Google’s Self-Driving Car

Once the province of science fiction, a car that can drive itself is now a reality, thanks to Google and DARPA. The implications are mind boggling.

Once the province of science fiction, a car that can drive itself is now a reality.

The car is a project of Google, which has been working in secret but in plain view on vehicles that can drive themselves, using artificial-intelligence software that can sense anything near the car and mimic the decisions made by a human driver.

With someone behind the wheel to take control if something goes awry and a technician in the passenger seat to monitor the navigation system, seven test cars have driven 1,000 miles without human intervention and more than 140,000 miles with only occasional human control. One even drove itself down Lombard Street in San Francisco, one of the steepest and curviest streets in the nation. The only accident, engineers said, was when one Google car was rear-ended while stopped at a traffic light.

Autonomous cars are years from mass production, but technologists who have long dreamed of them believe that they can transform society as profoundly as the Internet has.

Robot drivers react faster than humans, have 360-degree perception and do not get distracted, sleepy or intoxicated, the engineers argue. They speak in terms of lives saved and injuries avoided — more than 37,000 people died in car accidents in the United States in 2008. The engineers say the technology could double the capacity of roads by allowing cars to drive more safely while closer together. Because the robot cars would eventually be less likely to crash, they could be built lighter, reducing fuel consumption. But of course, to be truly safer, the cars must be far more reliable than, say, today’s personal computers, which crash on occasion and are frequently infected.

[…]

The project is the brainchild of Sebastian Thrun, the 43-year-old director of the Stanford Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, a Google engineer and the co-inventor of the Street View mapping service. In 2005, he led a team of Stanford students and faculty members in designing the Stanley robot car, winning the second Grand Challenge of the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, a $2 million Pentagon prize for driving autonomously over 132 miles in the desert.

Thun has a longish blog post explaining the impetus behind this program.  A snippet:

According to the World Health Organization, more than 1.2 million lives are lost every year in road traffic accidents. We believe our technology has the potential to cut that number, perhaps by as much as half. We’re also confident that self-driving cars will transform car sharing, significantly reducing car usage, as well as help create the new “highway trains of tomorrow.” These highway trains should cut energy consumption while also increasing the number of people that can be transported on our major roads. In terms of time efficiency, the U.S. Department of Transportation estimates that people spend on average 52 minutes each working day commuting. Imagine being able to spend that time more productively.

I wouldn’t bet against Google or DARPA on this one.   Fortune‘s Seth Weintraub points out,  “It doesn’t have to happen all at once.  Most people have cruise control in their cars.  New technology like lane assist is keeping people between the lines.”  Indeed, Technologist Robert Scoble agrees, noting that his 2010 Prius has “senses the road ahead and a camera that looks at lane markings.”

One wonders, though, how long human-driven cars will even be allowed on the road once this technology is perfected? Robots, presumably, will be less aggressive, follow all laws, and generally be less prone to making mistakes.

Some observations from around the Web:

  • TechCrunch’s Michael Arrington:   “We want our entrepreneurs to try crazy new things. In a hundred years who knows, Google may be thought of as a car company, not a search company. Crazier things have happened. It wasn’t all that long ago, for example, that Nokia was known as a manufacturer of rubber galoshes.”
  • Center for Legal Policy’s Ted Frank:  “Robot cars have the potential to save thousands of lives and double highway capacity. But it’s hard to imagine them ever becoming commercially available without some tremendous change in existing law. Current traffic laws require the technology to be able to be overridden by a human driver. And the American legal system’s poor track record in sudden-acceleration cases suggests that trial lawyers and juries are often going to blame the technology and the deep pocket in the event of human error. Because a Google cannot collect millions of dollars for each of the lives they save through robot cars, but will be assessed that amount (in attorneys’ fees alone) every time a driver of a robot car kills or injures someone, product-liability law may well make the roads far less safe in the short- to medium-term. Even if liability concerns merely delay the technology five years (and I think the effect will be larger than that), we’re talking tens of thousands of lives that will be lost because of our current justice system.”
  • NY Mag‘s Mike Vilensky:  “So who is this bad news for? Truckers. Classic American truckers, who take pleasure only in the unique melancholy of pressing the gas pedal for hours on end, and stopping at occasional motels and fast-food joints. But who wins, when robot cars hit the market? Compulsive texters, for one.”
  • TechCrunch’s MG Siegler:  “[I]magine if your on-board maps were showing you Google ads. Or you were watching Google TV in your car since you didn’t have to drive. Or you were listening to Google Music with Google ads. It’s all the same. This automated driving technology would free you up to use more Google products — which in turn make them more money. Make no mistake, Google will enter your car in a big way. And automated driving would up their return in a big way.”

Technologizer’s Harry McCracken has a “Brief History of Self-Driving Cars,” going as far back as a 1933 Popular Mechanics article marveling at “recent breakthroughs such as automatic garage door openers and power steering” and a 1958 Popular Science piece titled “The Car That Drives Itself.”  It’s worth a look.

FILED UNDER: General
James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is a Security Studies professor at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College and a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm vet. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.

Comments

  1. mpw280 says:

    Your minds and cars will belong to us, says the borg.. mpw

  2. john personna says:

    I was just telling my nephew how long we’d been waiting for this. Programmers and Sci-Fi authors started talking the implications decades ago, at least. For my nephew and I it would mean that we could both go to sleep on the early morning drive up to the trout stream.

  3. michael reynolds says:

    We wrote a middle grade sci fi series called REMNANTS that opens with a kid in a self-driving car. Set in the year 2011.

  4. John Personna says:

    Of course, it might be decades before programmers trust their own car to a program on a canyon road.

  5. Mr. Prosser says:

    Since I’m getting older (not yet elderly) these types of innovations are intriguing. Anything that can keep me relatively independent in the future is important to me. Of course I would also like to see major changes away from an internal combustion engine to go along with the cyber-controls.

  6. Janis Gore says:

    Whoa! I’m not sure about the “car sharing.”

    I’ve seen my stepsons’ floorboards. All they lack are used condoms, a sure bet with the oncoming “booty-call commute.”

  7. Rock says:

    Will the self-driving car have to pass a written exam before being issued a drivers license? Will it have to show two or more photo ID cards and or prof of citizenship or birth? Will it be able to register to vote at the same time while at the DPS office? Can it be issued traffic tickets and be hauled into court if involved in an accident. What about proof of insurance coverage? Can I send it to school to pick up the kids? Will it know the best places to go “parking” if you are busy in the back seat? Will it start itself and drive you home safely if it thinks you’ve had to much to drink? So many questions …

  8. john personna says:

    Why would you need to park Rock? Just tint out the windows and say “drive.”

  9. floyd says:

    Would that be the Borg… Warner?

  10. Brett says:

    This would be an absolute godsend for long-distance driving, as well as truckers. Imagine being able to chart out entire long-distance car trips using Google Map Directions, including stops and hotels, then punching that into your car`s autopilot.

  11. floyd says:

    Brett,
    That would sure have ordinary drivers keeping one good eye on the rear view for those driverless 18 wheelers bearing down on them…. DAVE.. Dave.. dave??

  12. Janis Gore says:

    Never mind. He has a booty-call.