2014 Midterm Election Predictions

Time to look into the crystal ball.

The Senate’s Class 2 and Representativeness (or Lack Thereof)

Something to keep in mind about the structure of Senate elections.

“Controlling” the Senate

That word may not mean what you think it means.

Which Party Is Benefiting From Early Voting?

Early numbers seem to suggest that it depends on which state you’re looking at.

Stop Trying To Intimidate People Into Voting

There’s nothing wrong with choosing not to vote.

Marijuana Legalization On The Ballot In Oregon, Alaska, And Washington, D.C.

Two states and the nation’s capital could have legal marijuana after Tuesday’s elections.

What If Republicans Don’t Win Control Of The Senate?

The odds say that the GOP will end up with a Senate majority in the 114th Congress when all the votes are counted, but if it doesn’t happen then there’s likely to be quite a battle inside the GOP.

House Lawsuit Against Obama Hits Another Snag

At this rate, it’s unlikely the House will file any kind of lawsuit against President Obama until 2015, assuming it ever files anything.

Slipping Support Among Key Groups, And Obama’s Job Approval, Have Democrats Worried

Important numbers in recent polling suggest big problems for Democrats on Tuesday.

The Phony Populism Of Politicians

Politicians on both sides of the aisle like to tell people they’re just “average Americans,” but they’re lying and the American people seem to have figured out that they’re lying.

Rand Paul’s Foreign Policy Ideas Present An Opportunity For the GOP

Kentucky Senator Rand Paul continues to challenge Republican orthodoxy on foreign policy, and that’s a good thing.

Virginia GOP Senate Candidate Using Redskins Name Controversy In Hail Mary Ad Campaign

Republican Senate candidate Ed Gillespie picked an odd issue on which to start his closing argument to Virginia voters.

Pat Roberts Engages In Gitmo Fearmongering To Win Re-Election

Facing a tough re-election battle, Kansas Senator Pat Roberts is engaging in abject fearrmongering.

With One Week To Go, The Midterms Are Looking Good For the GOP

Things are looking good for the GOP to take over the Senate, but there are still several right races that could tip the balance one way or the other.

In Many States, It’s A Midterm Election In Name Only

In many states, there aren’t really any races at all this year even if both parties have candidates on the ballot.

Mississippi Supreme Court Rules Against Chris McDaniel In Dispute Over GOP Senate Primary

The most bizarre race of 2014 is finally over.

Voters Still Not Caring Very Much About The Midterms, And That’s No Surprise

Polls continue to show that most Americans are largely tuning the midterms out.

The Midterm Elections Will Be Over In 13 Days. Or Will They?

There’s at least a 50-50 chance we won’t know who controls the Senate until weeks after Election Day.

Republicans Have Little Incentive To Move Forward On Immigration Reform

Despite conventional wisdom, there remains little incentive for the GOP to change its position on immigration reform.

Obama’s Diminished Standing Among Women Is Hurting Democrats In The Midterms

To a large degree, the Democratic Party’s supposed advantage among women voters appears to not exist this year.

Maine Yet Again Likely To Elect A Governor Who Most People Didn’t Vote For, And That’s Okay

For the ninth time since 1974, the next Governor of Maine will likely be elected with less than 50% of the vote.

Noncompetitive House Elections

My ongoing crusade to spark thought and discussion on the quality of representation in the US Congress.

Texas Attorney General Makes A Particularly Silly Argument Against Same-Sex Marriage

Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott has made an incredibly weak argument in favor of his state’s ban on same-sex marriage.

Democrats Starting To Worry About Turnout In The Midterms

Democrats are starting to worry that low turnout could turn a good year for the GOP into a very good year.

Federal Judge Strikes Down Texas Voter ID Law

A victory for opponents of Voter ID in Texas, but it’s not likely to stand up on appeal.

Alison Lundergan Grimes Really Doesn’t Want To Admit She Voted For Obama

Sometimes, being evasive in answering a question just makes a politician look silly. This is one of those times.

Supreme Court Blocks Wisconsin Voter ID Law, But Will Likely Uphold It In The End

Opponents of Voter ID laws should not get too excited over the fact that the Supreme Court has stayed Wisconsin’s law from going into effect for now.

Wendy Davis’s Campaign Takes The Low Road

The nastiest campaign ad of the 2014 cycle is here, and Wendy Davis should be ashamed of it.

A Cautionary Note About Polling Between Now And Election Day

Individual polls are likely to be volatile, so don’t pay too much attention to them.

Obama May Punt On Executive Action On Immigration, Even After The Election

Will the President back track on his promise of further action on immigration if the GOP wins the Senate?

A Surprise Brewing In South Dakota’s Senate Race?

Is former Senator Larry Pressler surging in his Independent bid to win back his old Senate seat?

About That Poll Showing Alison Lundergan Grimes Leading Mitch McConnell

Could Alison Lundergran Grimes be surging? Maybe, but we’ll need more evidence to be sure.