Rand Paul Maintains Lead In Kentucky Senate Race

So far at least, Rand Paul seems to be hanging on in Kentucky:

It’s the same story in Kentucky’s race for U.S. Senate again this month. Republican Rand Paul continues to hold a modest lead over Democrat Jack Conway.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Paul picking up 49% of the vote, while Conway earns support from 41%. Four percent (4%) would prefer another candidate, while six percent (6%) more are not sure.

Support for both Paul has been at 49% for three straight surveys while Conway has held steady at 41% or 42%.

With the exception of a big bounce immediately after his primary win, Paul has received between 46% and 50% support in match-ups with Conway since January. During the same period, Conway has earned between 34% and 42% of the vote.

In other words, the race has been basically stable, and while Paul did take a hit from the mis-steps after the Republican primary he’s still holding on to a lead, which isn’t surprising in a state like Kentucky. It’s unlikely we’ll see much movement in the polls until the race starts up for real after Labor Day.

FILED UNDER: 2010 Election, Congress, Public Opinion Polls, US Politics, , , ,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug Mataconis held a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010 and contributed a staggering 16,483 posts before his retirement in January 2020. He passed far too young in July 2021.


  1. Zelsdorf Ragshaft III says:

    Doug, this is off topic, but it turns out the Gallup poll you quoted the other day was wrong. Turns out they mixed up samplings which skewed the results. RCP (real clear politics) and Red State have info on this.

  2. That wasn’t my post, but I have seen the report you’re referring to……

  3. legion says:

    which isn’t surprising in a state like Kentucky.
    Having been born & raised in Kentucky, I resent that remark. I can’t actually deny it unfortunately, but I do resent it…