Outside the Beltway

Democrats are starting to worry that low turnout could turn a good year for the GOP into a very good year.

The nastiest campaign ad of the 2014 cycle is here, and Wendy Davis should be ashamed of it.

Individual polls are likely to be volatile, so don’t pay too much attention to them.

Is former Senator Larry Pressler surging in his Independent bid to win back his old Senate seat?

Could Alison Lundergran Grimes be surging? Maybe, but we’ll need more evidence to be sure.

While the battle for the Senate remains up in the air, the Republican majority in the House remains secure.

Two weeks after it seemed to be tightening, there are signs the battle for control of the Senate may be moving in the GOP’s direction.

President Obama hits new job approval lows, while the GOP seems poised for success in November,

A number of factors unique to 2014 make it likely that control of the Senate could be up in the air for months after Election Day.

Republicans still have an advantage, but Democrats seem to be holding their own in the battle for Senate control.

One analyst thinks that the predictions of a Republican Senate in 2014 are wildly optimistic.

Trouble in paradise for two of Hawaii’s top Democrats?

It’s beginning to look like the 2016 race for the Republican nomination will have its own collection of oddballs.

As a legal matter, the new allegations against Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker don’t amount to much. But, will they impact his bid for re-election.

Some bad news for the President.

Good news for Republicans.

A grim new poll for the President and his Democratic allies.

It’s a bit too early for Republicans to be celebrating that Senate majority that so many people are predicting.

After many ballyhooed glitches, 7 million Americans have signed up for ObamaCare. Now what?

Republican leaders continue to say stupid things. They may still retake the Senate in November.

So far at least, the 2014 elections do not appear likely to be a political earthquake on the scale of 2006, 2008, or 2010.

The beginnings of a populist challenge to Hillary Clinton in 2016?

For a year that seemed to start out so well, 2013 has been among the President’s worst of this five years he’s been in office.

Time to start talking about lame ducks?

A new poll finds the American public far less supportive of the idea of the U.S. as the world’s policeman.

The Generic Congressional Ballot has shifted again, but how long will this trend last?

The trends in President Obama’s approval numbers are not moving in the direction he ought to want them to go.

Once again, pretty much everybody hates Congress. However, it’s unclear if that will matter come Election Day.

The race for Virginia Governor turned out to be much closer than many predicted, but that should not be a surprise.

Polls in Virginia don’t open for another 48 hours or so, but the end result has become fairly apparent when you look at the polls.

Some interesting polls out of Virginia today, but McAuliffe is still the clear leader in this race.

There’s still a week to go in Virginia’s Governor’s race, but it’s clear that this race is effectively over.