Class Sorting in American Politics

Most high-income Congressional Districts are Democratic and low-income Districts are Republican.

An Observation About “Classically Liberal” Punditry

“Classical liberals” really need to rediscover self examination

The Democrats’ Patriotism Problem?!

Whither American civil religion?

Lessons from the Fetterman Victory?

This kind of “analysis” drives me nuts

Pelosi Attack a Turning Point?

What will it take to end the cycle of violence?

The Emerging Democratic Majority at 20

How well has the famous thesis fared?

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Earth Day prior to signing an executive order strengthening the nation’s forests, resilience to extreme weather events, and local economies, Friday, April 22, 2022, at Seward Park in Seattle. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Earth Day prior to signing an executive order strengthening the nation’s forests, resilience to extreme weather events, and local economies, Friday, April 22, 2022, at Seward Park in Seattle. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

The Messaging is Medium

The Democrats have lots of problems. Salesmanship is pretty far down the list.

Two Years After George Floyd

Very little progress has been made towards racial justice.

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The Middle Ain’t Woke

The average American is neither progressive nor all that interested in politics.

Republican Split with Big Business Greatly Exaggerated

Look at who’s lined up against H.R. 1.

Could Trump Shock the World Again?

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

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Demography is Destiny

It’s just not immediate.

Progressives In The Democratic Party May Have Misread The Signals For 2020

Based on the early stages of the campaign for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination, it appears as though the party’s progressive wing has misread the signals being sent by the party’s voters.

Biden Says The Family Is On Board For A 2020 Run

Former Vice-President Joe Biden isn’t officially running for President yet, but says his family is on board if he does.

Joe Biden Set To Decide On Presidential Bid Soon

Former Vice-President Joe Biden will reportedly decide on whether or not he’ll be entering the race for President in the near future.

Apparently We Won’t Have Michael Avenatti To Kick Around

Michael Avenatti, the California lawyer best known for representing Stormy Daniels in her claims against the President, is dropping a bid for the Democratic nomination that never seemed like a serious effort.

Yes, The GOP Lost The Midterms Because Of Trump

The evidence that the GOP lost the midterms because of public repudiation of President Trump is overwhelming. The GOP will either accept this and learn from it, or they will not.

Michael Avenatti For President?

Surely a celebrity hound with no political experience can’t become President. Right?

Kevin Williamson and the Limits of Polite Discourse

The Atlantic fired one of their few conservative voices for saying women who have abortions should be hanged. Was this beyond the pale?

Democrats Battling Over Party’s Future

After seven years that mostly consisted of losing elections, there’s a battle going on over which direction the party should head.

Let’s Look At Potential Democratic Candidates For 2020!

Just 1,436 days until Election Day 2020!

The Whitelash Backlash

So what’s wrong with the Whitelash Backlash thesis?  Not everything, actually.  But plenty.

Donald Trump: Establishment Candidate

On Tuesday night the Establishment won and won yuge. (From new OTB contributor, Michael Bailey)

October Jobs Report Shows Resilient Jobs Growth

Another month of resilient, but not noteworthy, jobs growth.

Trump Gaining With Less Educated Whites, Losing With College Grads

Donald Trump is doing worse with white voters than Mitt Romney did in 2012.

Party Realignment Fantasies

David Brooks thinks American politics “Could get ugly” before the ship gets righted.

What Does The Success Of Brexit Tell Us About Donald Trump’s Chances? Pretty Much Nothing

Many pundits are arguing that the victory for ‘Leave’ presages good news for Trump in November, but there’s no reason to believe that.

Democracy, Demagogues, and Populist Pandering

The rise of Trump and Sanders has resurrected a debate as old as Western civilization.

Donald Trump Appeals To The Worst Instincts In Voters, And The Worst Parts Of American Politics

The longer this race goes on, the hard it becomes to deny the truth about Donald Trump.

Can Hillary Expand The Electoral College Map In 2016? In An Important Sense, It Doesn’t Matter

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

Romney Needs The “47 Percent” To Win

In order to win, Mitt Romney needs the support of a large segment of the 47% of the populace he wrote off back in May.

David Frum Eviscerates Charles Murray’s Latest Book

David Frum begins a withering review for The Daily Beast, “Charles Murray’s Coming Apart: The State of White America, 1960-2010 is an important book that will have large influence. It is unfortunately not a good book.”

Why Republicans Will Keep House in 2012

Republican pollster Glen Bolger makes a bold promise: The GOP will retain House control in 2012 – Guaranteed.

Demographics: 2010 vs 2008

The 2010 electorate was whiter, older, and more conservative than that of 2008.

Does Harvard Discriminate Against Whites?

Rural whites are outperformed by Jews and Asians and passed over by blacks and Hispanics in the name of “diversity” by elite universities.

Sweetie-gate