Outside the Beltway

Is the President governing like he means it?

A generic attack ad that’s cringeworthy in the specific.

Local issues barely matter in Congressional races anymore.

We likely won’t know on Election Night.

Will voters overlook the elephant in the room?

The party in the White House is likely to lose seats.

The race is returning to expectation.

A thought inspired by the PA Senate race.

It would be nice if the legislature represented the voters and whatnot.

Hope is not a COA.

31 of the 35 Senate races next month are noncompetititve.

An example of rationalization.

And a reminder of the role of political parties.

Voting isn’t just about candidates.

Tudor’s down. No laughing or drinking, just a crippled party.

Candidate quality can matter.

They could be overstating support for Democrats. Or understating it. Or be more or less right.

And a reminder about Bannon’s wall grift.

More details from the Alaska special election.

For the first time in a long time, Presidential approval numbers and voter preferences aren’t’ aligned.

Focusing just on a given election is missing the big picture.

No one should draw conclusions about RCV from the AK special election.

A Democrat will hold the seat until January at least.

Partisanship may overcome poor candidate quality.

Rs still likely to win the chamber.

American parties are coordination problems with shared branding.

The Trumper consolidation of their control of the GOP continues.

They’re spending millions on issue ads in the wake of Dobbs.

A 2020 blowout has long been presumed. But maybe it won’t happen.

It’s early, but here are some key numbers as they exist now.

The truth is pretty obvious.

Meeting with people who are essentially couplotters should be disqualifying.

See is paying the price for her defense of democracy.

They should panic, right?

From a county-level race in New Mexico.

Pay no attention to the endorsement behind the candidate.

More ugly revelations about the football hero turned politician.

It’s not all about Trump.

From the Cliché File.

Sometimes politicians definitely say the wrong thing.

The NYT and CA41 and yet another example of telling the wrong story.

Two incumbents roared to victory despite his opposition.

An ongoing series of observations.

More on primaries with a foray into Madison and the general politics of power-seekers and incentives.

The Ohio GOP Senate contest.

A illustration from the Senate race in Georgia.

Seeing no way to win under their own label, they’ve called a Hail Mary.

Our representation problems are far, far more about structure than they are about the messaging of the parties.