Outside the Beltway

Hillary Clinton’s extreme carelessness with classified information probably won’t cost her the election, but it should.

Many pundits are arguing that the victory for ‘Leave’ presages good news for Trump in November, but there’s no reason to believe that.

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

A purported ‘short list’ of potential running mates for Hillary Clinton is out. Here’s how the candidates stack up.

Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.

In case anyone noticed: I got the Trump nomination wrong.

With Donald Trump now destined to become the GOP nominee, some Republican insiders are trying to put together another ‘too little, too late’ strategy to stop him.

As we begin to head into General Election season, a few things to remember about the avalanche of polls to come.

With the field before him now clear, Donald Trump is now assured to win the Republican Presidential Nomination. After that, though, his plans don’t seem to make a lot of sense.

A first look at the Electoral College paints a very grim picture for Donald Trump and the GOP.

If you think this campaign has been awful, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.

Hillary Clinton’s campaign is beginning to look beyond Bernie Sanders and talk about running mates.

The two men most likely to win the Republican nomination aren’t very well liked outside the Republican Party.

The second place finisher in the Republican primaries is looking like the first loser.

Nebraska legislators are talking about abandoning their somewhat unique method of allocating Electoral College votes.

A new poll finds that Donald Trump is really, really disliked by voters, but it’s unclear how much that will matter going forward.

Putting Donald Trump at the top of the ticket would likely lead to an Electoral College disaster for Republicans.

Michael Bloomberg announced today that he’s not running for President, but he came awfully close to getting into the race.

All of which leads to a discussion of electoral rules.

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

Jim Webb’s recent criticism of Hillary Clinton is renewing speculation about an independent bid for the White House, but he hardly seems like a viable candidate for such a run.

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

Two months after seemingly promising to remain loyal to the Republican Party, Donald Trump is again refusing to rule out an independent run for the White House next year.

A new poll shows that a near majority of Republicans agree with even some of Donald Trump’s most controversial statements on immigration.

Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.

Pure fantasy.

The marriage equality issue is resolved, but that doesn’t mean the Supreme Court won’t have a lot of high profile cases on its docket over the next eight months.

Trump remains in the lead, but he has been steadily falling over the month of September. (And this triggers, as these things do, musings about institutions and our party system).

The 2016 election will be fought on a very small battlefield, and right now the makeup of that battlefield heavily favors the Democrats.

In 1992, an eccentric billionaire ran an independent campaign against a Bush and a Clinton. It could happen again.

Donald Trump won’t rule out running against the eventual Republican nominee. Will the RNC use this as an excuse to try to force him out of the race?

A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton remains largely unstoppable on her quest for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, and she has a pretty clear path to the White House as well.

Even with a recent negative downturn in the polls, the reports of Hillary Clinton’s impending political demise are largely wishful thinking on the part of conservatives.

Hillary Clinton is taking a hit in the polls, but it’s unclear if that’s going to matter when 2016 rolls around.

A new Gallup poll puts support for same-sex marriage above 60% for the first time ever.

Once again, only six or seven states are likely to matter.

The GOP race remains tight, but some candidates have benefited from their entry into the race more than others. Overall, though, Hillary Clinton continues to dominate.

Pundits and political scientists agree that, if the 2016 presidential election were today, we’d have a much better idea who would win.

To the surprise of few, Hillary Clinton is running for President

A little round of Qs and As on US-Cuban policy.

Some on the left are suggesting Democrats should write off the South for the foreseeable future, but that would be as foolish as Republicans assuming that their dominance in the region will last as long as Democratic dominance did in the century after the Civil War.

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

Trying to explain one of the biggest surprises of Election Night 2014.

If the GOP wins the Senate in November, their majority could prove to be fleeting.

While it still seems unlikely that he’ll run, Mitt Romney does seem to be leaving the door open to a third run at the White House.

Some have argued that there is an historical bias against political parties holding on to the White House for more than two terms. As with most commonly held ideas, that simply isn’t true.

If Republicans win the Senate, what we’ve seen for the past three years could end up seeming tame by comparison.

The United States is, in fact, doing the exact opposite.