Obama Behind Every Republican Except Gingrich In Iowa
Barack Obama won Iowa in 2008 by more than 146,000 votes, the largest margin of victory for any Presidential candidate there since Bill Clinton’s re-election in 1996, but if a new poll in the Des Moines Register is any indication, he’s going to have a tougher time in the Hawkeye State this time around:
President Barack Obama trails three of the four Republican candidates in head-to-head match-ups if the election were held today, according to a new Iowa Poll.
The Republican with the biggest lead: Ron Paul, who would defeat Obama by 7 percentage points, 49 percent to 42 percent. Rick Santorum, winner of the 2012 Iowa caucuses, leads Obama 48 percent to 44 percent. Mitt Romney, edged in the caucuses by Santorum, leads Obama 46 percent to 44 percent.
The president defeats only Newt Gingrich, 51 percent to 37 percent. Iowa is considered a swing state in the general election, critical to Obama’s re-election or victory by the Republican nominee.
Iowa Democrats made Obama the winner of the 2008 Iowa caucuses, launching him on his road to the White House. In the general election, he defeated Republican nominee John McCain in Iowa by nearly 10 percentage points.
But Obama is in trouble in Iowa today, hampered by negative perceptions of the job he is doing as president. More Iowans disapprove (48 percent) than approve (46 percent). That’s just one percentage point above his all-time low in job approval, 45 percent in September 2010.
As I’ve mentioned with regard to other head-to-head polls, it’s worth noting that what we’re looking at hear is as much a reflection of the President’s job approval ratings as it is an evaluation of the two candidates. Additionally, a poll in February, when campaigning for the General Election is months away, doesn’t necessarily tell us much of anything about what might happen in November. Nonetheless, Iowa is one of the swing states that the President will have to hold on to in order to win re-election year and, at least at the moment, he’s got a potential problem.