Election 2021 in Context: Looking at Electorates

The electoral calendar affects who the electorate is.

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Election Results Validate Everyone’s Priors

Too woke! Not woke enough!

Election 2021 Context, Part 2: Virginia

Going back to 1977 (there’s a pattern).

Election 2021 Context, Part 1: New Jersey

Providing a little bit of electoral history.

Youngkin, GOP Sweep Virginia

It’s usually more effective to run for something rather than against someone.

Democrats Have Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day

Running against Trump didn’t work this year.

Most Politics Is National

Tip O’Neil’s famous saying hasn’t been true in a long, long time.

Lincoln Project’s Dirty Tricks

Can we stop pretending these trolls and grifters are Republicans?

The Voter Enthusiasm Gap

44% of Republicans strongly disapprove of President Biden’s performance while only 22% of Democrats strongly approve.

Election Polling When There’s No Election Day

Late-breaking news may not matter that much anymore.

Keeping the Voter Fraud Flames Burning

This time in the CA recall.

Polling Favorable to Newsom in CA

It is closer than Newsom might want, but the numbers are favorable to him.

The CA Recall

The system is not defensible.

Trouble for Newsom?

A new poll show a very close race.

The NYC Primary Mess

Eric Adams appears to have won a confusing race that isn’t quite over.

Virginia’s Weird Politics

The Commonwealth is much more diverse than national election returns might indicate.

Weak Parties and the CA Recall

With an appearance by Caitlyn Jenner’s choice of party.

Today in Bad Election Analysis

Let’s not get overly dramatic about special elections.

Terry McAuliffe Running for Virginia Governor

The popular former governor wants another crack at it.