Democrats Will Lose the House: Charlie Cook
Veteran political prognosticator Charlie Cook argues that it’s not only likely that Republicans will take back the House of Representatives in November but that it’s hard to come up with a scenario under which they won’t. I’ve spent the last couple of days talking to some of the brightest Democrats in the party that are [...]
Khalid Sheikh Mohammed Show Trial
In my initial posting on the Khalid Sheikh Mohammed Trial, I asserted that “there’s an incredibly good chance that Mohammed and his comrades will go free. The fact that KSM was repeatedly waterboarded would seem to taint any subsequent evidence, including his own confession.” This was based on the presumption that the whole point of [...]
Did Obama Break Promise on Missiles?
I’ve been critical of the optics of President Obama’s decision to abandon missile defense in Poland and the Czech Republic on the 70th anniversary of the Russian invasion of Poland. But I disagree with Jim Geraghty‘s assertion that it also represents breaking a promise made in April. Here’s what he said in Prague: So let [...]
Van Jones Resigns and Whines
One of the curious controversies I’ve been half-following on Twitter but haven’t been motivated to write about is the case of Van Jones, a leader of the 9/11 “Truther” movement who has served since March as President Obama’s Special Advisor for Green Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation at the White House Council on Environmental Quality, or [...]
Pelosi: ’500 Americans Lose Their Jobs’
Nancy Pelosi has a powerful argument for passing the stimulus: “Every month that we do not have an economic recovery passage, 500 million Americans lose their jobs.” As Jim Geraghty notes, “That’s astonishing, considering the population of the United States is about 300 million.” Kate McMillan has the video: During the primaries, Barack Obama famously [...]
Obama’s Short National Security Team
Jim Geraghty notes, as many of us did, that the lectern and microphone placement at today’s press conference made Barack Obama’s national security team look quite short. The notable exception was National Security Advisor designee Jim Jones, who at 6’5” towered over the proceedings. My guess is that the rest of them won’t be asked [...]
Electoral College Predictions
The OTB gang has previously weighed in with their Electoral College projections. James Joyner: Obama 325, McCain 213 Dodd Harris: Obama 318, McCain 160, Tossup 60 Alex Knapp: Obama 350, McCain 188 Other bloggers’ predictions: Steven Taylor: Obama 364, McCain 174 Radley Balko: Obama 322, McCain 216 Nate Silver: Obama 349, McCain 189 John Hawkins: [...]
The Campaign Spot on National Review Online
Jim Geraghty sees some hope for McCain in Pennsylvania: Mason Dixon’s poll putting McCain within 4 percent in Pennsylvania was crazy talk, right? Had to be an outlier, right? Well, Strategic Vision puts Obama’s lead at 5 percent. (I can only imagine the hate mail they’re going to get.) Rasmussen had the margin at 13 [...]
Obama in Exxon’s Pocket!
The Obama campaign has made quite a big deal of John McCain’s campaign contributions from Big Oil than and the Democratic National Committee even created an Exxon-McCain site. Unfortunately, while the overall charge is true (if silly, as discussed here) it turns out that Obama has actually netted more money from Exxon employees. ABC’s Jake [...]








