Trump Likely to be Favored in 2020

The campaign-agnostic political science models predicted a toss-up in 2016 and again in 2020.

Poll Shows Support For Gun Control Slipping Only Two Months After Florida Shooting

Two months after the shooting in Parkland, Florida, support for gun control measures seems to be slipping.

Trump Job Approval Improves Slightly, But It’s Still Historically Low

President Trump’s job approval numbers remain historically low.

Hawaii Legalizes Physician-Assisted Suicide

Late last week, Hawaii became the seventh state and eighth major American jurisdiction to legalize assisted suicide.

Democrats Need A Big Wave To Take Back The House. They Might Not Get It.

If the polls are any indication, Democrats may fall short in their bid to take back the House in November.

New Poll Shows Strong Support For A Variety Of Gun Control Measures

New polling shows that public support for several gun control proposals continue to increase in the wake of February’s shooting at a Parkland, Florida High School.

Polls Show Support For Gun Control Measures At 25-Year High

Polls released since the Parkland, Florida shooting show that support for gun control measures is at its highest level since 1993, but will it last?

Most People Don’t Care About Daylight Saving Time

A majority of Americans say their lives are not “disrupted” by the time change. They’re wrong.

Poll Shows Increased Support For Gun Control In The Wake Of Florida Shooting

New polls show increased support for various gun control measures, including limitations on so-called “assault weapons,” but that doesn’t mean we’re likely to see Congressional action on the subject.

The Politics of DACA

If Trump is able to insist upon a package deal or no deal at all, he may muck up his chance of policy success, but it may be the Democrats who lose politically.

Republican Midterm Optimism Mostly Misguided

Recent polls have caused Republicans to become more optimistic about their chances in this year’s midterms. That optimism is both premature and misplaced.

One Year Later, Trump’s Job Approval At Historic Lows

One year after his Inauguration, Donald Trump is the most unpopular new President since the invention of modern polling. However, his numbers are generally the same that they’ve been for some time now.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Global Opinion About The United States Dropped Precipitously In Trump’s First Year

Thanks to Donald Trump, public opinion around the world about the United States is at its lowest level in ten years.

Trump Administration Reverses Obama Era Policy On State Marijuana Legalization

The Trump Administration is reversing policy on an Obama Era policy that allowed states to choose their own course on marijuana laws.

John Anderson, Independent Candidate For President in 1980, Dies At 95

Most Americans are unlikely to remember John Anderson, but he was a harbinger of things to come.

Trump’s Job Approval Hits New Lows In Two New Polls

More bad polling news for President Trump.

Support For Marijuana Legalization Now Stands At 64% Of Americans, Majority Of Republicans

A new poll shows that a record majority of Americans, including a majority of Republicans, support legalization of marijuana.

Poll Shows Increased Support For Gun Control Measures In The Wake Of Las Vegas

New polling shows increased support for gun control measures in the wake of Las Vegas, but it’s not likely to last and it won’t lead to any significant action by Congress.

The Vast Majority Of Americans Don’t Own A Gun

Some interesting statistics.

Trump’s Job Approval Shows Slight Improvement But Remains At Historic Lows

President Trump’s job approval has improved slightly, but the numbers remain historically low for a newly elected President.

Hillary Clinton Has A Theory To Explain Why White Married Women Didn’t Vote For Her

Hillary Clinton has found another group to blame for her loss, educated white married women in suburbia.

A Simple Explanation for GOP Behavior vis-a-vis Trump

80% of GOP voters approve of Trump. This explains GOP behavior in large measure.

The FARC Makes the Official Transition to Political Party

A key step in the Colombian peace process.

Is Donald Trump Really As Vulnerable As He Appears?

Democrats and “Never Trump”ers shouldn’t count their chickens before they’re hatched.

Trump’s New Statement On Charlottesville: Too Little, Too Late

After two days, President Trump finally found the words to condemn the parties responsible for the violence in Charlottesville, but his remarks were far too little, far too late.

DJIA and Jobs Trend

Plus some comparisons of Trump/Obama and Trump/Bill Clinton.

Trump’s Absurdly Obsequious Cabinet Meeting

Donald Trump’s first Cabinet Meeting looked like something out of a Maoist propaganda video.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Trump’s Poll Numbers Remain Bad, And They’re Getting Worse

The polls are looking worse and worse for Donald Trump.

Trump Job Approval Falls To 38% In New Poll

Last week was one of the worst week’s the still-young Trump Administration has faced, and new tracking poll data is starting to reflect that.

Two Years After Obergefell, Public Support For Same-Sex Marriage Hits Another High

Two years after the Supreme Court’s landmark ruling, nearly two-thirds of Americans support the idea of legal marriage rights for gay and lesbian Americans.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Trump’s Job Approval Hits New Lows

Trump’s job approval numbers continue to sink.

As End Of First Hundred Days Nears, Trump’s Job Approval Continues To Slump

As he nears the end of his first 100 days in office, President Trump continues to suffer from bad poll numbers.

Trump’s Bad Poll Numbers Are Starting To Impact The GOP

President Trump’s job approval woes are starting to impact the GOP as a whole.

Canada On Track For Marijuana Legalization By Mid-2018

Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party is set to follow through on a campaign promise.

Trump’s Job Approval Numbers Hit Another Historic Low

Just about two months into office, Donald Trump’s job approval number are worse than any newly elected President since World War II.

Trump Job Approval Numbers Continue To Set Records, And Not The Good Kind

Donald Trump’s job approval numbers are the lowest for any new President since World War II. That doesn’t bode well for his Administration’s future.

Trump’s Job Approval At Historic Low For Incoming Presidents

Donald Trump’s initial job approval numbers are lower than any President since the EIsenhower Administration.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Trump Hits Negative Job Approval In Record Time

After just over a week in office, Donald Trump already has a negative job approval number. That’s a modern record.

Support For Eliminating Electoral College Hits Two-Decade Low

Notwithstanding the election results, support for eliminating the Electoral College is at a 20-year low.

California, Two Other States, Legalize Recreational Marijuana

The fight for marijuana legalization advances in California.

California, Four Other States, Set To Vote On Marijuana Legalization

If polls are any indication, voters are set to legalize marijuana in five more states on Tuesday.

Some Poll Observations

Some musings on the RCP average and such.

Third Party Candidates Excluded From Presidential, Vice-Presidential Debate

Once again, the debate commission controlled by the two major parties is excluding third-party candidates from the Presidential debates.

The Election Isn’t Over Quite Yet

Don’t be fooled into thinking that the election is “over,” because it isn’t.

Clinton Is Crushing Trump Among Younger Voters, And The GOP Is Paying The Price

America’s largest voting bloc is heavily turned off by Donald Trump, and that is posing long-term problems for Republicans in general.

Delaware Supreme Court Strikes Down Death Penalty As Unconstitutional

The death penalty appears to be effectively dead in Delaware thanks to a decision by the State Supreme Court.