Biden Has Lowest Approval in History, Should Still Win

A famed political forecaster doesn’t believe the polls.

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Mass Behavior v. Individual Action

Part of an ongoing conversation.

Why Trump Will Almost Certainly Stay On The Colorado Primary Ballot

A few predictions that are going to disappoint just about everyone.

College Football Playoff Chaos

The four-team Playoff will go out making a lot of folks mad.

Home Schooling Exploding if You Were Taught Math at Home

The innumeracy hurts.

4.9% GDP Growth in Third Quarter

Contrary to some public opinion, the economy is in decent shape.

Politics as Sport

The game is the game.

A Tale Of Two Chinas

Its economic bubble has burst, which may make them more dangerous.

But What About Trump?

Must every topic be viewed through that lens?

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The All-Volunteer Force at 50

Is America’s military capable of fighting the next war?

The free high-resolution photo of water, liquid, white, glass, drink, bottle, research, glass bottle, mineral water, product, laboratory, test, experiment, many, chemical, lab, medical, chemistry, filled, drinking water, pharmaceutical, bottled water, microbiology, test tube, distilled beverage, drinkware, analyze, pharmacology, test mixer , taken with an NIKON D5100 03/06 2017 The picture taken with 24.0mm, f/8.0s, 1/100s, ISO 250 The free high-resolution photo of water, liquid, white, glass, drink, bottle, research, glass bottle, mineral water, product, laboratory, test, experiment, many, chemical, lab, medical, chemistry, filled, drinking water, pharmaceutical, bottled water, microbiology, test tube, distilled beverage, drinkware, analyze, pharmacology, test mixer , taken with an NIKON D5100 03/06 2017 The picture taken with 24.0mm, f/8.0s, 1/100s, ISO 250

A Golden Age for Medicine

Decades of innovation may be coming to fruition.

When Does Politics Stop Being Politics?

When we do it, it’s negotiation. When they do it, it’s hostage taking—and terrorism.

Sandra Day O’Connor and Bush v Gore

New documents reveal the internal deliberations of the Court.

Daniel Ellsberg Wants More Leaks

The Pentagon Papers guy laments that there are too few like him.

An Observation About “Classically Liberal” Punditry

“Classical liberals” really need to rediscover self examination

Trump Hemmorhaging Donors and Backers

The ship is abandoning the sinking rat.

Republicans Winning House Popular Vote?

A surprising factoid in a bad election for the party.

Nevada Election Results Could Take ‘Days’

Republicans hold narrow leads for Governor and Senator but . . . .

Midterm Chatter

Open Forum for election chatter.

The ‘Crime of the Century’ Didn’t Happen

Three-and-a-half years and almost 6 million tax dollars have produced nothing.

[Documents taken in August Mar-A-Lago search] [Documents taken in August Mar-A-Lago search]

District Judge Grants Trump’s Request For Special Master

I warned you all, my predictions are notoriously wrong.

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Hard to Say I’m Sorry

Columnists write bad columns apologizing for bad columns.

Why is Inflation So High?

The economy, it turns out, is complicated.

President Joe Biden welcomes ASEAN leaders to the White House,Thursday, May 12, 2022, on the South Lawn. (Official White House Photo by Erin Scott) President Joe Biden welcomes ASEAN leaders to the White House,Thursday, May 12, 2022, on the South Lawn. (Official White House Photo by Erin Scott)

Joe Biden is Aging (Developing Story)

The 79-year-old will be 80 on his next birthday.

Maybe Susan Collins Isn’t The Best Judge Of Character

The Senator from Maine once against demonstrates that she shouldn’t be prognosticating about people’s future actions.

COVID Risk Calculations

There are too many variables to make generalized calculations.

Yet More Ukraine Peace Talks

Bargaining continues amidst poisoning and mass killing.

Projecting China’s Future

Can it overcome demographics and decoupling to sustain its current unprecedented growth?

Ukraine Invasion Sending History in a New Direction?

The ferocity of the global reaction to Putin’s invasion is stunning.

It’s Not Time To Eulogize The Old Order

Pundits like Thomas Friedman struggle with premature prognostication.

Joe Rogan, Experienced

Out of a sense of fairness, I gave a listen.

The End of Snow Days?

The serendipitous day off may soon be a thing of the past.

Back to Court Expansion

Two members of the presidential commission reach the conclusion that expansion is needed.

OTB 2003 Revisited

A blast from the past.

President Joe Biden signs two executive orders on healthcare Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, in the Oval Office of the White House. President Joe Biden signs two executive orders on healthcare Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, in the Oval Office of the White House.

Biden Illegally Extends Eviction Moratorium

The President is in open defiance of the Supreme Court.

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Ranked Choice Voting for Everyone?

It’s not perfect but it beats our usual approach to picking winners and losers.

Party-Switching and the Senate

Are Sinema and Machin going to jump ship?

Netanyahu Finally Out, But for How Long?

Israel’s long national nightmare is over. Or is it?

Trump’s Generals

My contribution to a continuing debate.

The GOP: Not a Civil War, Not a Purge

The GOP is actually pretty healthy at the moment, despite some public rhetoric to the contrary.

More on Social Policy and Comparisons

Mostly about how not to do it.

Sullivan on Biden (and a Discussion of Fiscal Policy)

On fiscal policy and historical comparisons.

Census Results Likely a Boost for GOP

The long shift of population from the Rust Belt to the Sun Belt continues—with the unusual exception of California.

The Republican Advantage in the House

Any “fair” drawing of districts will yield a GOP advantage over time.

President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian) President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

The Republicans are Going Nowhere

The party is unlikely to suffer consequences for its anti-democracy actions.

306

All the states have been called.

Not as Bad as We Feared

Revisiting predictions about what would happen if what has happened happened.

Some Swing State Polls

More good news for Biden.

A Note on 2016 Polling

Because sometimes a comment starts to become a post.