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Polling Errors in the UK Elections

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Some may recall that the polling for the House of Commons elections in 2015 did a pretty poor job of predicting the final outcome.  A piece in the Guardian discusses some studies as to why that may have been the case:  Why opinion pollsters failed to predict overall majority for David Cameron. Analysis undertaken by polling […]

France’s National Front Suffers Setbacks In 2nd Round Voting, But Still Seems Likely To Rise

Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen suffered setbacks in the second round of regional voting on Sunday, but the party still seems likely to become more popular in the coming years.

National Front Makes Major Gains In French Regional Elections

Eiffel Tower French Tricolor

Europe’s anti-immigrant, xenophobic far right scored major victories in France yesterday.

NATO Admitting Montenegro As Full Member For Some Reason

NATO

NATO is extending full membership to the tiny nation of Montenegro, and there doesn’t seem to be a good reason why they’re doing it.

German Parliament Approves Expansion Of Involvement In Anti-ISIS Campaign

German Flag

The German Parliament has approved expansion of the nation’s involvement in the campaign against ISIS, but that doesn’t make the current campaign any less incoherent.

British Parliament Approves Airstrikes Against ISIS In Syria

OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA

The British Parliament has approved expansion of that countries airstrikes into Syria, but it’s unclear just how much of an impact that will have on the ground.

The Vote Could Be As Much As Two Years Away, But Support For A ‘Brexit’ Seems To Be Growing

British European Flags

A vote is still as much as two years away, and support for staying in the E.U. still has the most support, but support for the idea of a British exit from the European Union has grown in the past several months.

Is Portugal Europe’s Next Greece?

EUropean Portugese Flags

The election of an anti-austerity government in Portugal is raising some concerns.

Francois Hollande’s Quest For A United Front Against ISIS May Be Doomed To Fail

Hollande Putin

France’s President has spent the week trying to forge and agreement on an anti-ISIS policy, but the two nations that matter the most also disagree the most.

Tensions Between Russia And Turkey Remain High In Wake Of Russian Jet Incident

Turkey Russia Flags

Tensions between Russia and Turkey remain high in the wake of yesterday’s incident, but there are some signs that things are starting to cool down.

Turkey Downs Russian Jet

Turkey Russia Flags

A potentially big complication in an already complicated situation.

Brussels On ‘High Alert’ Over Fears Of Paris-Style Attack

Another European capital is on edge over fears of a terror attack.

Chief Suspect In Paris Attacks Killed In Police Raid, French Authorities Report

Paris Attack November 13-2

French officials have confirmed that Abdelhamid Abaaoud, the man believed to be the plotter of last Friday’s attacks in Paris, was killed in a police raid early Wednesday morning. This doesn’t mean authorities in France or elsewhere in Europe are any less concerned about future attacks, though.

Thanks To Pandering And Fearmongering, Syrian Refugees Are Now Pawns In American Politics

Syrian Refugees Coming Ashore In Greece

Syrian refugees have quickly become political footballs in the United States in the wake of the Paris attacks, and it’s become an exceedingly shameful display of pandering and fearmongering by a group of largely Republican politicians.

Russia Confirms Metrojet 9268 Brought Down By Bomb

Metrojet A321 Wreckage

Confirming speculation that had already been all but confirmed, we now know that it was a bomb that brought down a Russian passenger jet on October 31st.

France Strikes ISIS As Investigation Into Paris Attacks Continues

Paris Attack November 13-2

France launched its first attacks against ISIS even as the investigation into Friday’s attacks continues, but it’s not clear that the retaliation really accomplished anything.

Attack on France Is an Attack on the United States

A man holds up a sign which reads, "Je Suis Paris" ("I Am Paris") during a rally of solidarity outside the Consulate of France in Montreal, Quebec, Canada on Saturday, Nov. 14, 2015, to show his support to victims of the Paris attacks. (Graham Hughes/The Canadian Press via AP)

We are legally, morally, and practically obligated to respond. Let’s not do so stupidly.

Something to Consider Going Forward

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We can draw a rather direct line from the Iraq war to the rise of ISIS.

French President Blames ISIS For Paris’s Night Of Terror, Vows French Response

Paris Attack November 13-2

France’s President blames ISIS, vows response, as death toll from Paris terror attacks stands at at least 127.

Legislators In Catalonia Push Measure For Independence From Spain

People hold "estelada" flags, Catalan separatist flags, during a gathering to mark the Calatalonia day "Diada" in central Barcelona

Legislators in Spain’s Catalonia region took a step toward independence, but Madrid apparently wants nothing to do with it.

Consensus Continues To Grow That Russian Airliner Was Taken Out By A Bomb

Metrojet A321 Wreckage

The investigation continues, but the consensus seems to be growing that Metrojet 9268 was taken out by a bomb.

America’s ‘Alliance’ Against ISIS Exists Mostly On Paper, Not In Reality

Obama ISIS

America’s much touted international coalition against ISIS is, essentially a Coalition In Name Only.

Malaysian Air Flight 17 Inquiry Finds Plane Most Likely Taken Down By Russian Missile

Malaysia Air Flight 17 Crash Scene

A Dutch inquiry has largely confirmed what was widely believed about the fate of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17.

Neither The United States Nor Russia Have A Coherent Policy In Syria

Obama and Putin

With Russia now launching its own airstrikes in Syria, it’s become obvious that U.S. policy in the Syrian Civil War is irrational and contradictory. And Russia’s policy isn’t any better.

U.S. To Increase Number Of Syrian Refugees Accepted Into The Country

Syrian Refugees

The U.S. is set to ramp up its contribution to dealing with the Syrian refugee crisis, but there’s a lot more we can do.

British Labour Party Takes A Strong Tilt Left In Leadership Election

Jeremy Corbyn

Britain’s Labour Party has taken a hard tilt left with the election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader.

As Far As Europe Is Concerned, The Debate Over The Iran Nuclear Deal Is Over

Iran Nuclear Deal Congress

Congress is set to debate the Iran nuclear deal next month, but as far as Europe is concerned the debate is already over.

Why Does Europe Want To Keep Greece?

Greek European Union Flags

It’s easy to see what Greece thinks it still needs Europe, it’s more of puzzle why Europe thinks it needs to hang on to Greece.

Greece Reaches Deal With Europe That’s Quite Similar To The One Voters Rejected

Greek European Union Flags

Greece reached a new deal with European bankers that seems oddly similar to the one that voters rejected just a week ago.

Sunday Deadline for Greece

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Via the BBC:   Greece debt crisis: Eurozone ‘gives Sunday debt deadline’ They had better get their act together (yes, I know) as their performance today was, well, underwhelming:  Greece turned up empty-handed to emergency bailout talks.

Greek Voters Reject Bailout Deal, Greece Still Largely Screwed

Greek European Union Flags

Greek voters rejected the latest bailout package, but that only seems likely to make things even worse for them.

Greek Priorities

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Via Reuters:  Despite crisis, few Greeks ready to forgo coffee “Greeks are ready to cut anything else, but not their coffee. Customer traffic is stable,” said Kleanthis Kanellos, 34-year-old manager of the packed Old Flo cafe in a working class district of Athens. Well, one has to have one’s priorities straight (although their propensity toward […]

Greek Prime Minister Appears To Concede, But Europe Holds To A Hard Line

Greek European Union Flags

Greece’s Prime Minister seemed to give in to some of Europe’s demands today, but bankers are continuing to hold to the strict conditions they set last week.

Greek Banks To Remain Closed Monday As Debt Negotiations Head To The Wire

Greek European Union Flags

The Greek Government is basically shutting the banking system down tomorrow as negotiations over its debt problems continue.

Marine Le Pen Forms Far Right Bloc In European Parliament

European Union Flag

Led by Marianne Le Pen, the head of France’s National Front, far right parties in the European Parliament have formed a coalition: PARIS — More than a year after populist, far-right parties surged in elections for the European Parliament, several of them announced on Tuesday that they had finally banded together with the goal of […]

U.S. Poised To Store Military Equipment In Eastern Europe, Baltics

U.S. Tank Lithuania

In what seems to be a clear signal to Russia, the U.S. is considering pre-positioning military equipment in nation’s very close to Russian borders.

Vladimir Putin Decrees That Russian Military Deaths Are Now A State Secret

Putin Smirk

If a Russian solider dies, it’s now a secret thanks to a new decree signed by the Russian President.

Irish Voters Overwhelmingly Vote In Favor Of Same-Sex Marriage

Ireland Marriage Referendum

Voters in Ireland have overwhelmingly approved a referendum legalizing same-sex marriage.

Ukraine Heads Down The Authoritarian Road With New Restrictions On Speech

Ukraine Flag

Disturbing developments on the part of the Ukrainian government.

What Went Wrong With The Polls In The British Election?

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Pollsters on both sides of the Atlantic have been trying to figure out why the polls released right up until the eve of the British General Election were so wrong. Here’s one theory, and it’s very compelling.

David Cameron To Propose Broad Expansion Of Powers To Crackdown On ‘Extremism’

David Cameron

Fresh off an election victory, British Prime Minister David Cameron is set to propose a series of new measures to crackdown on extremism that raise serious civil liberties concerns.

Irish Voters To Vote On Legalizing Same-Sex Marriage On May 22nd

Gay Marriage Wedding Cake Two Women

In just over a week, Ireland seems set to become the first nation in the world to legalize same-sex marriage via referendum: DUBLIN — In less than two weeks, the Republic of Ireland could become the first country in the world to allow same-sex couples to marry thanks to a popular vote, boosting the marriage-equality […]

The British General Election And The Future Of The United Kingdom

British Houses Of Parliament

With the election behind him, David Cameron’s biggest problems may be yet to come.

European Commission Plan Would Require All E.U. Members To Accept Migrants

European Union Flag

A plan to distribute migrants from the conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa across the entire European Union seems destined to cause political conflict.

Jim Messina Beats David Axelrod In British Election Battle

David Axelrod Jim Messina

The just-concluded British General Election was also a clash between two former top advisers to President Obama.

David Cameron And Britain’s Conservative Party Score A Surprising Win

David Cameron

After weeks of polls predicting a political stalemate or worse, British voters delivered a strong win for David Cameron and the Tories.

Germans Restrict Cooperation With The U.S. On Intelligence

Obama Merkel

Largely in reaction to revelations about N,S.A. surveillance, Germany has cut back on its intelligence cooperation with the United States.

As Great Britain Heads To The Polls, Uncertainty Reigns

British Flag

The political outlook in the United Kingdom is as uncertain as it has ever been.

The Most Important Person In British Politics May Be Someone Who Isn’t On The Ballot

Nicola Sturgeon

Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party, could hold the key to the future of Britain in her hands after the election ends on May 7th.

Headline of the Day (UK Elections Edition)

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Via The Telegraph:  Student loses trousers while taking selfie with Nick Clegg. Video at the link.

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