Red and Blue States Aren’t Permanent

The margins for 2024 are likely to be slim. But that hides a larger story.

Sunday Morning Tabs

In case you need some reading this morning.

Democrats’ Chaotic Skullduggery

There was some quiet meddling going on.

Why Stacey Abrams Ran Behind Raphael Warnock

Discrimination? Issues? Incumbency?

Democrats Keep Senate Control

With a win in Nevada, the party will retain at least 50 seats.

Were the Election Outcomes Truly Unexpected?

Thinking about what was likely and what wasn’t.

Murdoch Gunning for Trump

The New York Post and Wall Street Journal are blasting the losing loser.

Trump 2022’s Biggest Loser

The 2020 loser has doubled down on losing.

Democrats Outperform Expectations

The Needle is Broken

Crystal Ball Final 2022 Ratings

Describe the sound made when a sheep explodes.

Congressional Control Still Too Close to Call

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

The Media is Biased Against Us!

Journalists openly root for a good story.

Midterm Polls Shifting Republican

The race is returning to expectation.

An Observation on Geography-Based Representation

A thought inspired by the PA Senate race.

Four Seats

31 of the 35 Senate races next month are noncompetititve.

A Basic Theory of Voting Behavior

And a reminder of the role of political parties.

Why Walker Will Win a Lot of Votes

Voting isn’t just about candidates.

Walker has 2-Point in Edge in GA Senate Poll

Partisanship may overcome poor candidate quality.

Nonhierarchical Parties and the Problems of Candidate Selection

American parties are coordination problems with shared branding.

Feelings Don’t Care About Facts

“America can survive the demagogues themselves, it’s their audience that will kill us.”

Looking to the Senate Elections

It’s early, but here are some key numbers as they exist now.

Herschel Walker and the Perils of Celebrity Candidates

More ugly revelations about the football hero turned politician.

Trump Loses Big in Georgia, Again

Two incumbents roared to victory despite his opposition.

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A Lament and The Reality of Politics

A illustration from the Senate race in Georgia.

Where Do the Republicans Go From Here?

This man is the face of the post-Trump party.

Atlanta Braves Win World Series

The city’s second major championship was among the most improbable.

Evidence of Voter Fraud in Georgia?

Could it be?

The Trump Reality Show

The Donald Trump presidency has some eerie parallels with his run on “The Apprentice.”