Hillary Clinton Remains Untouchable In The Polls

A new poll shows that Hillary Clinton remains largely unstoppable on her quest for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, and she has a pretty clear path to the White House as well.

Los Angeles Makes A Risky Bet With Its Minimum Wage Increase

Los Angeles became the latest major city to increase its minimum wage. It’s a risky bet that is likely to do more harm than good.

How Will ‘Mad Men’ End?

The final episode airs tonight. How will Matt Weiner will wrap it up?

Jim Messina Beats David Axelrod In British Election Battle

The just-concluded British General Election was also a clash between two former top advisers to President Obama.

Is 2016 a 50-50 Proposition?

Pundits and political scientists agree that, if the 2016 presidential election were today, we’d have a much better idea who would win.

Sen. Tom Cotton Thinks War Against Iran Would Be Easy And Painless

One freshman Senator seems to think that war with Iran would be easy, just like Republicans used to think that war against Iraq would be easy.

Scott Walker Says He’d Nuke The Iran Deal Even If Our Allies Objected

Scott Walker’s response to the Iranian nuclear deal is perhaps the most irresponsible so far.

Chart of the Day

Worldwide Ebola Cases Top 16,000 With 7,000 Dead, But There Is Some Good News

The numbers on the Ebola outbreak are bad, but they aren’t as bad as had been feared.

U.S. Bombings Driving Anti-Assad Rebels To Support ISIS

Our supposed Syrian allies seem to have a different idea of who the enemy in Syria actually is.

Warnings Of Violence In Ferguson Could Become Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

All the warnings of violence in the wake of an expected imminent announcement from the Grand Jury in the Michael brown case could become self-fulfilling prophecy.

Voter Turnout In 2014 Midterms Hit Lowest Point Since 1942

Voter Turnout was lower this year than in any midterm since the one held eleven months after the attack on Pearl Harbor.

Providing a Little Perspective on the Elections

Political scientists tend to be less dramatic than commentators.

Tide Of Unaccompanied Minors Crossing Border Down Significantly

Remember the border crisis? Yea, it’s not much of a crisis these days.

Battle For Senate Control Tipping Towards The GOP?

Two weeks after it seemed to be tightening, there are signs the battle for control of the Senate may be moving in the GOP’s direction.

Despite Abuse Scandals, The NFL Remains As Popular As Ever

A new poll indicates that NFL fans plan to keep watching despite the recent domestic abuse scandals.

Kansas Supreme Court Rules Democratic Candidate’s Name Must Be Removed From Senate Ballot

The Kansas Supreme Court may have just upended the battle for control of the U.S. Senate

Race For Senate Control Tightening

Republicans still have an advantage, but Democrats seem to be holding their own in the battle for Senate control.

A Contrarian Analysis Of The 2014 Midterms

One analyst thinks that the predictions of a Republican Senate in 2014 are wildly optimistic.

Good News For Democrats In The South?

A new poll indicates that Democratic candidates are holding their own against Republican challengers in three southern states.

Obama’s Poll Numbers Dip Again, Time For Democrats To Worry

A grim new poll for the President and his Democratic allies.

A Democratic Lock On The Electoral College

The Democrats have a big advantage in the Electoral College, at least for now.

Virginia Senate Race About To Become Competitive?

Former RNC Chair Ed Gillespie is challenging incumbent Senator Mark Warner for his Senate seat.

So Far, The Military Coup Looks Like It Will Be A Disaster For Egypt In The End

Nearly six months later, it’s hard to find any good in the July military coup in Egypt.

Federal Government: Electric Cars Will Account For Only 1 Out Of 100 Cars In 2040

The era of the electric car isn’t likely to arrive for a long time, if ever.

Is The Tech Bubble Returning?

Some signs from Silicon Valley seem to indicate that the heady days of the 90s Tech Bubble are returning.

What Voter Suppression?

Do Voter ID laws really suppress voter turnout? The evidence from at least one state doesn’t prove it.

Economy Grows At Good, But Far From Great, Rate In 3rd Quarter

A good initial GDP report for the 3rd Quarter, but hardly something to write home about.

Massive Oil Discovery Puts Outback Town on World Energy Map

Will this new Australian oil discovery shake up world politics?

The GOP’s Seinfeld Shutdown

The GOP’s shutdown was about as pointless as a show about waiting for a table in a Chinese restaurant.

Another Poll Brings Bad News For The GOP, But Will It Matter Come Election Day?

The GOP’s approval numbers have fallen like a stone, but it’s unclear whether this will matter in 2014.

A Day Of Glitches For Day One Of Obamacare’s Exchange Websites

Day One of the Obamacare online “marketplaces” is proving to be a bit of a bumpy ride.

How The New York Times Lost Nate Silver

Apparently, there was a culture clash at the Grey Lady.

Rejection Letters of the Philosophers

A new blog, Rejection Letters of the Philosophers, “imagin[es] what the greats of history might have been faced with, had they been forced to publish or perish.”

Charting 33 Years’ of FISA Reports to Congress

Exploring data from 33 years’ of FISA reports to Congress

Baghdad Bob Was Right After All

Emily DePrang looks back at “‘Baghdad Bob’ and His Ridiculous, True Predictions.”

Predicting the Future Is Hard, Old Man’s War Edition

Old Man’s war, a sci-fi novel about the distant future published in 2007, features Newsweek magazine, which went out of business in 2012.

Judging The 2012 Preditions

Last January 1, some of us made a series of predictions. Here’s how we did.

Americans Shut Out Of Intrade

Thanks to the CFTC, Americans will no longer be able to participate in Intrade’s predictions markets.

What do I Mean by “Benghazi Conspiracy Theories”?

An attempt to lay down some basic groundwork for discussing this story.

So What Did Silver Opponent Jay Cost Have to Say?

More griping about poor analysis.

Apparently, Citizens United Didn’t Ruin The Election After All

The impact of outside spending on the election turned out to be far less consequential than many had feared.