Mitt Romney’s Fuzzy Nomination Math
Hugh Hewitt looks at the Super Tuesday math and concludes that his guy, Mitt Romney, will still be very much in the race afterwards. I’m rather dubious on his “worst case” scenario actually being that but he’s fundamentally right: McCain won’t have the nomination mathematically sewn up at day’s end.
Still, it’s not looking good for Flipper. Hewitt observes, “And if the Huckabee voters look at the reality and see they are voting for McCain when they vote for Huck, anything can happen.” Well, anything could happen. What’s actually likely to happen, though, is that they’ll vote for McCain. After all, Huckabee has gone out of his way to make nice to McCain and attack Romney.
And, as McCain OG Bill Kristol points out, almost all of those who recent polls show supporting Rudy Giuliani will switch to McCain, too, given their guy’s withdrawal and endorsement.
Further, as his TownHall colleague RightTeacher1 points out, under Hewitt’s best case scenario, Romney would need to get 60% of the post-Super Tuesday delegates — 80% under his worst-case scenario — to take the nomination. That’s going to be mighty hard.