Maybe Susan Collins Isn’t The Best Judge Of Character

The Senator from Maine once against demonstrates that she shouldn’t be prognosticating about people’s future actions.

COVID Risk Calculations

There are too many variables to make generalized calculations.

Yet More Ukraine Peace Talks

Bargaining continues amidst poisoning and mass killing.

Projecting China’s Future

Can it overcome demographics and decoupling to sustain its current unprecedented growth?

Ukraine Invasion Sending History in a New Direction?

The ferocity of the global reaction to Putin’s invasion is stunning.

It’s Not Time To Eulogize The Old Order

Pundits like Thomas Friedman struggle with premature prognostication.

Joe Rogan, Experienced

Out of a sense of fairness, I gave a listen.

The End of Snow Days?

The serendipitous day off may soon be a thing of the past.

Back to Court Expansion

Two members of the presidential commission reach the conclusion that expansion is needed.

OTB 2003 Revisited

A blast from the past.

President Joe Biden signs two executive orders on healthcare Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, in the Oval Office of the White House. President Joe Biden signs two executive orders on healthcare Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021, in the Oval Office of the White House.

Biden Illegally Extends Eviction Moratorium

The President is in open defiance of the Supreme Court.

patriotism patriotic hands red white blue america patriotism patriotic hands red white blue america

Ranked Choice Voting for Everyone?

It’s not perfect but it beats our usual approach to picking winners and losers.

Party-Switching and the Senate

Are Sinema and Machin going to jump ship?

Netanyahu Finally Out, But for How Long?

Israel’s long national nightmare is over. Or is it?

Trump’s Generals

My contribution to a continuing debate.

The GOP: Not a Civil War, Not a Purge

The GOP is actually pretty healthy at the moment, despite some public rhetoric to the contrary.

More on Social Policy and Comparisons

Mostly about how not to do it.

Sullivan on Biden (and a Discussion of Fiscal Policy)

On fiscal policy and historical comparisons.

Census Results Likely a Boost for GOP

The long shift of population from the Rust Belt to the Sun Belt continues—with the unusual exception of California.

The Republican Advantage in the House

Any “fair” drawing of districts will yield a GOP advantage over time.

President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian) President Donald J. Trump greets guests on the South Lawn of the White House Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2020, prior to boarding Marine One en route to Joint Base Andrews, Md. to begin his trip to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Nevada. (Official White House Photo by Joyce N. Boghosian)

The Republicans are Going Nowhere

The party is unlikely to suffer consequences for its anti-democracy actions.

306

All the states have been called.

Not as Bad as We Feared

Revisiting predictions about what would happen if what has happened happened.

Some Swing State Polls

More good news for Biden.

A Note on 2016 Polling

Because sometimes a comment starts to become a post.

100,000 Americans Dead from Coronavirus

Yet another grim milestone.

The End of China’s Growth?

Or just a bump in the road?

I Was Right All Along, Except When I Was Wrong

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Why 2020 Democrats Were Able to Consolidate the Moderates and 2016 Republicans Weren’t

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Brokered Democratic Convention a Real Possibility

Could the fevered dream really come true?

What if November’s Loser Refuses to Concede?

There’s a very real possibility the legitimacy of the 2020 election will be contested.

Pro-Democracy Voters Send A Strong Message To Beijing On Hong Kong

Hong Kong voters send a strong message to Beijing, and the world.

After Months Of Protests, Hong Kong Heads To The Polls

After months of anti-government protests, Hong Kong headed to the polls in record number.

The Next Steps Forward On Impeachment

The next steps in the impeachment process are relatively easy to predict.

Donald Trump, Joseph McCarthy, And Profiles In Republican Cowardice

Much like it did during the McCarthy Era, the Republican Party has to decide what side of history it wishes to be on. The right side, or the wrong side.

Parliament Defies Boris Johnson On Brexit

The House of Commons handed Prime Minister Boris Johnson a huge loss yesterday, throwing the short-term future of Brexit into doubt.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg Has Cancer Treatment For Second Time In A Year

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg underwent three weeks of cancer treatment earlier this summer. The second such treatment in a year, and the fourth in the last twenty years.

Beto O’Rourke Once Again Rules Out Running For Senate

Beto O’Rourke is once again rejecting the idea of running for Senate instead of President.

Raise The Debt Ceiling? Let’s Eliminate It Instead

The Trump Administration is warning Congress that we will need to raise the debt ceiling by September. Congress should take this as an opportunity to eliminate it entirely.

Appeals Court To Hear Argument Today In Case That Could Upend Obamacare

Later today, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals will hear argument in a case that could upend the Affordable Care Act.

1975 Warren vs 1975 Biden on Busing

A law review article written when the former was a student provides an interesting contrast.

June Jobs Numbers Bust Past Expectations But Uncertainty Remains

June’s jobs report brought in stronger than expected numbers but the fact that these numbers have not been consistent all year makes one wonder what the state of the economy really is.

Trump’s 2020 Campaign Kickoff Speech Unsurprisingly Filled With Lies

Not surprisingly, the President’s opening speech of the 2020 campaign was filed with lies.

Four Years After The Worst Escalator Ride In History

Four years ago, Donald Trump began his campaign for President. What has followed has been as bad as could have been predicted that day.

The Economic Recovery Is Ten Years Old, How Much Longer Can It Last?

The current economic recovery turns ten years old this month, but it can’t last forever.

Donald Trump And The Triumph Of The Conservative Grifters

At least some conservatives appear to finally be recognizing that their movement has been taken over by grifters and frauds. The only question is, what took them so long?

Slower May Jobs Growth Adds To Fears Of Economic Downturn

May’s Jobs Report came back with disappointing jobs growth, suggesting that the economy may be slowing down.

Trump Underperforming In Texas

A new poll of Texas voters shows President Trump doing worse than expected against potential Democratic challengers. Should Republicans be worried?