Wherefore Art Thou, Oh Generic Candidate?
Registered voters by a significant margin now say they are more likely to vote for the "Republican Party’s candidate for president" than for President Barack Obama in the 2012 election, 47% to 39%. Preferences had been fairly evenly divided this year in this test of Obama’s re-election prospects.
While I understand that this is interesting in the abstract, I always find these polls to be amusing. Clearly it is not hard for a fantasy to beat reality.
It would be interesting to do a long-term study of these types of polls to see how often a sitting president leads a generic opponent and what the prevailing national circumstances were if/when that was the case?