Trump Hemmorhaging Donors and Backers

The ship is abandoning the sinking rat.

Republicans Winning House Popular Vote?

A surprising factoid in a bad election for the party.

Nevada Election Results Could Take ‘Days’

Republicans hold narrow leads for Governor and Senator but . . . .

Midterm Chatter

Open Forum for election chatter.

The ‘Crime of the Century’ Didn’t Happen

Three-and-a-half years and almost 6 million tax dollars have produced nothing.

[Documents taken in August Mar-A-Lago search] [Documents taken in August Mar-A-Lago search]

District Judge Grants Trump’s Request For Special Master

I warned you all, my predictions are notoriously wrong.

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Hard to Say I’m Sorry

Columnists write bad columns apologizing for bad columns.

Why is Inflation So High?

The economy, it turns out, is complicated.

President Joe Biden welcomes ASEAN leaders to the White House,Thursday, May 12, 2022, on the South Lawn. (Official White House Photo by Erin Scott) President Joe Biden welcomes ASEAN leaders to the White House,Thursday, May 12, 2022, on the South Lawn. (Official White House Photo by Erin Scott)

Joe Biden is Aging (Developing Story)

The 79-year-old will be 80 on his next birthday.

Maybe Susan Collins Isn’t The Best Judge Of Character

The Senator from Maine once against demonstrates that she shouldn’t be prognosticating about people’s future actions.

COVID Risk Calculations

There are too many variables to make generalized calculations.

Yet More Ukraine Peace Talks

Bargaining continues amidst poisoning and mass killing.

Projecting China’s Future

Can it overcome demographics and decoupling to sustain its current unprecedented growth?

Ukraine Invasion Sending History in a New Direction?

The ferocity of the global reaction to Putin’s invasion is stunning.

It’s Not Time To Eulogize The Old Order

Pundits like Thomas Friedman struggle with premature prognostication.

Joe Rogan, Experienced

Out of a sense of fairness, I gave a listen.

The End of Snow Days?

The serendipitous day off may soon be a thing of the past.

Back to Court Expansion

Two members of the presidential commission reach the conclusion that expansion is needed.

OTB 2003 Revisited

A blast from the past.

President Joe Biden signs two executive orders on healthcare Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, in the Oval Office of the White House. President Joe Biden signs two executive orders on healthcare Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, in the Oval Office of the White House.

Biden Illegally Extends Eviction Moratorium

The President is in open defiance of the Supreme Court.

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Ranked Choice Voting for Everyone?

It’s not perfect but it beats our usual approach to picking winners and losers.

Party-Switching and the Senate

Are Sinema and Machin going to jump ship?

Netanyahu Finally Out, But for How Long?

Israel’s long national nightmare is over. Or is it?

Trump’s Generals

My contribution to a continuing debate.

The GOP: Not a Civil War, Not a Purge

The GOP is actually pretty healthy at the moment, despite some public rhetoric to the contrary.

More on Social Policy and Comparisons

Mostly about how not to do it.

Sullivan on Biden (and a Discussion of Fiscal Policy)

On fiscal policy and historical comparisons.

Census Results Likely a Boost for GOP

The long shift of population from the Rust Belt to the Sun Belt continues—with the unusual exception of California.

The Republican Advantage in the House

Any “fair” drawing of districts will yield a GOP advantage over time.

President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian) President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

The Republicans are Going Nowhere

The party is unlikely to suffer consequences for its anti-democracy actions.

306

All the states have been called.

Not as Bad as We Feared

Revisiting predictions about what would happen if what has happened happened.

Some Swing State Polls

More good news for Biden.

A Note on 2016 Polling

Because sometimes a comment starts to become a post.

100,000 Americans Dead from Coronavirus

Yet another grim milestone.

The End of China’s Growth?

Or just a bump in the road?

I Was Right All Along, Except When I Was Wrong

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Why 2020 Democrats Were Able to Consolidate the Moderates and 2016 Republicans Weren’t

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Brokered Democratic Convention a Real Possibility

Could the fevered dream really come true?

What if November’s Loser Refuses to Concede?

There’s a very real possibility the legitimacy of the 2020 election will be contested.

Pro-Democracy Voters Send A Strong Message To Beijing On Hong Kong

Hong Kong voters send a strong message to Beijing, and the world.

After Months Of Protests, Hong Kong Heads To The Polls

After months of anti-government protests, Hong Kong headed to the polls in record number.

The Next Steps Forward On Impeachment

The next steps in the impeachment process are relatively easy to predict.

Donald Trump, Joseph McCarthy, And Profiles In Republican Cowardice

Much like it did during the McCarthy Era, the Republican Party has to decide what side of history it wishes to be on. The right side, or the wrong side.

Parliament Defies Boris Johnson On Brexit

The House of Commons handed Prime Minister Boris Johnson a huge loss yesterday, throwing the short-term future of Brexit into doubt.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg Has Cancer Treatment For Second Time In A Year

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg underwent three weeks of cancer treatment earlier this summer. The second such treatment in a year, and the fourth in the last twenty years.

Beto O’Rourke Once Again Rules Out Running For Senate

Beto O’Rourke is once again rejecting the idea of running for Senate instead of President.

Raise The Debt Ceiling? Let’s Eliminate It Instead

The Trump Administration is warning Congress that we will need to raise the debt ceiling by September. Congress should take this as an opportunity to eliminate it entirely.