Donald Trump, Ben Carson Tied In New Iowa Poll

Two candidates with no political experienced whatsoever are tied in Iowa as Republican voters continue to reject anyone with political experience.

Voters Would Blame Republicans For Government Shutdown, Poll Shows

Some Republicans are threatening a government shutdown over funding of Planned Parenthood, but a new poll shows that it would be a big political risk for Republicans.

Ohio Politicians Predictably Unhappy About Denali Decision

Ohio politicos are predictably unhappy about the decision to return Mount Denali to its rightful place.

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Scott Walker And Chris Christie Pander To Donald Trump’s Anti-Immigrant Base

Scott Walker and Chris Christie apparently think that the key to turning around their dying campaigns is to pander to the people supporting Donald Trump’s anti-immigration platform.

Bernie Sanders Closing On Hillary In Iowa According To New Poll

A new poll shows Bernie Sanders gaining traction outside of New Hampshire for the first time.

Trump and Carson Lead Early Iowa Polling

Two candidates with no experience in elected office are leading the Republican field.

OTB Caption Contest Winners

The What? Me Worry? Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Jeb Bush Loses Three Top Fundraisers; Signs Of Trouble Ahead?

Jeb Bush’s campaign has been in a rough patch for several weeks at least, and now he’s lost three top fundraisers.

Clinton’s Democratic Opponents Upset With Parsimonious Debate Schedule

Some of Hillary Clinton’s Democratic opponents are complaining about the DNC’s parsimonious debate schedule.

Appeals Court Upholds Law Barring Protests On Supreme Court Building Property

A Federal Appeals Court has upheld a 1949 law that bars protesters from the property around the Supreme Court building. This seems inconsistent with the Court’s recent First Amendment jurisprudence.

Everybody Hates Congress

Another poll confirms the fact that Americans of all political stripes continue to hold Congress is disdain.

Virginia Man Dies After Being Held In Jail For Four Months Without Trial Or Bail

Four months in jail, no opportunity for bail, no trial, no access to mental health care. And, now Jamycheal Mitchell is dead.

Voter’s Words For Hillary Clinton: “Liar,” Dishonest,” “Untrustworthy”

Hillary Clinton has a bit of a public image problem, but it’s not clear if that will hurt her politically.

Senate Democrats May Be Able To Filibuster The Vote To Block The Iran Nuclear Deal

If the Administration gets its way, efforts to block the Iran nuclear deal may come to a quick end in the Senate.

Carly Fiorina’s Campaign Is Complaining About CNN’s Debate Rules

Carly Fiorina will most likely be excluded from CNN’s prime time debate in September, so of course her campaign is complaining about rules that were established months ago.

Second Quarter G.D.P. Revision Shows Strong Growth, But Future Weakness Seems Likely

Today’s revision of Second Quarter G.D.P. growth was good news, but it doesn’t seem likely to last.

Memories of Polling Past

Thinking back to about this time in 2011.

The Daily News Crosses The Line From Journalism To Murder Porn

A front page cover on yesterday’s murders in Virginia crosses the line from reporting to exploitation.

Candidate Loyalty Oaths Are Unenforceable And Unconstitutional

States who try to use loyalty oaths to keep Donald Trump off the ballot will be running afoul of the Constitution.

Bernie Sanders Is Giving Hillary Clinton A Contest In New Hampshire, But Nowhere Else

Another poll shows Bernie Sanders doing will in New Hampshire, but there’s no evidence he’s catching on anywhere else in the country.

Reporter And Cameraman Shot To Death Live On The Air In Virginia

A reporter and cameraman for a local television station were killed, and a third person wounded, live on the air this morning.

Trump Continues To Lead The GOP Field, But Is His Support Overstated?

Donald Trump’s support in the polls appears to become coming largely from people who don’t typically vote in primary elections.

As Far As Europe Is Concerned, The Debate Over The Iran Nuclear Deal Is Over

Congress is set to debate the Iran nuclear deal next month, but as far as Europe is concerned the debate is already over.

The Dangers of Relying on Airpower Alone

My latest for War on The Rocks, “The Inter-Service Wars Are Looking Like Calvinball,” has posted.

State-Level Republicans Looking At Ways To Keep Trump Off The Ballot

Republican officials in three states are looking at ways to keep Donald Trump off the primary ballot unless he pledges to support the eventual GOP nominee.

Elizabeth Warren’s Supporters Aren’t Thrilled About Joe Biden, But Who Is Really?

Joe Biden may want to run for President, but does anyone else? It doesn’t really seem like it.

Stock Market Drop Leads Trump And Walker To Say Dumb Things About China

Yesterday’s stock market drop led some Republican candidates to say some particularly dumb things.

Hispanics Hate Trump, Love Hillary, Indifferent to Rest of Republican Field

Trump is at -51 net favorability and Clinton at +40. The rest of the field is at “Who?”

How Much Will Trumpism Damage The Republican Party?

Even if Donald Trump isn’t the Republican nominee in 2016, he could still end up causing real harm to the party’s chances of winning the White House and holding on to the Senate.

The Biden Speculation Continues

Thanks in part to a slow summer news cycle, the speculation about Vice-President Biden entering the race for President seems to be reaching a fever pitch.

Another Walker Flip-Flop On Immigration Amid Crashing Poll Numbers

Scott Walker is flip-flopping on immigration again, while his poll numbers sink like a stone.

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78 > 22

If we are gong to assess the significance of Trump, we need to pay attention to the numbers.

Should Political Debates Be on Pay TV?

Susan Crawford claims that “Cable-Only Presidential Debates are the New Poll Tax.”

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The Ready, Fire, Aim Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Rand Paul Buys Himself A Caucus So He Can Run For Two Offices At Once

Thanks to $500,000, Rand Paul bought himself a caucus so he can run for two offices at once.

Don’t Expect The Republican Field To Shrink Very Much Before Iowa

For a variety of reasons, it’s unlikely that the Republican field will shrink significantly before the Iowa Caucuses.

As Hillary Clinton’s Poll Numbers Drop, Is A Biden Candidacy Becoming More Likely?

The reports about Vice-President Biden possibly entering the Presidential race continue to persist.

A Photo for Friday

The “Anchor Baby” Myth

There are no “anchor babies,” there are only Americans.

Majority Of Americans Oppose Iran Nuclear Deal, But It Will Likely Go Into Effect Anyway

Another poll shows that a majority of Americans oppose the Iranian nuclear deal, but the effort to defeat it in Congress is still likely to fail.

Private Email Servers And Hillary Clinton’s Judgment, Or Lack Thereof

Hillary Clinton’s own campaign admits she “didn’t think it through” when she decided to use a private email server as Secretary of State.

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