Mitt Romney Competitive In Alabama?
After Tuesday’s results from Georgia, Oklahoma, and Georgia one of the recurring themes among pundits has centered on Mitt Romney’s apparent inability to win over voters in the GOP’s geographic stronghold. For that reason, many people (including yours truly) are assuming that next week’s races in Alabama and Mississippi will be bad for the former Massachusetts Governor. Politico’s Alexander Burns, though, points to a poll that may indicate otherwise:
The statewide poll conducted by Alabama State University’s Center for Leadership and Public Policy showed 22.7 percent of likely Republican voters supported Santorum, who is scheduled to make campaign appearances Thursday in Huntsville and Mobile.
Former Massachussetts Gov. Mitt Romney trailed Santorum with 18.7 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich, the former Speaker of the House from neighboring Georgia, with 13.8 percent. …
[T]he poll results indicate that support for Gingrich is waning in Alabama, according to ASU political science professor Thomas Vocino.
“The numbers are just not in his favor, and the trend is working against him,” Vocino said. “I can’t foresee a situation where he can rebound and win in Alabama.”
In addition to bad news for Gingrich, a four point difference in Alabama for Romney doesn’t strike me as all that bad. Even if he can’t win the state outright, he’ll still be able to pick up some delegates.