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Rand Paul Speaks Out Against Potential Trump Nominees

Rand Paul Filibuster

Kentucky Senator Rand Paul is speaking out against several of President-Elect Trump’s proposed Cabinet nominees.

Secretary Of State Rudy Giuliani?

Richard Branson & Rudy Giuliani Visit "Cavuto" On FOX Business Network

A surprising name is emerging as the likely pick for the nation’s top diplomatic position.

Rudy Giuliani: I’m Not Running In 2012

Rudy Giuliani

To nobody’s actual surprise, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani says he’s out for 2012: In other news on doors shutting, Rudy Giuliani announced at a Long Island Association event just now that he’s not running for president. Asked by the group’s president Ken Law about reports that he had sent messages to New Hampshire […]

Mitt Romney’s Vanilla Foreign Policy

Mitt Romney

Romney’s VFW speech was filled with tropes and bromides but nothing that should raise eyebrows.

Rudy Giuliani Says Decision on Presidential Run Coming In September

giuliani-serious

Although it seems incredibly unlikely that he’ll actually do it, Rudy Giuliani says that he’ll announce whether he’ll be running for President some time in September: Rudy Giuliani is still considering a presidential bid and said on CNN’s “Piers Morgan Tonight” he will make a decision by the end of September. (…) “I don’t think […]

Rudy Giuliani To GOP: Stay Out Of People’s Bedrooms

giuliani-serious

While he continues to flirt with the idea of running for President again, Rudy Giuliani has a message for his party that probably won’t go over very well among the base: Rudy Giuliani, always a critic of his party’s social agenda, urged Republicans to “move on” from social issues after New York State’s recent approval […]

Bill Kristol: Rudy Giuliani Is Running For President Again

giuliani-serious

The Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol says that Rudy Giuliani is running for President: I’m told by two reliable sources that Rudy Giuliani intends to run for the GOP nomination for president in 2012. He may throw his hat in the ring soon. Rudy’s theory of the race: In the fall of 2007, he decided he […]

Rudy Giuliani Leads Republican Field: CNN Poll

2012-republicans-cnn-20110527

Former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani tops the latest CNN poll of Republican presidential contenders.

Report: Rudy Giuliani “Very Close” To Entering 2012 Race

giuliani-serious

For reasons that only he completely understands, Rudy Giuliani is keeping the Presidential speculation alive: Former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, whose presidential campaign fizzled in 2008, is leaning toward another race for the White House, according to a close associate.  New York Republican Rep. Peter King, who has known Giuliani for more than 40 […]

Rudy Giuliani Apparently Still Thinks Anyone Wants Him To Be President

giuliani-serious

Despite running one of the biggest failures in American political history, Rudy Giuliani says he could be talked into running for President again: Rudy Giuliani called for a return to American exceptionalism Friday, telling a group of GOP lawyers gathered in the nation’s capital that Ronald Reagan fundamentally changed how Americans felt about themselves. Before […]

Giuliani Running for Senate, Not Governor

Rudy Giuliani Senate

Yesterday, the NYT and other outlets reported that former NYC mayor Rudy Giuliani has decided against running for governor of New York.  But the Daily News is reporting that he is instead “very likely” to run in the special election to fill the remaining two years of Hillary Clinton’s U.S. Senate seat. The Republican heavyweight […]

Mike Huckabee and the GOP

republican-primary-totals-final

Daniel Larison is a bit too charitable here in assessing Mike Huckabee’s finish in last year’s presidential primaries: While Huckabee was officially the second-biggest vote-getter in the primaries last year, he achieved this mostly through perseverance and concentrated support from evangelical voters. Had Romney continued to compete and waste his money on what would still […]

Three Strikes

adultery-cartoon

Matt Yglesias justifiably has some fun with the news that twice divorced, thrice married Newt Gingrich is charging that “The Democratic Party has been the active instrument of breaking down traditional marriage.”  And one can’t blame him for being amused that twice divorced, thrice married Rudy Giuliani is championing traditional marriage as a cornerstone of […]

Questioning Their Motives

us-politics

Victor Davis Hanson has a piece out today that I suspect will be the first of many of its kind. Intermixed with some excellent points about the perception of McCain campaign negativity, the politics of race, and scandalmongering, he aims this cheap shot at Republicans who have expressed dismay at McCain or even endorsed his […]

Palin’s Speech Reax

Sarah Palin Republican Convention Photo

Most of the analysis of Sarah Palin’s vice presidential acceptance speech has, predictably, divided on party lines. Republicans tended to love it, thinking it struck the right tone, while Democrats think it was mean-spirited and full of lies. If one reads through the text of the remarks, thereby ignoring the delivery and optics, one sees […]

John McCain ‘Love’ Ad

us-politics

John McCain’s latest ad, “Love,” contrasts himself with those dirty hippies who spent the summer of 1968 on sex, drugs, and rock and roll rather than being tortured for their country. The voiceover: It was a time of uncertainty, hope and change. The “Summer Of Love.” Half a world away, another kind of love — […]

Obama = Charismatic = Hitler = Armageddon

us-politics

Arthur Silber is, as am I, fascinated by the cult of personality surrounding Barack Obama.  He notes some anecdotal creepy gushing on a local radio show and then Reactions of this kind to Obama are fairly common. No, they are not this extreme much of the time, but such statements are far from unusual. And […]

McCain’s First Wife

Carol McCain - John's First WIfe

Steve Benen points to a Daily Mail piece about John McCain’s first wife, Carol, whom he divorced for a younger, more attractive, wealthier woman a few years after returning from Vietnam and wonders if there isn’t a double standard at work. Now, I should clarify that as far as I’m concerned, McCain’s marital difficulties and […]

Giuliani Eyes New York Governor Bid

Giuliani Eyes New York Governor Bid

Rudy Giuliani is likely to run for the governorship of New York, should there be another sudden vacancy. In the latest twist in New York politics, Rudy Giuliani is eyeing a run for governor in a special election this fall should Gov. Paterson be forced to resign, sources say. A top adviser to the former […]

Mike Huckabee (Finally) Withdraws

Mike Huckabee (Finally) Withdraws

Now that John McCain has mathematically sewn up the nomination even without the delegates Mitt Romney pledged to him, Mike Huckabee has given up his candidacy. Calling his White House bid the “journey of a lifetime”, Huckabee spoke Tuesday night from Irving, TX commending McCain on an “honorable campaign” and emphasizing his commitment to the […]

John McCain’s Vice Presidential Not-So-Short List

us-politics

John Hawkins lists 24 candidates that John McCain might conceivably pick as his running mate with synopses as to the pros and cons of each. I’m rather sure the eventual choice is on that list, as there’s nobody that I’ve heard of who isn’t. Indeed, there are several people I haven’t heard of on it. […]

Fred Thompson Endorses McCain

Fred Thompson Endorses McCain

Fred Thompson has become the latest former 2008 Republican presidential candidate to endorse John McCain. Fred Thompson, the one-time Republican presidential candidate, endorsed Sen. John McCain Friday, calling on the party to “close ranks” behind the presumed nominee. “This is no longer about past preferences or differences. It is about what is best for our […]

McCain’s Giuliani Bounce

McCain's Giuliani Bounce Gallup Tracking

John McCain has been the primary beneficiary of Rudy Giuliani’s exit from the race, the latest Gallup national tracking poll shows. John McCain continues to be the primary beneficiary of Rudy Giuliani’s recent exit from the Republican race for president. The percentage of Republican primary voters nationwide favoring McCain for the nomination rose from 39% […]

Schwarzenegger, Giuliani and McCain Republicans

Schwarzenegger, Giuliani and McCain Republicans

RealClearPolitics‘ John McIntyre reminds us that the 2004 convention gave President Bush a large bounce in the polls, while the Democratic convention did next to nothing for John Kerry. He’s got an interesting theory on why that was: Who did Karl Rove and the GOP strategists chose to put front and center on prime-time television […]

Mitt Romney’s Fuzzy Nomination Math

us-politics

Hugh Hewitt looks at the Super Tuesday math and concludes that his guy, Mitt Romney, will still be very much in the race afterwards. I’m rather dubious on his “worst case” scenario actually being that but he’s fundamentally right: McCain won’t have the nomination mathematically sewn up at day’s end. Still, it’s not looking good […]

The End of 9/11 Politics?

The End of 9/11 Politics?

Ben Smith and David Paul Kuhn argue that Rudy Giuliani’s poor showing in this campaign “seems also to mark the beginning of the end of a period in Republican politics that began on Sept. 11, 2001.” “There’s a paradox for Rudy,” said former Nebraska Sen. Bob Kerrey, who was a member of the 9/11 Commission. […]

Florida Primary Postmortem

John McCain Wins Florida Primary

The victories of John McCain and Hillary Clinton in Florida last night presage what will happen in next week’s Super Duper Tuesday contests and have significantly reshaped the race. Polls and Predictions Compared to Final Results The polls finally got one right, correctly predicting the winners and the order of finish of all challengers with […]

Giuliani To Endorse McCain

Giuliani To Endorse McCain Tomorrow

Mark Halperin: “SOURCES: Giuliani expected to endorse McCain, as early as Wednesday — in Los Angeles or Simi Valley.” Various others have speculated on this endorsement this evening, including Bill Bennett. ABC News’ Jake Tapper and Rick Klein have independent confirmation: Rudy Giuliani will board a plane to California on Wednesday morning, as planned. But, […]

Florida Primary Results: McCain, Clinton Win

Florida Primary Results McCain Romney Giuliani

Hardly any of the vote is in yet but, thus far, it’s tracking the pre-election polls nicely: Democrats: Clinton 25,116 58% 0 Obama 9,072 21% 0 Edwards 7,151 17% 0 Kucinich 411 1% 0 Republicans: McCain 12,180 29% 0 Romney 11,874 28% 0 Giuliani 7,625 18% 0 Huckabee 7,470 18% 0 Thompson 1,465 4% 0 […]

Florida Primary Predictions

Florida Primary Predictions:  McCain and Clinton

Yes, it’s that time again: trying to make predictions in a political season that’s largely defying predictability. Polls are open today in Florida, the last primary state before next week’s Super Tuesday extravaganza, and it’s an important contest, at least on the GOP side. As for the Democrats, it’ll be a complete shock if Hillary […]

Rudy Giuliani to Drop Out if He Doesn’t Win Florida?

Rudy Giuliani to Drop Out if He Doesn't Win Florida?

Rudy Giuliani is likely to end his presidential campaign if he doesn’t win today’s Florida primary, Andrew Malcolm reports for the LAT. Rudy Giuliani appears to be pondering an end to his long pursuit of the Republican presidential nomination. In a meeting in the back of his chartered plane en route to St. Petersburg, Fla., […]

Super Tuesday Not So Super?

Super Tuesday Not So Super?

While nearly two dozen states moved their primaries to February 5th in order to have a say in choosing the party nominees for president, the so-called Super Duper Tuesday will likely not be decisive, an AP analysis suggests. The race for delegates is so close in both parties that it is mathematically impossible for any […]

Everybody Hates Mitt

Everybody Hates Mitt Romney Photo

While the Republican field is doing a reasonably good job of adhering to Ronald Reagan’s 11th Commandment, they’re all willing to make an exception for Mitt Romney, Michael Luo reports for the NYT. With so much attention recently on the sniping between Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama on the Democratic side, the almost […]

Paul Beats Romney in Louisiana, Trails Dropout Thompson

us-politics

The first part of the headline is what the Ronulans want you to take away from the results of last night’s Louisiana Republican Caucuses, where in actuality the rump of Fred Thompson’s state organization was able to secure backing for a “pro-life uncommitted” slate of delegates; delegates pledged to John McCain (who had no active […]

Giuliani in Florida Freefall

Florida Primary Polls Republicans

Rudy Giuliani, despite putting all his eggs in his Florida basket, has dropped to third place in two recent polls (one conducted before Fred Thompson’s withdrawal, one after) even after considering the former poll’s whopping 5.1-point 95% confidence margin, suggesting that Rudy’s strategy of saturating the state with ads before any elections elsewhere had taken […]

Why Campaign Coverage Doesn’t Suck

Political Media Horse Race

Jay Rosen explains “Why campaign coverage sucks” for Salon. It’s an excellent exposition on the damage that the media’s pack mindset and obsession with the political horse race does to the contest. He notes, quite correctly, that bloggers aren’t much better. The critique, though, is too one sided. The current generation of political reporters has […]

Does Losing Focus the Attention?

us-politics

One of the key points I meant to address but failed to in my earlier response to Steve Bainbridge is this: Mason Colley quipped that “Victory brings obliviousness; defeat, attentiveness.” […] Just as the Israelis had to be punished for listening to the 10 fearful spies, the GOP needs to be punished for having been […]

McCain Leads Giuliani in New York

McCain Leads Giuliani in New York

As if more evidence were needed of the perils of Rudy Giuliani’s “big state strategy,” a new Siena College poll has him trailing John McCain in his home state of New York. “In a stunning turnaround, John McCain has turned a 33-point deficit with Republican voters in December into a 12-point lead over Rudy Giuliani […]

Fred Thompson Loss Ends Republican Party

Fred Thompson Loss Ends Republican Party

Steve Bainbridge is preparing to sit out the 2008 election rather than vote for anyone but Fred Thompson. If the choice is between choosing the lesser of 4 evils and teeing up a process by which the GOP reinvents itself for the 21st Century, I’m inclined to opt for the latter. Coupled with losing Congress […]

South Carolina and Nevada Post-Mortem

Delegate Count Democrats 20 Jan 2008

I dashed off some quick thoughts last night after John McCain’s win in South Carolina but let’s look at the race more closely. Democrats Not much has changed, really, aside from a ratcheting up in the bitterness of the Clinton-Obama battle. Both Clinton and Obama are claiming victory in Nevada, with the former winning the […]

McCain Wins South Carolina Primary

John McCain - Mike Huckabee South Carolina Photo

John McCain, whose 2000 insurgent campaign was derailed in South Carolina, has emerged as the victor in 2008, holding off Mike Huckabee, this year’s surprise candidate and a native Southerner. Support from the state’s military veterans, who account for 25 percent of the electorate in the Republican contest, and support from independents and moderates helped […]

Nevada and South Carolina Predictions (Updated)

us-politics

While I’ve been spectacularly wrong on the Democratic results in New Hampshire and the Republican results in Michigan, I’ll nonetheless keep issuing these predictions for my own amusement, if nothing else. Today’s Republican primary in South Carolina will get most of the media attention but the voters in Nevada participate today in non-binding caucus that […]

McCain Derangement Syndrome

John McCain Scoop Jackson Democrat

Dean Barnett argues that John McCain is “a Scoop Jackson Democrat living under the Republican ‘big tent’” who “has an uncanny ability to drive virtually all conservatives nuts.” Let’s take the second part first, since that’s the thrust of the article: Sometimes, like when he voted against the Bush tax cuts, it almost seemed like […]

Giuliani, McCain Closest to Voters

Pew Ideological Placement Candidates

A new Pew Research Center study shows how Americans view the major candidates for the presidency in ideological terms: Here are the actual numbers: The black dots represent the self-identified ideology of each sample. Thus, Rudy Giuliani and John McCain have to be pleased by the results. Matt Yglesias correctly notes that it’s “bad news […]

Those Awful Polls

Iowa Poll Results vs. Iowa Vote Democrats

Beldar, commenting on my recent analysis of Fred Thompson’s chances in tomorrow’s South Carolina’s primary, observed, “you have far more faith in polls than I do, or than their results (especially recently) would merit.” There’s certainly reason to suspect the polls, given Hillary Clinton’s surprise win in New Hampshire and Mitt Romney’s larger-than-projected win in […]

Strategic Voting in South Carolina?

Fred Thompson South Carolina

Quin Hillyer makes an interesting — and judging by the polls, entirely academic — argument for why South Carolinians should vote for Fred Thompson, even if they prefer Rudy Giuliani or Mitt Romney. [H]e gives South Carolinians a chance to set out a marker and decapitate the presidential electoral primacy of Iowa and New Hampshire. […]

Michigan Post Mortem

Why Mitt Romney Won Michigan

While Mitt Romney’s victory last night in Michigan was hardly a shock in the way Hillary Clinton’s “comeback” in New Hampshire was, his nine point victory margin in a race that was too close to call exceeded expectations and should certainly give him a boost ahead of Super Tuesday. How Romney Won Romney was born […]

2008 Prediction Games

us-politics

Michael Medved has a much-linked column assessing the Republican candidates’ chances of beating Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama in November based on some “trial heat” surveys. He figures Mitt Romney is the worst of the plausible nominees and John McCain the best. Kevin Drum has found survey data which backs up his hunch that Hillary […]

McCain and Clinton Get Huge New Hampshire Bounce

McCain and Clinton Get Huge New Hampshire Bounce

The first major national poll since the New Hampshire primaries show huge jumps for John McCain and Hillary Clinton among registered voters in their parties. John McCain’s victory in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary appears to be paying off. The senator from Arizona is the front-runner in the battle for the Republican presidential nomination, according to […]

Rightosphere Temperature Check

us-politics

John Hawkins has conducted an unscientific survey of right-of-center bloggers on their preferences for Republican nominee. As I’d suspected, Fred Thompson is far, far more popular in the blogosphere than with the general public and Mike Huckabee is far less popular.

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