TikTok and the Israel-Hamas War

The popular app is influencing the opinions of its young user base.

The Polls Are Skewed!

Survey research is not without flaws. But we dismiss it at our peril.

One Year Out

Looking ahead to November 5, 2024

Public Confidence in Military Lowest in Decades

There has been a steady decline the last five years.

Hippie VW microbus Hippie VW microbus

The Good Old Days

Back when people were kinder and man’s word was his bond.

America’s “Family Secret” or Just Plain Denial?

Slavery is an inextricable part of our past, whether we want to talk about it or not.

Americans Becoming More Socially Conservative?

Gallup’s annual Values and Beliefs survey has some interesting results.

On Primary Candidacies

Thinking about what is predictive as well as the usefulness of historical case studies.

Crisis of Confidence

Why have Americans lost trust in their institutions?

Biden Approval Up

Gallup has him at his highest point in a year.

Dems in Midterms: You’re Saying There’s a Chance?

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

How Low Can Joe Go?

Approval is down (again).

Failed and Has-Been Politicians Start New Party

The Forward Party will almost certainly go nowhere.

Fixing the Primary Problem

Could Alaska point the way to a solution?

Unity My Ass

Are you going to believe this index or your own lyin’ eyes?

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Earth Day prior to signing an executive order strengthening the nation’s forests, resilience to extreme weather events, and local economies, Friday, April 22, 2022, at Seward Park in Seattle. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Earth Day prior to signing an executive order strengthening the nation’s forests, resilience to extreme weather events, and local economies, Friday, April 22, 2022, at Seward Park in Seattle. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

The Messaging is Medium

The Democrats have lots of problems. Salesmanship is pretty far down the list.

Two Years After George Floyd

Very little progress has been made towards racial justice.

The Least Dangerous Branch?

The apparently eminent demise of abortion rights has reignited an old debate.

Voters in Sour Mood Ahead of Midterms

The polls do not bode well for Democrats.

Ukraine Updates

Links and infographics.

Both-sidesing COVID

Being too cautious and careless are not equal sins.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the passing of the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Tuesday, August 10, 2021, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Breaking: Country Polarized

And Biden approval down.

Partisanship and Ideology Redux

Aggregate self-identification doesn’t tell us much, but the breakdowns do.

Stevie Wonder feeling the White House Bust of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr during a visit to the Oval Office in 2016 by White House Photographer Peter Souza. Stevie Wonder feeling the White House Bust of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr during a visit to the Oval Office in 2016 by White House Photographer Peter Souza.

In honor of MLK, some dubious tweets & a lesser-known speech

Once again, today marks a day where folks who would never have supported Dr. King decide they should praise him

Partisan ID in the United States

Gallup has the 2021 numbers.

Violence Inequality

The safety gap between affluent, white and poor, minority communities has grown over the last three decades.

The free high-resolution photo of meeting, business, brand, product, help, capital, illustration, text, graph, diagram, euro, dollar, course, banks, pension, network, loss, economy, refugees, policy, cartoon, recession, businessmen, finance, analysis, values, e commerce, stock exchange, pay, investments, profits, shares, economic crisis, financial world, financial crisis, speculation, capital market, trading floor, world economy, economic migrants, financial equalization, loans, commodity futures, date of goods , taken with an unknown camera 03/09 2017 The picture taken with The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required. The free high-resolution photo of meeting, business, brand, product, help, capital, illustration, text, graph, diagram, euro, dollar, course, banks, pension, network, loss, economy, refugees, policy, cartoon, recession, businessmen, finance, analysis, values, e commerce, stock exchange, pay, investments, profits, shares, economic crisis, financial world, financial crisis, speculation, capital market, trading floor, world economy, economic migrants, financial equalization, loans, commodity futures, date of goods , taken with an unknown camera 03/09 2017 The picture taken with The image is released free of copyrights under Creative Commons CC0. You may download, modify, distribute, and use them royalty free for anything you like, even in commercial applications. Attribution is not required.

Americans Feel Economy Much Worse Than it Is

It turns out “the economy” isn’t just one thing.

Back to SCOTUS Reform and “Legitimacy”

Doing nothing is still a choice, and the legitimacy crisis is here, like it or not.

Biden’s Polls and Magical Thinking

The President’s approval has plummeted, largely because of factors outside his control.

Biden’s Plunging Job Approval!

Democrats and Independents are losing their enthusiasm. But some perspective is needed.

Religion and the Capitol Attack

What we know about those arrested for the 6 January insurrection.

Is the Pandemic Over?

A lot of Americans think so.

Democrats Increasingly Frustrated with Congress

It turns out a 51-50 Senate majority isn’t enough.

Democrats Have 9 Point Advantage

49 percent of Americans lean Democratic, compared to 40 for Republicans. Yet a plurality identify as Independent.

Additional Thoughts on Vaccine Passports

It makes sense for large-scale venues, yes? But making sense is not the issue.

Insecurity-in-Chief

Trump brags about being the “most admired” and provides yet another example of poor understanding of data.

Election 2020 Scenarios

Some thoughts on voter enthusiasm and EV scenarios.

Could Trump Shock the World Again?

Fear of a reprise of 2016 is still with us.

Judiciary Approves Barrett Despite Democratic Boycott

Chuck Schumer and company sent a signal to their base against a fait accompli.

President Donald J. Trump boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, July 10, 2020, en route to Miami International Airport in Miami President Donald J. Trump boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, July 10, 2020, en route to Miami International Airport in Miami

No, Trump Isn’t Above 50%

Let’s just say Rasmussen is an extreme outlier.

Biden’s Lead is Historic

He has the largest lead of any challenger since modern polling began in 1936.

President Donald J. Trump boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, July 10, 2020, en route to Miami International Airport in Miami President Donald J. Trump boards Air Force One at Joint Base Andrews, Md. Friday, July 10, 2020, en route to Miami International Airport in Miami

Dissatisfied

Will we ever be satisfied?

green surgical masks on green background green surgical masks on green background

Republicans Refuse to Wear Masks

A majority of Americans of every sex, race, education, income, or region do the right thing. With one exception.

Biden’s Record Gender Gap

If the Democrats win back the White House in November, it’ll be no thanks to men.

Is Partisanship a “What” or a “Why”?

The conversation continues. (Warning: it is over 3000 words).

President Donald J. Trump, joined by Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, left, and Attorney General William Barr, displays his signature after signing an Executive Order to Prevent Hoarding and Price Gouging, Monday, March 23, 2020, in the Oval Office of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead) President Donald J. Trump, joined by Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, left, and Attorney General William Barr, displays his signature after signing an Executive Order to Prevent Hoarding and Price Gouging, Monday, March 23, 2020, in the Oval Office of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)

Trump Approval Up During Crisis

The President seems to be enjoying a mild rally effect.

America Ready for a Gay President?

It’s a reasonable question but not the right one.

Would Trump Boycott The Presidential Debates?

President Trump is reportedly considering boycotting the General Election debates next fall.