he’s polling at about 10% in New Hampshire.
I’m afraid Pastor Mike has had his fifteen minutes of fame. I hope he enjoyed his first (and only) appearance on the Leno show.
Given his rather amazing win in Iowa — due to the fact that 3/5 of the people who showed up at the GOP caucus were evangelicals, and they voted for him practially in lockstep — he may do better in NH than Len thinks. But it may not make any difference in any case — the next one after that is South Carolina, and it starts to look as though that primary may backfire in its long-assigned function as the GOP Establishment’s way to stop Republican insurgents. He’s already leading solidly in the polls there.
For the benefit of Republicans, let me gleefully note (1) tonight’s cover photo on the NY Times blog earlier tonight of Huckabee caucus attenders praying with ecastatic eyes-closed grimaces while holding candles, and (2) Noam Scheiber’s New Republic story on what motivates Huckabee voters ( http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=4f9f81cf-f31d-40cf-b2a2-0b2b1432db62 ). The GOP’s masterminds should have been a lot more careful about playing the religious card — at this point, they seem to be in the position of the Sorcerer’s Apprentice.
Huckabee is almost as irritating as John Edwards. Hopefully he’ll spend whatever money he does have and then swiftly go back home.
and it’s always the the guy who believes in change, the change from slime to monkey, from monkey to man, from man to donkey calling some one else a slime and belittling their beliefs.
Oh, and did you get a load of the victory speech Slickwilly Jr. gave. spurt spurt spurt…….
Obama’s highly poised, Presidential-sounding speech seemed to be the anti-scream. If Hillary does not win NH the Dems could wrap up quickly after Feb 5.
Is there a way to spin positively for the GOP the fact that Dem turnout was double the Republican turnout? And if that trend plays out in NH — which pummeled Republicans in 2006 — does that mean McCain now loses votes to the Obamwagon?
Huckabee is not the candidate that generally appeals much in NH, but he does have one thing going for him-he is very personable in person, and Iowa and New Hampshire are very much about face to face contact.
I do think his biggest problem is lack of money, but maybe the win in Iowa will help him in that quarter.
I wonder if in the end Guliani will regret not trying harder in Iowa or New Hampshire-while he has lots of money-big losses in both states may make him lose any momentum in the states he did concentrate on.