Outside the Beltway

A decades-long decline has ended.

You-VAL-dee? You-VAHL-day? Oo-VAHL-deh?

We know a lot less about the motives of spree killers than the public discourse suggests.

The numbers don’t match the perception.

The polls do not bode well for Democrats.

We did much better in 2020 and worse since 2021 than we thought.

Antiquated counting methods lead to misallocation of resources.

Greatest democracy in the world, right?

Data from Texas underscore a frequent point about primaries.

Officers are under enormous pressure–including from the Federal government–to write tickets.

A paradox that’s not hard to explain.

Women are increasingly dominating American higher education.

Rural-urban is now a bigger divide than North-South.

It hasn’t changed in over 100 years (but the population sure has).

The long demographic trend continues.

Fear of Chinese spies led to a bizarre and illegal operation within the Commerce Department.

Almost everyone in households making over $75,000 are protected from COVID.

A completely unsurprising 6-3 decision.

It turns out a 51-50 Senate majority isn’t enough.

The Commonwealth is much more diverse than national election returns might indicate.

And general considerations on mid-term elections.

Huge swaths of the country are underserved.

We’re at the lowest rate in generations.

Assessing Republican strategic positioning (and the incentives in our system).

On fiscal policy and historical comparisons.

The trends over the last half century are really something.

The long shift of population from the Rust Belt to the Sun Belt continues—with the unusual exception of California.

Quite a number of Democratic Congressmen are thinking about seeking a new job.

Any “fair” drawing of districts will yield a GOP advantage over time.

Mitch McConnell is testing out his spine again.

Policy wonks are seeing a refreshing return to the normal order. Some believe that’s a bad thing.

A startling number than may understate the problem.

President Trump’s illegal plan to exclude illegal aliens may have been thwarted.

Thinking about unsupported narratives and a little bit about data usage.

A legally correct ruling based on a lie.

Injecting data into the conversation.

A long-winded and esoteric discussion about an elusive idea.

It will, however, be appealed to SCOTUS.

Already-high rates have been exacerbated by the pandemic.

Is the Chief Justice laying a trap or simply ‘calling balls and strikes’?

Donald Trump would be a more effective and dangerous President if he and his team were more competent.

Contrary to some expectations, Americans are logging three extra hours of work a day.

Tomorrow, the Supreme Court will hear argument in a case likely to decide the fate of former President Obama’s DACA program.

Virginia voters don’t like Donald Trump, or Republicans in general, very much right now, and that could translate into Democrats taking control of the state legislature for the first time in nearly 30 years.

October’s jobs report came back better than expected but hardly something to cheer.

An iconic and honorable Member of Congress has passed away.

The White House is doubling down on its illegitimate stonewalling of valid Congressional document requests.

The Supreme Court returns to work today with a significant number of high-profile cases on its docket.

A somewhat disappointing jobs report for September.

The August Jobs Report came in below expectations as other economic statistics point to a slowing economy.