Poll: Gridlock Is The Biggest Problem With Congress

Congress gets bad grades in Gallup’s latest poll, and gridlock is the main reason

George W. Bush Rebounds In The Polls, Still Below Other Ex-Presidents

A George W. Bush renaissance? Not exactly.

Will NSA Data Mining Matter To Voters?

Will voters care about the revelations about NSA data mining? Signs point to no.


Michael Kinsley contends “Being against marriage equality doesn’t make you a monster.”

Civil Liberties In The Wake Of Boston

Are civil liberties once again at risk in the wake of the bombing attack in Boston?

Further Thoughts On Gun Control And Voter Intensity

The politics of gun control is not nearly as easy as its supporters believe it to be.

Gun Control A Low Priority Issue Among American Voters

There’s a very simple reason why gun control is stalling in Congress despite its popularity in the polls.

Most Americans Oppose Drone Strikes on Americans in America

One in eight Americans support drone strikes against Americans on American soil.

Polls Find Majority Support For Path To Citizenship For Illegal Immigrants

A positive political climate for immigration reform.

The Politics Of Gun Control

Based on the polls, the odds of some changes to America’s gun control laws will become law. It’s unlikely they’ll accomplish anything, though.

Republicans Continue To Have An Image Problem

The GOP’s image problems continue

Is The Gun Debate Over?

Conor Friedersdorf contends “The U.S. Already Had a Conversation About Guns—and the Pro Side Won.”

House And Senate Incumbent Re-Election Rates Top 90%

If you’re a Member of Congress, the odds are pretty good that you’re going to stay one.

Veterans Write Shitty Novels, Too

It’s okay to criticize military veterans–even if you never served in the military.

Another Republican Demographic Problem: The Gay Vote

Republican opposition to same-sex marriage is costing it yet another demographic group.

Looks Like Romney Really Meant the 47% Remark

Believing the maker/taker dichotomy.

2012 Pollster Rankings: Rasmussen And Gallup Among The Least Accurate

There are some expected and unexpected results in Nate Silver’s review of pollster accuracy in 2012.

One More about the UnSkewed v. Reality Discussion

Wherein I get a bit petty (but to make a point and, maybe just because it amuses me).

Conservative Media Bubble

If you’re a white Southerner who gets most of his information from Fox News and Rush Limbaugh, you probably don’t know a lot of people who voted for Barack Obama.

Presidents Do Foreign Policy, Too?

In a posting for New Atlanticist titled “Status Quo Election,” I note the near total absence of foreign affairs from a presidential campaign that’s mercifully coming to an end.

Final Gallup Poll: Romney 49, Obama 48

If we elected presidents by a national telephone survey using Gallup’s likely voter screen, Mitt Romney would be a happy man.

The Central Problem in the Polling Debate?

Too many people ignore (and incorrectly define) the “independents” in a given sample.

Presidential Race As Tight As It’s Ever Been

With sixteen days to go, the race for President is tied.

Love the Tracking? Hate the College (Redux)

National numbers can overstate regional preferences.

Gallup Shows Romney With A Seven Point Lead

Some interesting movement in early post-debate polling.

Tonight’s “Town Hall” Debate Unlikely To Be A Game Changer

For all the hype, it’s unlikely that tonight’s debate will have the same impact as the October 3rd Debate.

What You Think You Know About The Polls Isn’t Necessarily True

Once again, it seems necessary to debunk some commonly believed myths about polling.