No, Conor Lamb Didn’t Run As A Conservative

Republicans are claiming that Conor Lamb won Tuesday’s Special Election in Pennsylvania because he campaigned as a conservative. These people are either deluded or lying.

Democrats Open Big Lead In New Generic Ballot Poll

Democrats appear to have regained momentum in the Generic Congressional Ballot.

Poll Shows Increased Support For Gun Control In The Wake Of Florida Shooting

New polls show increased support for various gun control measures, including limitations on so-called “assault weapons,” but that doesn’t mean we’re likely to see Congressional action on the subject.

A Strong, But Not Spectacular, Report On Economic Growth

The economy grew in the final quarter of 2017, but at a slower pace than earlier in the year and far slower than what the President has promised.

States File Suit Against F.C.C. Decision To Dismantle Net Neutrality Rule Changes

A group of 21 states has filed a petition to review the F.C.C.’s recent net neutrality rule changes, but it faces an uncertain future.

Roy Moore And The Battle For Control Of Congress

A top Republican political analyst is warning that a Roy Moore victory in Alabama could pose real problems for Republicans in 2018. If it does, they’ll have nobody to blame but themselves.

Losing Our Religion

Americans as a whole are becoming less religious and some people are panicking about it.

Roy Moore Wins Alabama Republican Senate Runoff

Despite, or perhaps because of, his bigoted, radical, far-right positions on the issues, Roy Moore beat the sitting Senator from Alabama in a runoff election that essentially guarantees that he will win the General Election later this year.

North Korea Launches Another Ballistic Missile Test

Another escalation on the Korean peninsula.

Donald Trump Fails The Leadership Test Again

President Trump’s reaction to the failure of health care reform efforts in the Senate demonstrates yet again that he doesn’t know how to be President.

Ninth Circuit Upholds Stay On Trump’s Muslim Travel Ban

The Trump Administration’s Muslim Travel Ban suffers another defeat at the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals.

Fourth Circuit Appears Skeptical Of Government’s Arguments Defending Trump’s Muslim Travel Ban

The Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals heard argument yesterday in the appeal of an order barring travel from six Muslim countries, and it didn’t appear to go well for the attorneys defending the ban.

Trump Skips Nerd Prom, Attacks The Press In Speech To Supporters

Instead of attending the White House Correspondents Association Dinner, Donald Trump spent his Saturday attacking the press and the First Amendment.

Why Hillary Clinton Lost

Six months after the election, the postmortems of the Clinton campaign all seem to have one thing in common, they all point at things other than the candidate and her campaign as being the reason she lost.

GOP Holds On To House Seat In Heavily Contested Kansas Special Election

Republicans held on to Mike Pompeo’s seat in the House, but the outcome was closer than many expected.

The Rise Of The Robots And The Decline Of The Middle Class

Technology continues to make more and more jobs unnecessary and irrelevant. And the consequences are going to be widespread.

French Center-Right Party Picks Presidential Candidate

The players are almost completely set for France’s 2017 Presidential elections, and the choice seems likely to come down to center-right candidate Francois Fillon and Marine Le Pen, France’s Donald Trump.

Fidel Castro Dead At 90

One of the Cold War era’s last dictators has finally died.

A Second First Impression: Greetings!

In which I use a lot of words to say hello.

Secretary Of State Rudy Giuliani?

A surprising name is emerging as the likely pick for the nation’s top diplomatic position.

No, The Democratic Party Is Not ‘Decimated’

Reports of the demise of the Democratic Party have been greatly exaggerated.

2016 Congressional Election Predictions

My predictions for the House and Senate.

2016 Presidential Election Prediction

And the winner is……

Good Bye Peak Oil Hypothesis

Remember Peak Oil? Whatever happened to that idea?

Could Crazy Donald Trump Actually Win The Presidency?

While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

Muhammed Ali Dead At 74

The Greatest Of All Time.

So…That Stimulus

A report card for the 2009 Stimulus Bill.

Trump the Presumptive Nominee (Some of What I got Wrong)

In case anyone noticed: I got the Trump nomination wrong.

Democracy, Demagogues, and Populist Pandering

The rise of Trump and Sanders has resurrected a debate as old as Western civilization.

Republicans Resigning Themselves To Trump Being Their Nominee

For better or worse, Republicans seem to be resigning themselves to the inevitable.

Trump, Clinton Look Well-Positioned For Big New York Wins

As the Empire State votes, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton look well positioned to have a very good night.

Andrew Grove, Intel Chairman Who Helped Develop The Semiconductor Revolution, Dead At 79

One of the pioneers of the technology revolution of the past four decades has passed away.

If Only A Contested Convention Can Stop Trump, It’s A Plan That’s Unlikely To Succeed

It seems increasingly apparent that the only way to stop Donald Trump now is by trying to force a contested convention. It also seems clear that such a plan probably wouldn’t succeed.

Republicans Clash In Ninth Debate

One week before the South Carolina Primary, the remaining Republican candidates for President clashed in a headed debate.

A Look At The Final New Hampshire Polls, Plus Projections

Unless the polls are very wrong, it looks to be a good night for Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. Beyond that, there’s a lot that’s still up in the air.

Final Iowa Polling Shows It All Depends On Turnout, Plus A Projection

The final polls of the Iowa Caucus show that the outcome of tonight’s caucuses depend almost entirely on turnout at this point. Plus, a projection of who will win and the order of finish.

Ted Cruz Jumps To Double Digit Lead In Iowa In New Des Moines Register Poll

Ted Cruz surges to a lead in the latest Iowa poll, setting up a seemingly inevitable showdown between the Texas Senator and Donald Trump.

Yes, Trump is the Frontrunner, but…

Polls are quite useful in the right circumstances, but knowledge, complexity, and timing all have to be taken into account in determining what they are telling us.

Nate Silver Wants Us To All Chill Out When It Comes To Donald Trump’s Poll Numbers

Nate Silver reminds us all that, even when it comes to Iowa and New Hampshire, it’s much earlier than we think, and that voters are still likely to change their minds.

Democrat John Bel Edwards Handily Defeats David Vitter In Louisiana Governor’s Race

Democrat John Bel Edwards scored an easy victory over Senator David Vitter last night in Louisiana, and Vitter announced that he’d be leaving the Senate after his term is up.

Donald Trump Remains At The Top Of The Republican Field

Seemingly disproving yet another round of predictions of his imminent demise, Donald Trump continues to dominate the race for the Republican nomination.

The Battle Of The 2016 Narratives

To a large degree, the narrative you believe will govern the 2016 elections depend on which party you want to see win. But what’s the most likely outcome?

Donald Trump Maintains Commanding Lead In New Hampshire While Rubio Inches Up

Donald Trump remains the favorite of those likely to vote in New Hampshire’s Republican Primary, but Marco Rubio is starting to inch up in the polls in the Granite State.

Republicans May End Up Being Stuck With Trump Whether They Like It Or Not

Whether they like it or not, it’s becoming quite apparent that Republicans may have to get used to the idea that Donald Trump really could be their nominee next year.

Donald Trump’s Demagoguery Comes Home To Roost

At a town hall last night in New Hampshire, it became clear just what kind of supporters Donald Trump’s demagoguery is attracting.

Clinton’s Democratic Opponents Upset With Parsimonious Debate Schedule

Some of Hillary Clinton’s Democratic opponents are complaining about the DNC’s parsimonious debate schedule.

Voter’s Words For Hillary Clinton: “Liar,” Dishonest,” “Untrustworthy”

Hillary Clinton has a bit of a public image problem, but it’s not clear if that will hurt her politically.

Memories of Polling Past

Thinking back to about this time in 2011.

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