Republicans Sweep Virginia?

In my home state of Virginia, which has two Democratic Senators and went for Barack Obama in 2008, Republicans are poised to take four House districts held by Democrats in the last Congress.

In my home state of Virginia, which has two Democratic Senators and went for Barack Obama in 2008, Republicans are poised to take four House districts held by Democrats in the last Congress.

They’ve already taken the 2nd (Rigell 53, Nye 43), 5th (Hurt 51, Perriello 47), and 9th (Griffith 51, Boucher 47).

The question mark is my own 11th District, in which first-term Democratic incumbent Gerry Connolly and challenger Keith Fimian are tied at 49% with 99% of precincts reporting.   The District had been held for years by moderate Republican Tom Davis, who retired in 2008.  Connolly leads by less than 500 votes out of 120,000 cast.  The question, of course, is which votes still need to be counted:  Is it overseas absentee ballots from military members?  If so, one presumes they’ll put Fimian over the top.

If Fimian pulls it out, it would not only mean sweeping all four of CNN’s “Race to Watch” contests in the state but it would give the GOP 9 of 11 Districts in a state that has been trending Blue in recent cycles.  Indeed, it would give Republicans 2 of 3 races in the DC suburbs and exurbs of Northern Virginia.

FILED UNDER: Campaign 2010, Quick Takes, US Politics
James Joyner
About James Joyner
James Joyner is a Security Studies professor at Marine Corps University's Command and Staff College and a nonresident senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security at the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer and Desert Storm vet. Views expressed here are his own. Follow James on Twitter @DrJJoyner.

Comments

  1. John Burgess says:

    The incoming FL president of the senate says this is the most conservative state gov’t in the history of the state. The gubernatorial race is still running, with Scott slightly ahead, but there are still votes to be counted in rich-Democrat rich S. FL.

    All statewide offices (caveat above) went red. A handful of Dems held onto their US House seats, mostly in uncontested races. In my county, Republicans swept the board on everything from state representative to school board and agriculture commissioner.

  2. DC Loser says:

    James – don’t count your chickens before they hatch. My money is on Connelly keeping his seat. For once my vote really counted.

  3. James Joyner says:

    DCL: Could be. It’s a true toss-up. Again, the question is: Which ballots haven’t been counted?