Vulnerable Congressmen Doomed Bailout
Nate Silver compares the list of Representatives voting No on yesterday’s bailout bill with the list of swing districts — that is, those where the re-election of the incumbent is seriously in doubt — and finds a surprisingly strong correlation.
VULNERABLE GOP = 3 YEAS, 17 NAYS (15%)
OTHER GOP = 62 YEAS, 116 NAYS (35%)
VULNERABLE DEMS = 5 YEAS, 13 NAYS (28%)
OTHER DEMS = 135 YEAS, 82 NAYS (62%)
ALL VULNERABLES = 8 YEAS, 30 NAYS (21%)
OTHERS = 197 YEAS, 198 NAYS (50%)
Additionally, almost all the retiring Members voted in favor.
Like it or not, this is how the system is supposed to work. House Members, especially, are supposed to be held strictly accountable for carrying out the wishes on their constituents. They’re called “Representatives,” after all. Given that the public is overwhelmingly opposed to this “bailout,” it’s not surprising that those most in danger of losing their seats five weeks from today are voting with their people. It’s a tough economy, after all, not a great time to be out of work.