2012 Congressional Election Predictions

OTB bloggers give their best guesses on the House and Senate races.

If Obama Wins (Even If He Doesn’t), The Campaign For 2016 Will Begin Soon

It’s just a few days until the 2012 campaign ends, and the jostling for position for 2016 begins.

Romney and Obama Work for Every Vote, Especially in Small States (Oh, Wait…)

No, the electoral college does not encourage the candidates to pay special attention to the small states.

Legitimate Reasons To Question September’s BLS Household Survey

While the conspiracy theory is nuts, there are legitimate reasons to be skeptical of some elements of September’s Jobs Report.

Prospects For GOP Senate Takeover Appear To Be Slipping Away

It’s looking less likely that the GOP will be able to gain control of the Senate.

Federal Court Strikes Down Texas Voter ID Law

A legal setback for the Texas Voter ID law, but not much of a political setback for Voter ID laws in general.

Why Veterans Can’t Fit In On Campus

An Atlantic story on veterans returning to college is both poignant and miscast.

Drunken Bigfoot Hoax Goes Horribly Wrong

A 44-year-old Montana man went into traffic dressed as Bigfoot. It did not end well.

What Citizens United Changed: Not Much

While the Supreme Court’s decision in Citizens United has been blamed for the massive increase in money in this year’s campaign, it really wasn’t the culprit.

Supreme Court Rejects Montana Law, Rules That Citizens United Applies To States

An unsurprising decision from the Supreme Court.

Yes, Barack Obama Inhaled. So What?

A new book about the President details his marijuana use in High School and at Occidental College.

The Battle For The Senate

The battle is on for control of the Senate, but whoever wins is likely to have a very slim majority.

Gary Johnson Wins Libertarian Party Nomination For President

The Libertarian Party has chosen another former Republican politician as their Presidential nominee.

SEALs Swift Boating Obama?

Some Navy SEALs are weighing in on the brouhaha.

Court Rules That Accessing OTB At Work Isn’t A Federal Crime

A Federal Court rejects an effort to significantly expand the application of a law designed to target computer hacking.

Republicans Clash In The Battle Of Myrtle Beach

Mitt Romney’s rivals scored a few hits on him last night, but nothing that’s likely to make a difference.

A Glance Into The Crystal Ball For 2012

So, what’s next?

Gingrich: Abolish 9th Circuit

Newt Gingrich last night declared that he would abolish the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals.

Remember That Ban On Earmarks? Apparently, Some Congressmen Don’t.

The much celebrated ban on earmarks isn’t stopping Congressmen from trying to earmark.

Obama at Majority Disapproval; Re-election Likely

51.5 percent of Americans disapprove of President Obama’s job performance. It’s still his race to lose.

Rick Perry Holds Commanding Lead In GOP Race, But Obama Still Competitive In General Election

Is the GOP race really down to just two men at this point?

Land Rich and Cash Poor

Montana Congressman Denny Rehberg is catching some flak for complaining that he’s “struggling like everyone else” despite a net worth in the millions.

Tea Party Politics At The State Level: Less Libertarian, More Authoritarian

If you look at the Tea Party’s impact on state politics, you see it really isn’t much different from the Religious Right.

Switch From Cable to Satellite – Get a Free Gun

Customers at a Radio Shack in Montana have an opportunity to get a free gun if they switch to Dish Network.

Obama’s State-Level Job Approval Polls And The 2012 Election

A new set of polls from Gallup show that President Obama is still looking good for re-election.

Moderate Democrats Turning Against PPCACA’s Individual Mandate

Four Senators who just happen to be up for re-election next year are silently looking for alternatives to the Affordable Care Act’s individual mandate.

Aaron Rodgers: Best Quarterback Ever?!

Mike Tanier of Football Outsiders explain why Aaron Rodgers’ ranking as the best quarterback in NFL history is absurd.

Idaho Resurrects Discredited Idea Of Nullification In Health Care Reform Battle

Republicans in Idaho are talking about resurrecting the foolish and discredited idea of nullification as a weapon in the fight against ObamaCare.

More Talk of 14th Amendment Reform

The author of AZ’s SB1070 has a new idea.

Jury Nullification In Action: Montana Jury Pool Refuses To Convict For Marijuana Possession

A case in Montana brings to the forefront a power most prospective jurors aren’t aware they have.

435 Representatives: Unconstitutional?

Is Congress too small and unequal to do its job?

POL 101: A Question about Representation

Are the interests of a given state different than the interests of the people living in that state?

Can Senate Democrats Eliminate The Filibuster? Should They?

With Democrats set to maintain their majority in the Senate, some on the left are pushing for filibuster reform. However, it seems unlikely that Harry Reid has the votes to change a long-standing Senate rule.

Geithner Briefed Jon Stewart

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner held a private, off-the-record meeting in comedian Jon Stewart’s office back in April. Speculation abounds.

Chris Christie Kills Hudson Rail Project

New Jersey’s governor has killed a vital infrastructure project because of huge cost overruns. It’s penny wise and pound foolish.

Was Donovan McNabb Traded Because He Was Black?

A renowned sports economist argues that black quarterbacks are treated differently than their white counterparts.

Democrats Lack Votes For Filibuster Reform

Much to the disappointment of Ezra Klein and others, it’s unlikely that Democrats will have the votes necessary to change the filibuster when the 112th Congress convenes.

Democratic Governors Warn White House On Immigration

The White House is making some very odd political choices in its response to the Arizona immigration law.