Trump Likely to be Favored in 2020
The campaign-agnostic political science models predicted a toss-up in 2016 and again in 2020.
Democrats Need A Big Wave To Take Back The House. They Might Not Get It.
If the polls are any indication, Democrats may fall short in their bid to take back the House in November.
Republican Midterm Optimism Mostly Misguided
Recent polls have caused Republicans to become more optimistic about their chances in this year’s midterms. That optimism is both premature and misplaced.
British Voters Head To The Polls In The Wake Of Campaign Marred By Terror Attacks
Great Britain heads to the polls today.
Today in “Asked and Answered” (NPV Edition)
How close to success is the National Popular Vote initiative? (Spoiler alert: not close).
Counter-Point: The ‘Popular Vote’ is Relevant
The President-elect lost the popular vote. Legally, that is the way that is it. This is a disgrace for “the Greatest Democracy in the World.”
The ‘Popular Vote’ is Irrelevant
The candidate I voted for got more than 200,000 votes for president than the winner. I’m okay with that.
Trump Leads Clinton After Convention Bounce
The worst convention in history has given Trump a yuuge bounce.
Clinton Holds Slight Lead Over Trump As General Election Race Begins
Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.
Bad News For Hillary Clinton, Or Much Ado About Nothing In New Battleground Polls?
Polling in three battleground states shows Hillary Clinton slightly trailing three top Republicans, but it means far less than you might think.
With The Midterms Done, Will Republican State Legislators Revisit Electoral College “Reforms?”
After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.
New York Becomes 11th ‘State’ To Pass National Popular Vote Law
New York has joined nine other states and the District of Columbia to vote to for an Electoral College bypass.
Allocating Electoral Votes By Congressional District Is A Bad Idea
Some proposed reforms just need to be ignored.
2012 Pollster Rankings: Rasmussen And Gallup Among The Least Accurate
There are some expected and unexpected results in Nate Silver’s review of pollster accuracy in 2012.
Unfortunately For the GOP, Democrats Have An Electoral College Advantage
The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.
Presidents Do Foreign Policy, Too?
In a posting for New Atlanticist titled “Status Quo Election,” I note the near total absence of foreign affairs from a presidential campaign that’s mercifully coming to an end.
There’s No Good Reason To Get Rid Of The Electoral College
The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.
Gender Gap: Gone Yet at Record High
A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.
Romney and Obama Work for Every Vote, Especially in Small States (Oh, Wait…)
No, the electoral college does not encourage the candidates to pay special attention to the small states.
Can Mitt Romney Turn This Election Around?
It’s still possible for Mitt Romney to win this election, but is it probable?
Romney Falling Behind In New National Polls
The most recent round of national polling seems to show that the negative attacks on Romney are having an impact.
Pennsylvania Ponders Bold Democrat-Screwing Electoral Plan
Republicans have a plan to wrest half of the Keystone State’s electors from Obama.
In Defense Of The Electoral College
The Electoral College is the worst way to elect a President, except for all the others.
National Popular Vote Initiative Passes in Mass.
Massachusetts becomes the latest state to join in the National Popular Vote initiative.
Massachussets Approves Electoral College Bypass
Massachusetts will become the latest state to join the National Popular Vote movement, a compact wherein states throw their Electoral College votes to the nationwide winner once enough states agree to ensure that outcome.
