The Popular Vote
Steven L. Taylor
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Wednesday, November 7, 2012
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1 comment
At the moment, Obama is losing the popular vote. However, Nate Silver makes an interesting point:
Some networks have called the Electoral College for Barack Obama, but it will take longer before the popular vote can officially be called.
That’s because the three Pacific Coast states — California, Oregon and Washington — conduct much of their voting by mail, yielding a lag of several days to a week before all ballots are counted.
Update: as soon as I post this, Obama takes the lead in the pop vote count.
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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He’s got a healthy lead in the popular vote now, with most of the remaining vote all coming from the western states where he will win handily. My guess is he ends up with a bit over 50%.