Outside the Beltway

Manipulating public opinion with dubious survey research.

He’s proposed a bill with no chance of passage seemingly timed to hurt his own party in the midterms.

An impasse over schedule flexibility could have widespread impact.

They could be overstating support for Democrats. Or understating it. Or be more or less right.

Roberts may not like it, but SCOTUS is political and does have a legitimacy problem.

Is that right? If so, is it reasonable?

And a reminder about Bannon’s wall grift.

More details from the Alaska special election.

For the first time in a long time, Presidential approval numbers and voter preferences aren’t’ aligned.

I warned you all, my predictions are notoriously wrong.

Focusing just on a given election is missing the big picture.

President Biden had a meeting with some historians. The horrors.

No one should draw conclusions about RCV from the AK special election.

Original blogger AllahPundit is leaving Hot Air after 16 years.

Both sides have had their say and now we wait for a ruling.

The President delivered a rousing stump speech from Independence Hall.

What’s being billed as the largest hike in years is anything but.

A Democrat will hold the seat until January at least.

Just when I think I’m out, they pull me back in again… [update: x2]

I mean, really, really, really bad for the former President and his legal team.

It appears that the DOJ has enough evidence to indict someone.

Partisanship may overcome poor candidate quality.

Rs still likely to win the chamber.

Many young, progressive Jews are feeling unwelcome in young, progressive circles.

A repeat of 1860 can’t happen. But something even worse could.

An unlikely source argues that it’s too big and poorly targeted.

Truth Social is not doing all that well.

As more details emerge about the documents he stole, defenders are falling away.

A few stories to comment on that did not lead to full posts.

Gallup has him at his highest point in a year.

A proposed $10,000 writeup would cost more than $300,000,000,000.

Why would the Trump team release a document that casts them in such a bad light?

American parties are coordination problems with shared branding.

Thoughts on the scenarios.

Is it time to call the whole thing off?

“Moderate” is up, “Liberal” is down, and “Conservative” is static. What does it mean?

Kushner book review edition.

When you tax sin, you need more of it.

What we believe and what we say we believe are often not the same.

The Trumper consolidation of their control of the GOP continues.

Running down the latest “known knowns” with just a bit of analysis

That’s some catch, that Catch-22.

Some quick hits.

They’re spending millions on issue ads in the wake of Dobbs.

Psst. Don’t tell anyone.

A bill that was never about the thing it’s called doesn’t do that thing.

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

This is as close as we get to Garland saying “Eff around, find out!”