There (Probably) Won’t Be A Government Shutdown

If recent history is any guide, there won’t really be a government shutdown next week. But, the zealotry of the “defund Obamacare” caucus could change everything.

It Appears That Senate Republicans Have Already Lost The Obamacare Chess Match

Nobody has moved a piece yet, but the outcome of the Obamacare battle in the Senate seems foreordained.

Proposed Media Shield Law Leads To Debate Over Who Is A “Journalist”

Who should qualify as a “journalist” for purposes of a “Shield Law?”

Vote Counts In Congress Not Looking Good For President Obama

With Congress coming back Monday, the prospective vote counts are decidedly against authorizing military force against Syria.

Numbers In House Continue To Trend Against Authorizing Syrian Military Strikes

Things aren’t looking good for President Obama in the House of Representatives.

Obama Won’t Enforce Ban On VA Benefits For Same-Sex Couples

President Obama has decided not to enforce a law. This is most unusual and somewhat disturbing.

Senate To Consider Syria AUMF With Time Limits, No Ground Troops

A proposed Syria authorization being considered in the Senate places several limits on Presidential authority to act, but it’s unclear if those limits can actually work.

Federal Government Sues Over Texas Voter ID Law

Reports of the death of the Voting Rights Act have been greatly exaggerated.

The Self-Made Nature of the US’ Immigration Problem

Unfortunately, our immigration debate is just plain dumb.

John McCain: Obama’s Secret Weapon?

The president’s 2008 rival has gone from bitter foe to go-to deal broker.

White House and House of Representatives Clash on Civilian Pay

The two ends of Pennsylvania Avenue are clashing on defense appropriations.

For The Eighth Time, Obama Pivots To The Economy

Time to “pivot to the economy” again.

Ten Years After McCain-Feingold, More Money In Politics Than Ever

The 10th anniversary of McCain-Feingold teaches a lesson we should already have learned.

House GOP Rejects Comprehensive Immigration Reform, Likely Killing Any Reform

The latest House GOP pronouncements on immigration reform make it exceedingly unlikely that any bill will pass this year.

Prop. 8, DOMA, And Standing In The Supreme Court

The Supreme Court’s handling of standing in the two same-sex marriage cases likely seems contradictory to many outside observers.

Immigration Reform Bill Passes Senate, Faces Bleak Future In House

The Senate passed an immigration reform bill today, but it’s not going to go anywhere.

Was The American Civil War Avoidable?

Rather than asking whether it was “worth it,” the important historical question regarding the Civil War is whether it could have been avoided.

Questions For “Constitutional Conservatives” Regarding The House’s Abortion Bill

Why did House Republicans vote overwhelmingly for a bill that their own theories would find to be unconstitutional?

John Boehner’s Narrow Path To Immigration Reform

John Boehner clearly wants to see an immigration bill passed this year, but he has a very narrow path to victory.

Scott Walker: The GOP’s Sleeper Candidate For 2016?

Scott Walker could be the GOP’s surprise candidate in 2016.

Republicans Haven’t Learned The Lessons Of 2012

The GOP seems to be making the same mistakes that led to defeat in 2012.

Speaker Boehner: We’ll Have Immigration Reform This Year

Speaker Boehner seems confident that immigration reform will become law this year, but his confidence may be premature.

Is Marco Rubio Trying To Kill Immigration Reform? No, Not Really

Marco Rubio is threatening to withdraw support for the immigration plan he helped draft, but I would suggest not reading too much into that threat.

New Jersey Law In Conflict On Timing Of Special Elections After Senate Vacancies

Conflicting provisions in New Jersey law could turn scheduling a Special Election to replace Frank Lautenberg into a big legal battle.

Some Initial Thoughts on the AP and IRS Stories

A starting point for two important stories.

Yet Again, Institutional Design Matters

It would be nice if columnists for major newspapers would consult political science, rather than Hollywood, for their understanding of our system.

Yes, Bush Administration Used Torture

A bipartisan commission of elder statesmen confirms what we’ve known for years.

Report: U.S. Practiced Torture After 9/11

A new report confirms that the United States did engage in torture in the wake of the September 11th attacks.

The Odd Politics Of The GOP’s Gun Control Filibuster

The GOP’s decision to filibuster the Senate Gun Control Bill doesn’t make a lot of political sense.

Odds Of A Democratic House Takeover Low

The odds for a party switch in the House of Representatives remain quite low.

Divorce And Politics

The American people no longer seem to care if their political leaders are divorced.

Obama’s Second Term Honeymoon Looks To Be Over

President Obama’s job approval numbers have fallen off from their post-election highs. But, does it matter?

Institutions 101 and the Sequester

Institutional dynamics in the US constitutional system are the key to undertstanding our current predicament.