When a Company is Bigger Than its Country

Novo Nordisk is worth more than home country’s Denmark annual GDP.

Politics, Memory, and Reality

Americans look back more fondly on the Trump economy than they did in 2020.

Third Parties and Ballot Access for 2024

And back to thoughts on section 3.

Donald Trump and Joe Biden portrait style Donald Trump and Joe Biden portrait style

Biden and Trump Secure Their Party Nominations

The inevitable is all but official.

Trump Fatigue

Fighting a cult of personality is exhausting.

The Maine Ruling

A compelling document.

Six Swing States

America’s weird system for choosing Presidents keeps getting weirder.

A Few Thoughts on the Election and Poll Interpretation

And, not surprisingly, about parties.

One Year Out

Looking ahead to November 5, 2024

Swing State Voters Prefer Trump

Bidenomics is dragging Biden’s approval.

Republicans Repudiated in Ohio

Another example of the power of the abortion issue.

The Injustice of Place

A new book looks at the confluence of geography and disadvantage.

Could Trump Really Be President Again?

It’s not nearly as far-fetched as most of us would like to believe.

Democratic Majority Emerging After All?

Today’s youth cohort might actually vote.

Fear of a Third Party

The Electoral College is holding a nation of millions back.

How Serious of a Threat is a No Labels Candidate?

The panic continues. Is it warranted?

NYC Bans Height-Weight Discrimination

They join DC and San Francisco.

The Importance of Institutional Design (Part Lots)

The Texas Board of Pardons and Paroles sparks a thought.

Abbott Promises to Pardon Just-Convicted Murderer

An outrageous political stunt.

Republicans and Democratic Backsliding

When winning is the only acceptable outcome.

Trump and Waco

Some disturbing symbolism.

Of Motes and Beams

The left and right are attacking basic rights. But not equally.

Never Trumpers Never Win

Being against something just isn’t enough.

Rehnquist and the ‘Independent State Legislature’ Theory

The late Chief Justice was right; his successors are wrong.

Forecasting 2024 Way Too Early

There are at most eight toss-up states for the 2024 Presidential election.

Red and Blue States Aren’t Permanent

The margins for 2024 are likely to be slim. But that hides a larger story.

Not Both Sides

One of these things is not like the other.

Lessons from the Fetterman Victory?

This kind of “analysis” drives me nuts

Trump Hemmorhaging Donors and Backers

The ship is abandoning the sinking rat.

Making Sense of the Election

Parsing the results thus far.

Murdoch Gunning for Trump

The New York Post and Wall Street Journal are blasting the losing loser.

Beware The Exit Polls

The numbers aren’t real. Not yet, anyway.

Republican Losers Conceding, Not Rioting

A low bar has been cleared.

Democrats Outperform Expectations

The Needle is Broken

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

Congressional Control Still Too Close to Call

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness Survives Initial Legal Challenges

Opponents lose at the district and SCOTUS level in opening salvos.

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

Four Seats

31 of the 35 Senate races next month are noncompetititve.

newspaper newspaper

Democratic Local News Network

Fifty-plus “local” news outlets are a front for David Brock and company.

Ben Sasse to Leave Senate to Become Florida President

The Nebraska Republican got an offer he can’t refuse.

The Emerging Democratic Majority at 20

How well has the famous thesis fared?

The Polls Are Essentially Meaningless But They’re Here to Stay

They could be overstating support for Democrats. Or understating it. Or be more or less right.

Anti-Zionism Isn’t Anti-Semitism

Many young, progressive Jews are feeling unwelcome in young, progressive circles.

American Civil War II is Unlikely but Not Impossible

A repeat of 1860 can’t happen. But something even worse could.

Post-Weekend Tabs

Some quick hits.

Independent State Legislature Theory

A theory floated in Bush v Gore could radically change American elections.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Medal of Valor ceremony, Monday, May 16, 2022, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks at a Medal of Valor ceremony, Monday, May 16, 2022, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

The News is Bad for Biden

The nature of American political reporting distorts our perception of reality.

Democrats in Disarray, Abortion Edition

Here we go again . . . .