Majority Oppose Trump’s Border Wall, Favor More Liberal Immigration Laws

A new poll shows most Americans oppose President Trump's border wall and support more liberal immigration laws.

A new Gallup poll indicates that a majority of Americans oppose President Trump’s border wall and favor far more liberal and open immigration than he and his supporters are advocating:

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Sixty percent of Americans oppose major new construction of walls along the U.S.-Mexico border — the goal behind President Donald Trump’s budget showdown with Democratic leaders that led to a record 35-day partial shutdown of the federal government.

The shutdown, which ended Jan. 25, and the political battles that preceded it over the past several months have had little apparent effect on public opinion about a wall. Fifty-seven percent opposed major new construction of walls seven months ago, a statistically insignificant three-percentage-point difference from the current number.

The issue of a wall was proposed as a way to slow illegal immigration long before Trump made it his signature 2016 campaign pledge. Gallup has asked about it using various question wordings, but all polls have shown a majority opposed. Gallup first asked about it in 1993, when 71% said they opposed “erecting a wall along the border with Mexico.” Opposition eased slightly in 1995, when 62% were against erecting a wall. In 2006, opposition to “building a wall along the border with Mexico” was 56%.

Public opposition to a border wall had increased by 2016, when Trump was pushing construction of the wall. Sixty-six percent opposed “building a wall along the entire U.S.-Mexico border” in June of that year.

The current poll was conducted Jan. 21-27; slightly more than two-thirds of the respondents (69%) were interviewed before Trump ended the shutdown. There is no significant difference in views of the wall between those interviewed during the shutdown and those interviewed after it.

Furthermore, the same poll shows that most Americans oppose the general position that President Trump and his fellow Republicans take on immigration issues as a whole:

Clear majorities of U.S. adults in the latest poll support two other actions related to immigration, while rejecting a third.

  • The vast majority of Americans (81%) favor allowing immigrants living illegally in the U.S. “the chance to become U.S. citizens if they meet certain requirements over a period of time.” In 2016, the year Trump was elected president, 84% were in favor of a path to citizenship for those in the country illegally.
  • Though a majority of Americans reject major expansion of walls on the U.S.-Mexico border, three-fourths of the public favors another method of increasing border security — the hiring of “significantly more” border patrol agents.
  • Sixty-one percent oppose deporting all illegal immigrants back to their home country. In 2016, 66% were in opposition.

Since Trump’s election, the proportion of Americans wanting to increase immigration levels has grown — from 21% in June 2016 to a record-high 30% now.

The percentage of Americans who want immigration levels decreased has been higher than those wanting it increased in every one of the 33 polls Gallup has conducted on the issue since 1965. However, the current one-point gap ties with the June 2018 poll for the smallest ever. Before Trump’s election, the percentage preferring a decrease in immigration averaged 31 points higher than the percentage wanting an increase.

These numbers are hardly surprising, of course. Previous polling has clearly indicated that Americans as a whole do not support the President’s border wall, are far more favorable towards ideas such as granting so-called “amnesty” to undocumented immigrants, making legal immigration easier, and protecting the so-called “dreamers” who were brought to the United States illegally as children and have lived nearly their entirely lives here in the United States. While not detailed in this particular breakdown of the poll, it’s likely that, as in previous polling, Republicans and others supportive of the President are largely supportive of both the wall and his restrictive positions on immigration, including his seeming opposition to providing any kind of relief to beneficiaries of the Deferred Action For Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program. Taking into account the fact that this is the only group whose opinion the President seems to care about, it will likely be enough to convince the President to stick to the current, seemingly suicidal course.

For Democrats, of course, this is good news because it shows that they are largely winning the public relations battle on the wall and on immigration itself. This, along with their control of the House of Representatives and the filibuster in the Senate, gives them significant leverage when it comes to negotiating a deal on immigration. While polls like this might not influence the President, they could very well have an impact on Republicans eager to avoid another shutdown and hoping to find a way to get this matter behind them, If it doesn’t and we head for another shutdown, then the onus is going to once again fall on Trump and the GOP to bear responsibility for something that is, in the end, completely unnecessary.

FILED UNDER: Borders and Immigration, Congress, Donald Trump, Politicians, US Politics,
Doug Mataconis
About Doug Mataconis
Doug holds a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May 2010. Before joining OTB, he wrote at Below The BeltwayThe Liberty Papers, and United Liberty Follow Doug on Twitter | Facebook

Comments

  1. Daryl and his brother Darryl says:

    Well, duh.
    Most Americans are opposed to most of the Republican agenda. That’s why they have to suppress the vote to win. It’s why McConnell says out loud that allowing everyone to vote is a power grab by the Democrats.
    From gun control to taxes to the minimum wage to LGBT rights to abortion…the majority of the American people are opposed to the Republican agenda.

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  2. gVOR08 says:

    @Daryl and his brother Darryl: But any D embracing this stuff will be labeled far left by the supposedly liberal MSM. Also, the US is a center right country, don’t you know, ask any MSM pundit.

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  3. Kathy says:

    I suppose you can only worship the “Nation of Immigrants” mythos so far without people believing it; more so as it happens to be true.

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  4. Guarneri says:

    Are you a racist?

    You must agree that anyone who advocates only legal immigration of babies, women, and just all round great people are racist?

    So to my poll question: are you a racist who opposes immigration and a border wall?

    Well would you look at that………………….

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  5. Gustopher says:

    @Guarneri: Did you just have an aneurism? Because none of what you wrote made any sense in context of what Doug wrote, or any of the other commenters.

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  6. Just nutha ignint cracker says:

    @Gustopher: Thank you. I was wondering what was going on with Guarneri, too, but since you’ve already addressed him–and much better than I could have, I don’t need to again.

    Oh, I guess I just did. Oh well.

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  7. Eric Florack says:

    let’s make sure we understand what we’re dealing with here. Are these the same holsters that told us that Donald Trump didn’t have a chance in hell of winning?

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  8. gVOR08 says:

    @Eric Florack: Skipping past the question of what holsters have to do with anything, Nate Silver’s aggregation of polling ended up at about 2:1 against Trump, which is to say a reasonable chance for Trump.

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  9. Michael Reynolds says:

    @Eric Florack:
    The pollsters didn’t know the Russians were voting.

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  10. @Michael Reynolds:

    More importantly, people like Eric conveniently forget the fact that in 2016 the final national polls were fairly close to where the election ended up

    It was the state-level polls that were off. In some cases by wide margins.

    ReplyReply

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