Iowa was a Waste?

Who knew?

I Was Right All Along, Except When I Was Wrong

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Biden’s Veep and Cabinet Choices

The former VP is focused on beating Bernie Sanders but his team is looking ahead.

Elizabeth Warren Ends Campaign

The inevitable has happened.

Getting Over What Happened to Elizabeth Warren

Women didn’t vote for her either. But that doesn’t mean sexism didn’t play a role in her loss.

Women Are Not a Voting Bloc II

A quick follow-up.

Why 2020 Democrats Were Able to Consolidate the Moderates and 2016 Republicans Weren’t

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Super Tuesday Creates Joementum

A bad night for Bloomberg and Warren has radically reshaped the race.

A Democratic Turnout Problem?

Evidence from the four early states is not looking promising.

Warren Can’t Win

96 percent of the delegates have yet to be awarded. How can the race be down to two?

Pete Buttigieg Drops Out

The Iowa winner and New Hampshire runner-up has acknowledged the inevitable.

Warren Persistent Despite Losing Again

She’s continuing to swing at the candidates beating her at the polls.

Tom Steyer Drops Out

The billionaire has decided to stop tilting at windmills.

Super Tuesday Forecast

If the current polls are right, the race will be all but over in five days.

The Magnitude of Sanders’ Win

It comports with the polling.

Is Sanders Inevitable?

There’s no way to catch him in a six-candidate field.

Nevada Caucuses Go as Expected

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

Money Could Decide Super Tuesday

Competing in fourteen states plus overseas territories in one day is expensive.

The Buttigieg-Klobuchar Dustup

It got somewhat ugly at the kids’ table.

Nevada Democratic Debate Roundup

Most national pundits saw it differently than I did.

Democracy is Hurting Democrats

The wrong people are choosing the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Queer Activists Disrupt Buttigieg Fundraiser

Do gay candidates have a special obligation to be leftists?

Brokered Democratic Convention a Real Possibility

Could the fevered dream really come true?

Are Biden and Warren Toast?

Two early frontrunners are being written off.

America Ready for a Gay President?

It’s a reasonable question but not the right one.

Post-New Hampshire Polling

We now have five candidates in double-digits.

Deval Patrick Drops Out

The Democratic nominee will be white.

The Narrative Abides

Iowa and New Hampshire voters are changing the perception of the race.

Andrew Yang Drops Out

The math compelled it. But he outlasted several better-known candidates.

It isn’t a Dirty Trick to Vote in an Open Primary

The plurality of New Hampshire voters are unaffiliated. Should they all stay at home?

NH Sample Ballots

Post-Iowa Reset Not What You’d Expect

Biden’s support is in decline. But it’s not clear that Buttigieg is getting an Iowa bounce.

My Buttigieg Theory

How is the mayor of a modest-sized Midwestern city doing as well as he has?

Ratfucking the Democratic Primaries?

There’s a campaign to encourage anti-Trump Republicans and independents to vote in New Hampshire.

Front-Loaded Primary Schedule

The primary season has just started. It is almost over.

Has the Democratic Race Changed?

Is there a new frontrunner?

What Does “Winning” Iowa Mean?

The obsession over a singular winner ultimately makes no sense.

Iowa is the New Florida*

The caucus tallies are so riddled with errors that the DNC is calling for a recount.

Iowa Shifting the Narrative?

The media coverage continues on script.

Iowa Makes us Wait

We do not have results yet.

John Kerry Almost Certainly Not Running for President

He’s tanned, rested, and ready. But it ain’t happening.

It’s Caucus Time

How Iowa works.

DNC Making Up Rules as it Goes

Proposed mid-stream changes could help Bloomberg, hurt Sanders, and divide the party.

newspaper newspaper

Newspaper Endorsements At Odds with Polls

The leading papers in Iowa and New Hampshire are backing Klobuchar and Warren, respectively.

Democratic Primary Reset?

The 2016 frontrunners at this stage won their nominations easily. But that’s often not the case.

Democratic Debate Stage Set To Shrink Again

Next week’s Democratic debate could have as few as five candidates.

Warren And Biden Report Strong Fourth Quarter Fundraising Numbers

Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden both brought in impressive fundraising numbers for the final quarter of 2019.

Andrew Yang Raises $16.5 Million In Fourth Quarter

Andrew Yang had an impressive fourth quarter when it comes to fundraising, but it appears unlikely to help his campaign at all.

Bernie Sanders Raises Nearly $35 Million In Last Quarter Of 2019

A big fundraising quarter for the Senator from Vermont.

Pete Buttigieg Raises $24.8 Million In Final Quarter Of 2019

Pete Buttigieg had a very successful fundraising quarter at the same time he is rising in the polls.