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Hindu Nationalists Win Big In India

India Flag Map

The world’s most populous democracy recently completed an election process that lasted nearly two months, and it’s resulted in some big political changes;

NEW DELHI — The Indian National Congress, which has headed India’s government for nearly all the country’s post-Independence history, conceded defeat to the opposition leader Narendra Modi on Friday, as voters rendered a crushing verdict on their country’s flagging economic growth and a drumbeat of corruption scandals.

Election officials had not yet finished counting the 550 million votes cast in the five-week general elections, but the contours of Congress’s defeat quickly became clear. Rahul Gandhi, the heir apparent to the political dynasty that forms the Congress party’s backbone, appeared headed for a narrow victory in his own home constituency, a stronghold he won by more than 300,000 votes in 2009.

In a humiliation for Mr. Gandhi, 43, a group of workers gathered around party headquarters in the capital city, chanting “Bring Priyanka, Save Congress,” a reference to his younger sister, who is seen as the more charismatic politician. Abhishek Manu Singhvi, a Congress spokesman, conceded that the party had been defeated.

“If the leads are correct, the results are conclusive,” he said, in a telephone interview. Another spokesman, Randeep Singh Surjewala, also confirmed the loss, saying “We humbly accept the verdict of the people of India. We shall continue to play with rigor the role of a constructive and meaningful opposition – the role that the people of India have assigned to us.”

After two hours of counting Mr. Modi’s Hindu nationalist party, the Bharatiya Janata Party, was assured of winning more than 272 seats, enough to form a government without brokering a coalition deal with any of India’s fractious regional leaders. If that happens, Mr. Modi will take power with the strongest mandate of any Indian leader since Rajiv Gandhi of the Indian National Congress took office in 1984, riding the wave of sympathy that followed the assassination of his mother, Indira Gandhi.

Drummers, stilt-walkers and women in colorful saris had converged at B.J.P. headquarters in Delhi, where party workers had laid out 100,000 laddoos, the ball-shaped sweets ubiquitous at Indian celebrations. Among the revelers was Surinder Singh Tiwana, 40, a lawyer.

“I can equate my jubilation today, probably, to my mother’s on the day I was born,” Mr. Tiwana said. “This is a huge change for our country, a change of guard. A billion plus people have announced their mandate in no uncertain terms. They have voted for a progressive, stable government.”

The elections came during a period of rapid transition in Indian society, as urbanization and economic growth break down generations-old voting patterns. With his conservative ideology and steely style of leadership, Mr. Modi, who came from a humble background and rose through the ranks of a Hindu nationalist group, will prove a stark departure from his predecessors in that office.

I’m not even going to try to pretend to be enough of an expert in Indian politics to predict what this means for the future, but it will most assuredly mean something. In addition to being the second most populous nation on the planet, and one with a birthrate that has it on a pace to have a larger population than China if current trends continued long enough, India shares borders with China, Afghanistan, and Pakistan as well as an extensive coastline along the Indian Ocean. It has also become an important trading partner with the United States, as well as an ally in the region. What happens there does matter whether we pay attention to it or not.

For those interested The Daily Show did a good segment on the elections last night:

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About Doug Mataconis
Doug holds a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May, 2010 and also writes at Below The Beltway. Follow Doug on Twitter | Facebook

Comments

  1. Neil Hudelson says:

    The American Interest had some interesting thoughts on what it means for India and the U.S, but it too barely scratches the surface:

    http://www.the-american-interest.com/articles/2014/05/15/what-does-a-modi-win-mean/

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  2. stonetools says:

    Thorough backgrounder on the Indian elections. Lede:

    In A Suitable Boy, Vikram Seth writes with affection of a placid India’s first general election in 1951, and the egalitarian spirit it momentarily bestowed on an electorate deeply riven by class and caste: “the great washed and unwashed public, sceptical and gullible”, but all “endowed with universal adult suffrage”. India’s 16th general election this month, held against a background of economic jolts and titanic corruption scandals, and tainted by the nastiest campaign yet, announces a new turbulent phase for the country – arguably, the most sinister since its independence from British rule in 1947. Back then, it would have been inconceivable that a figure such as Narendra Modi, the Hindu nationalist chief minister of Gujarat accused, along with his closest aides, of complicity in crimes ranging from an anti-Muslim pogrom in his state in 2002 to extrajudicial killings, and barred from entering the US, may occupy India’s highest political office.

    For a less anti Modi view, try:

    Narendra Modi, chief minister of Gujarat and the party’s national leader, claims much of the credit. He is a forceful campaigner, hugely popular with his party’s Hindu-nationalist core and increasingly accepted beyond it. His chances of becoming India’s prime minister in next year’s general elections, which must be held by May, were already good before the weekend. Now they look better than ever.

    Indians, especially those in towns, in the north and in the middle class, are fed up with the ruling Congress party. Stubbornly high inflation, chronic joblessness and growth of less than 5% make the economic outlook gloomy. Manmohan Singh, the prime minister, is ineffectual; Rahul Gandhi, who is emerging as Congress’s new leader, is uninspiring. At rallies Mr Modi, who looks like a barrel-chested cross between Father Christmas and a professional wrestler, mocks his rival—son, grandson and great-grandson of earlier prime ministers—as a prince. His audiences bellow their scorn. Opinion polls (which Congress wants to ban) show Mr Modi as easily the most popular national figure. “Everyone now assumes it’s Modi,” says a columnist in Delhi. Mr Modi reportedly talks of an aandhi, a “storm blowing in our favour”.

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  3. Andre Kenji says:

    Just to remember, India built their nuclear bombs during the BJP.

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  4. Tylerh says:

    @Andre Kenji:

    ” India built tested nuclear bombs during the BJP”

    India has been a “virtual” nuclear power since the 60s, conducting a “peaceful” nuclear test on 8 May 1974.

    BJP just thought it was good domestic politic to set off a few more nukes.

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  5. Ben Wolf says:

    It means India is tacking hard to the right. Expect a strong push toward Hindu nationalism and less tolerance for other races and religions.

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  6. Ron Beasley says:

    I must admit I really don’t know what “conservative” means in India. Is this like the religious right taking taking control of the US of A? The real problem as I see it is that Mobi made promises he can’t keep. We can expect a lot of instability in India – not a good thing .

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  7. David in KC says:

    Gee, Doug, a post on some foreign election but no post on JayZ?

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  8. bill says:

    @Ron Beasley: nah, our religious right would be flaming liberals over there!
    i’ve never been there but know some people who have- not all that fun unless you’re in the very wealthiest parts of whatever town you’re in. our ghetto’s would be mid-upper class over there.

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