Nevada Poll: Bad News for Reid, Worse News for Angle

The numbers still show an exceptionally close Senate race in Nevada. They also show that a different GOP nominee would have meant a very different scenario.

Voters in Nevada aren’t especially happy with their choices for the US Senate.  Via the Las Vegas Review-JournalU.S. SENATE RACE: Poll: Voters wish for other choices

Two-thirds of voters who say they back Sharron Angle wish another Republican had won the nomination, according to a poll for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow that shows deep dissatisfaction with both the Tea Party pick and U.S. Sen. Harry Reid.

Nearly eight of 10 voters who remain undecided or who don’t like Angle or Reid say they, too, would have preferred if the staunch conservative hadn’t won the June 8 primary over her more moderate foes. And 58 percent of such nonaligned voters say they wish Reid hadn’t won the Democratic nomination, suggesting a majority of Nevadans are unhappy with their choices.

A more direct comparison:

Some 68 percent of those surveyed said they would have preferred if a candidate other than Angle had won the GOP primary. Among them were 71 percent of Republicans, 71 percent of nonpartisans and 64 percent Democrats. Among Angle voters, 66 percent said they would have preferred another GOP nominee, as would have 68 percent of Reid voters and 79 percent of those in neither camp.

[…]

Reid has similar problems but to a lesser degree.

Some 49 percent said they would have preferred another Democrat nominee over Reid, including 28 percent from his party, 66 percent of Republicans and 62 percent of the undecided or those aligned with other candidates.

Among Reid voters, 18 percent preferred another nominee, 78 percent of Angle voters did not want him on the ballot as well as 58 percent of those who do not like Angle or Reid.

Focus for a moment on:

Among Angle voters, 66 percent said they would have preferred another GOP nominee

versus

Among Reid voters, 18 percent preferred another nominee

That signals a serious problem in motivating Angle voters to come to the polls.

In terms of head-to-head, the poll has the following:

In the latest survey of likely Nevada voters, Reid got 45 percent support compared with 44 percent for Angle, a statistical tie. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Another 5 percent were undecided, 4 percent picked “none,” and 2 percent other candidates, according to the telephone poll of 625 likely registered voters taken Monday through Wednesday.

Really, all of this just confirms what I and others have been saying:  1)  Angle was the best thing that could have happened to Reid and 2) Angle’s only hope is the economy.

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2010, US Politics, ,
Steven L. Taylor
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog). Follow Steven on Twitter

Comments

  1. Jeff says:

    because running against Reid and Obama is a loser in Nevada …  ???  right ……

    Who was Reids primary opponent ?  thats right NOBODY … so 18% of democrats would have prefered an unnamed person over Reid … somehow I don’t think you have proven much of anything other than you are a liberal partisan …

    since it should be clear even looking thru your rose colored glasses that the economy will not improve between now and Nov I guess you are saying Angle has it wrapped up then …

    Portion of comment in violation of site policies deleted.

    as a reference what was you prediction on the Alaska race ?

  2. Jane says:

    Good grief.  What did people expect?  You vote for what is essentially part of a cable news-created spectacle and you’re guaranteed to rue the day you did.  Great idea when watching a reality show….bad, bad idea when choosing someone to govern.

  3. Bostinks2 says:

    I will support angle over reed. but if reed wins i look forward to his ridicule from a Republican Majority.

  4. An Interested Party says:

    “I will support angle over reed. but if reed wins i look forward to his ridicule from a Republican Majority.”
    Umm, if Reid does win, which seats will the GOP be picking up to give them a majority?
     

  5. James Joyner says:

    That 71% of Republicans wish Angle weren’t the nominee begs the question: Where were they on election day.

    But the horrendous quality of so many candidates this cycle does make me long for the days of the smoke filled room and party bosses picking the nominees.  It could hardly be worse.

  6. Michael says:

    But the horrendous quality of so many candidates this cycle does make me long for the days of the smoke filled room and party bosses picking the nominees.  It could hardly be worse.

    They may be horrible candidates, but they’re our horrible candidates.

  7. Max Lybbert says:

    Angle was behind Reid by 7 points in the last poll.  She has closed that to a statistical tie.  Reid still hasn’t cracked 50% support.  And you believe that while this is bad news for Reid it’s worse for Angle?

  8. @Max:

    Yes, I do, because Reid remains viable in a race he ought to be losing by double-digits.

  9. Steve Plunk says:

    The current Senate majority should be losing by double digits.  That says a lot about the Obama agenda.

  10. tom p says:

    The current Senate majority should be losing by double digits.  That says a lot about the Obama agenda.

    But they aren’t Steve. That says even more about the GOP.