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Donald Trump, Ben Carson Tied In New Iowa Poll

Fighting Elephants Two

Two candidates with no political experienced whatsoever are tied in Iowa as Republican voters continue to reject anyone with political experience.

Voters Would Blame Republicans For Government Shutdown, Poll Shows

Capitol Dome

Some Republicans are threatening a government shutdown over funding of Planned Parenthood, but a new poll shows that it would be a big political risk for Republicans.

Ohio Politicians Predictably Unhappy About Denali Decision

Mount Denali

Ohio politicos are predictably unhappy about the decision to return Mount Denali to its rightful place.

OTB Caption Contest


Time the Monday OTB Caption ContestTM

Mount McKinley Renamed Denali Because, Why the Hell Not?

The highest mountain in North America has been renamed after a lackluster luxury automobile for no apparent reason. NYT (“Mount McKinley Will Again Be Called Denali“): President Obama announced on Sunday that Mount McKinley was being renamed Denali, restoring an Alaska Native name with deep cultural significance to the tallest mountain in North America. The […]

Scott Walker And Chris Christie Pander To Donald Trump’s Anti-Immigrant Base


Scott Walker and Chris Christie apparently think that the key to turning around their dying campaigns is to pander to the people supporting Donald Trump’s anti-immigration platform.

Bernie Sanders Closing On Hillary In Iowa According To New Poll

Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders

A new poll shows Bernie Sanders gaining traction outside of New Hampshire for the first time.

Why Stop There? #BuildtheShield


Via Huffpost Politics:  Scott Walker Open To Building Wall Along Border With Canada The Republican presidential candidate said the idea of building a northern wall was brought up to him during a recent town hall in New Hampshire. "That is a legitimate issue for us to look at," Walker said Sunday on NBC’s "Meet the […]

Brazil Officially in Recession


The economic news has been poor in Brazil for a while now, and with the release of new GDP figures the country is officially in recession, the BBC reports: Brazil has entered recession after official figures showed the country’s economy contracted by 1.9% between April and June compared with the previous three months. Analysts had […]

Trump and Carson Lead Early Iowa Polling


Two candidates with no experience in elected office are leading the Republican field.

OTB Caption Contest Winners


The What? Me Worry? Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Jeb Bush Loses Three Top Fundraisers; Signs Of Trouble Ahead?


Jeb Bush’s campaign has been in a rough patch for several weeks at least, and now he’s lost three top fundraisers.

Clinton’s Democratic Opponents Upset With Parsimonious Debate Schedule

2016 Democratic Field

Some of Hillary Clinton’s Democratic opponents are complaining about the DNC’s parsimonious debate schedule.

Appeals Court Upholds Law Barring Protests On Supreme Court Building Property

Same Sex Marriage Supreme Court

A Federal Appeals Court has upheld a 1949 law that bars protesters from the property around the Supreme Court building. This seems inconsistent with the Court’s recent First Amendment jurisprudence.

Everybody Hates Congress

Capitol Building Dusk

Another poll confirms the fact that Americans of all political stripes continue to hold Congress is disdain.

Virginia Man Dies After Being Held In Jail For Four Months Without Trial Or Bail

Handcuffs Jail

Four months in jail, no opportunity for bail, no trial, no access to mental health care. And, now Jamycheal Mitchell is dead.

Voter’s Words For Hillary Clinton: “Liar,” Dishonest,” “Untrustworthy”

Clinton, Gates, And Mullen Testify Before Senate Foreign Relations Cmte

Hillary Clinton has a bit of a public image problem, but it’s not clear if that will hurt her politically.

A Photo for Friday

“Magic Square” January 17,2015 Jackson Square (New Orleans, LA)

Senate Democrats May Be Able To Filibuster The Vote To Block The Iran Nuclear Deal

Iran Nuclear Deal Congress

If the Administration gets its way, efforts to block the Iran nuclear deal may come to a quick end in the Senate.

Carly Fiorina’s Campaign Is Complaining About CNN’s Debate Rules

Carly Fiorina

Carly Fiorina will most likely be excluded from CNN’s prime time debate in September, so of course her campaign is complaining about rules that were established months ago.

Second Quarter G.D.P. Revision Shows Strong Growth, But Future Weakness Seems Likely

Economy Heartbeat

Today’s revision of Second Quarter G.D.P. growth was good news, but it doesn’t seem likely to last.

Memories of Polling Past


Thinking back to about this time in 2011.

The Daily News Crosses The Line From Journalism To Murder Porn


A front page cover on yesterday’s murders in Virginia crosses the line from reporting to exploitation.

Candidate Loyalty Oaths Are Unenforceable And Unconstitutional


States who try to use loyalty oaths to keep Donald Trump off the ballot will be running afoul of the Constitution.

Bernie Sanders Is Giving Hillary Clinton A Contest In New Hampshire, But Nowhere Else

Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders

Another poll shows Bernie Sanders doing will in New Hampshire, but there’s no evidence he’s catching on anywhere else in the country.

Reporter And Cameraman Shot To Death Live On The Air In Virginia

Roanoke Shooting

A reporter and cameraman for a local television station were killed, and a third person wounded, live on the air this morning.

Trump Continues To Lead The GOP Field, But Is His Support Overstated?


Donald Trump’s support in the polls appears to become coming largely from people who don’t typically vote in primary elections.

As Far As Europe Is Concerned, The Debate Over The Iran Nuclear Deal Is Over

Iran Nuclear Deal Congress

Congress is set to debate the Iran nuclear deal next month, but as far as Europe is concerned the debate is already over.

The Dangers of Relying on Airpower Alone


My latest for War on The Rocks, “The Inter-Service Wars Are Looking Like Calvinball,” has posted.

State-Level Republicans Looking At Ways To Keep Trump Off The Ballot

Trump Announcement

Republican officials in three states are looking at ways to keep Donald Trump off the primary ballot unless he pledges to support the eventual GOP nominee.

Elizabeth Warren’s Supporters Aren’t Thrilled About Joe Biden, But Who Is Really?


Joe Biden may want to run for President, but does anyone else? It doesn’t really seem like it.

Stock Market Drop Leads Trump And Walker To Say Dumb Things About China

Chinese and U.S. flags fly along Pennsylvania Avenue outside the White House in Washington

Yesterday’s stock market drop led some Republican candidates to say some particularly dumb things.

Hispanics Hate Trump, Love Hillary, Indifferent to Rest of Republican Field


Trump is at -51 net favorability and Clinton at +40. The rest of the field is at “Who?”

How Much Will Trumpism Damage The Republican Party?


Even if Donald Trump isn’t the Republican nominee in 2016, he could still end up causing real harm to the party’s chances of winning the White House and holding on to the Senate.

The Biden Speculation Continues

Joe Biden Speaking

Thanks in part to a slow summer news cycle, the speculation about Vice-President Biden entering the race for President seems to be reaching a fever pitch.

Another Walker Flip-Flop On Immigration Amid Crashing Poll Numbers

Scott Walker Speaking

Scott Walker is flip-flopping on immigration again, while his poll numbers sink like a stone.

OTB Caption Contest


Time the Monday OTB Caption ContestTM

78 > 22

Trump Escalator

If we are gong to assess the significance of Trump, we need to pay attention to the numbers.

Joe Biden Sings About Shotguns


This apparently made the rounds in April but I just stumbled on it.

TL;DR Meme Version of Taylor’s Post


In case my 1000+ word post on Trump and the GOP field was too much, here’s the meme version: Having read some of the comments on my post, and having thought a bit more about what I am trying to convey, the issue is this:  by the time the voting starts there won’t be 17 […]

Should Political Debates Be on Pay TV?

2nd televised debate between Richard M. Nixon & John F. Kennedy (L)  (Photo by Paul Schutzer/The LIFE Picture Collection/Getty Images)

Susan Crawford claims that “Cable-Only Presidential Debates are the New Poll Tax.”

OTB Caption Contest Winners

Man fires a weapon as he dances during a traditional excursion near the western Saudi city of Taif

The Ready, Fire, Aim Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Rand Paul Buys Himself A Caucus So He Can Run For Two Offices At Once

Rand Paul Campaign Rally

Thanks to $500,000, Rand Paul bought himself a caucus so he can run for two offices at once.

Don’t Expect The Republican Field To Shrink Very Much Before Iowa

Republican Debate August 6

For a variety of reasons, it’s unlikely that the Republican field will shrink significantly before the Iowa Caucuses.

As Hillary Clinton’s Poll Numbers Drop, Is A Biden Candidacy Becoming More Likely?


The reports about Vice-President Biden possibly entering the Presidential race continue to persist.

A Photo for Friday

“Silhouette” 7/19/15 Pike Road, AL

The “Anchor Baby” Myth


There are no “anchor babies,” there are only Americans.

Comparative Citizenship


If anyone is interested in the question of where the US fits in comparatively on the question of birthright citizenship the answer is:  we are in the distinction minority.  In terms of comparison to other highly developed states only the US and Canada have birthright citizenship.  On a geographical dimension, the practice is common in […]

Majority Of Americans Oppose Iran Nuclear Deal, But It Will Likely Go Into Effect Anyway

Iran Nuclear Deal Congress

Another poll shows that a majority of Americans oppose the Iranian nuclear deal, but the effort to defeat it in Congress is still likely to fail.

Private Email Servers And Hillary Clinton’s Judgment, Or Lack Thereof

Clinton Shrug

Hillary Clinton’s own campaign admits she “didn’t think it through” when she decided to use a private email server as Secretary of State.

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