Outside the Beltway

Some bad news for the President.

Republican leaders continue to say stupid things. They may still retake the Senate in November.

Time to start talking about lame ducks?

Another poll shows the President’s poll numbers dipping.

There is only one serious candidate in the race for Frank Lautenberg’s old Senate seat, and he’s got pretty much no chance of winning the election.

President Obama’s job approval numbers have fallen off from their post-election highs. But, does it matter?

The impact of outside spending on the election turned out to be far less consequential than many had feared.

Republicans already seem to be blaming Hurricane Sandy in the event Mitt Romney loses.

The analyst actually wants to understand and be correct far more than he or she wants their preferences to prevail in the analysis

If the first round of post-convention polling is correct, President Obama may be pulling away from Mitt Romney.

One of these men is going to his party’s convention, the other is not. The reason why is rather obvious.

No, Barack Obama is not going to dump Joe Biden before the Democratic Convention.

There’s a large group of people out there that like the President, but they’re probably not going to vote.

By failing to respond adequately, Mitt Romney is letting his opponent define him for the voters. That could hurt him greatly in November.

Three swing state poll results should be raising some real concerns among Team Romney today.

A new poll purports to show the President losing 20% of North Carolina’s African-American vote to Mitt Romney. Don’t Believe It.

Things aren’t all sunshine and roses for the Obama 2012 campaign.

Republicans are learning that their hard line on immigration comes with a political price.

By popular demand: An assessment of the latest polling numbers.

Don’t confuse modest bumps in a polling trend with actual changes in the thing being polled.

President Obaama’s poll numbers are lower than where Reagan and Clinton were at this point, but not by very much.

Public disapproval of Congress continues to fall.

The President’s jobs push isn’t doing much to help his job approval numbers so far.

President Obama’s approval ratings are at an all-time low. Only 33% of whites and 48% of Hispanics approve. He’s still at 84% among blacks.

With most of the public looking at the future and not seeing anything good, the President is suffering

No matter how weak he becomes, no President will ever be completely irrelevant to the political process.

State-level job approval numbers seem to suggest that the President could have Electoral College worries in 2012.

President Obama is polling at 46.8 percent, below the level needed to win re-election.

Are you better off than you were three years ago? 44% of Americans say no.

A new set of polls from Gallup show that President Obama is still looking good for re-election.

President Obama isn’t unbeatable in 2012. but it’s clear even now that he’s going to be a far more formidable opponent than many Republicans seem to think.

There’s plenty of good news for Barack Obama in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

A new Gallup poll shows President Obama beating Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical 2012 Democratic nomination fight. Nobody should be surprised by that.

If the 2012 election were held today, President Obama would be in serious trouble. Luckily for him, he has two years to go.

According to Gallup, there was a ten point move in the public’s preference on the Generic Congressional Ballot between last week and this week. What’s more likely is that Gallup is making a mistake somewhere.

Another political analyst is out with a 2010 prediction that should make Democrats very nervous.