Outside the Beltway

An attempt to lay down some basic groundwork for discussing this story.

The Democratic Party appears to have a lock on a substantial part of the Electoral College. That poses a problem for Republicans.

Republicans are trying to figure out what went wrong. Will they learn the right lessons from their loss?

I just came across Peggy Noonan’s pre-election column. It is quite illustrative.

If you’re a white Southerner who gets most of his information from Fox News and Rush Limbaugh, you probably don’t know a lot of people who voted for Barack Obama.

Will Ohio’s Provisional Ballot’s be 2012’s version of the Hanging Chad?

The 2012 Election promises to be close in the Popular Voter, but President Obama still retains an Electoral College advantage.

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis

The OTB gang give their best guess at the outcome of the 2012 presidential contest.

Making note of some of the predictions and such as we approach November 6th.

How Obama can have a 75 percent chance of winning an election despite being essentially tied in the polls:

Mitt Romney has ground to make up if he’s going to catch the President and there’s not much time left to do it.

A week out from the election, President Obama is a heavy favorite to win re-election. But the major press continues to pretend otherwise.

There are several circumstances under which we may not know who won the 2012 election for some time after November 6th

Congressman Steve Israel has proposed an amendment to the Constitution to award 29 bonus electoral votes to the popular vote winner.

The arguments in favor of major changes in the way we elect our President are unpersuasive.

The candidate’s meet for one last time tonight to talk about some of the most important issues in the world.

A recent poll has Obama and Romney tied among women. Another gives Obama a 33 point edge.

No, the electoral college does not encourage the candidates to pay special attention to the small states.

With sixteen days to go, the race for President is tied.

National numbers can overstate regional preferences.

We could be headed for another extremely close election where the Electoral Vote and the Popular Vote disagree with each other.

Some interesting movement in early post-debate polling.

Mitt Romney continues to benefit from the first Presidential Debate, but will that last past the second debate?

Last night’s Vice-Presidential debate was combative, but is unlikely to have a major impact on the race for President.

Looking to Federalist 68.

Of course, these voters are walled off from the process, so they don’t matter.

Romney’s post-debate surge is being picked up in swing state polls, but will it be enough?

For the first time all cycle, Mitt Romney leads Barack Obama in the RealClearPolitics average.

Yet another in a long line of critiques of the electoral college.

Mitt Romney has gotten a bump in the polls from Wednesday debate, but it’s still too early to say if it means anything.

Nate Silver offers a scenario where Obama and Romney each get 269 Electoral College votes.

There are signs that some Romney supporters have already decided their candidate is going to lose.

The arguments of the people claiming that every single poll showing Mitt Romney is unfairly biased do not stand up to scrutiny.

Many on the right are heavily invested in the argument that current polling is intentionally biased against Mitt Romney. Their argument is not very plausible.

Mitt Romney has an Ohio problem, and little time to fix it.