How Confident Should We Be in the Polls?

Two prominent media pollsters are hedging their bets.

The Weirdest Sports Season Ever?

COVID has given us a surreal calendar.

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks prior to signing H.R. 1957- The Great American Outdoors Act Tuesday, August 4, 2020, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour) President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks prior to signing H.R. 1957- The Great American Outdoors Act Tuesday, August 4, 2020, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)

Woodward Revelations Hurting Trump

A new poll shows meaningful shifts in public attitudes.

Slow and Steady Wins the Race?

Biden is polling well, and consistently so.

#NeverTrump Democrats

A movement that has grown beyond recognition.

Trump’s Anti-Mail-in Ballot Position Backfiring?

Are Republicans eschewing absentee voting?

Pediatricians Urge In-Person School

Contra the CDC, the AAP says getting kids to class outweighs the modest risk of their catching COVID-19.

Justin Amash Running for Libertarian Nomination

The erstwhile Tea Party Republican is making a run for President.

Biden Shakes Up Campaign Staff

An encouraging sign.

Sanders Not Quitting Just Yet

The race is over but Bernie’s still running.

I Was Right All Along, Except When I Was Wrong

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

Harris Endorses Biden

The Democratic wagons continue to circle around Biden.

Bernie Sanders is Toast

He’s repelling the people he needs to mount a comeback.

Elizabeth Warren Ends Campaign

The inevitable has happened.

Getting Over What Happened to Elizabeth Warren

Women didn’t vote for her either. But that doesn’t mean sexism didn’t play a role in her loss.

Women Are Not a Voting Bloc II

A quick follow-up.

Bloomberg Drops Out, Endorses Biden

The wagons have been circled.

Why 2020 Democrats Were Able to Consolidate the Moderates and 2016 Republicans Weren’t

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

Super Tuesday Creates Joementum

A bad night for Bloomberg and Warren has radically reshaped the race.

A Democratic Turnout Problem?

Evidence from the four early states is not looking promising.

Warren Can’t Win

96 percent of the delegates have yet to be awarded. How can the race be down to two?

The Most Important Rule Of Surviving A Political Campaign Is: Don’t Quit!

The final delegate count may well be skewed.

Klobuchar Out

The field winnows further.

A White Guy in His 70s Will Be President in 2021

The women, minority, and non-geriatric candidates have been all but eliminated from the race.

Warren Persistent Despite Losing Again

She’s continuing to swing at the candidates beating her at the polls.

Joe Biden Makes it a Two-Man Race

The 78-year-old is the Comeback Kid. And the only chance of preventing a Bernie Sanders nomination.

Super Tuesday Forecast

If the current polls are right, the race will be all but over in five days.

South Carolina Debate Was Terrible

CBS did a lousy job.

Is Sanders Inevitable?

There’s no way to catch him in a six-candidate field.

Nevada Caucuses Go as Expected

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

Democracy is Hurting Democrats

The wrong people are choosing the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

The US’ Nonhierarchical Parties

Lack of control of label is lack of control, ultimately, of a party.

Brokered Democratic Convention a Real Possibility

Could the fevered dream really come true?

Are Biden and Warren Toast?

Two early frontrunners are being written off.

Back to the “Winning” Question

There was not a singular “winner” last night, so we need to stop talking like there was.

The Narrative Abides

Iowa and New Hampshire voters are changing the perception of the race.

Iowa is the New Florida*

The caucus tallies are so riddled with errors that the DNC is calling for a recount.

Iowa Shifting the Narrative?

The media coverage continues on script.

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Newspaper Endorsements At Odds with Polls

The leading papers in Iowa and New Hampshire are backing Klobuchar and Warren, respectively.

Why Democrats Have to Play By Different Rules

The Republicans are playing a different game.

Democratic Primary Reset?

The 2016 frontrunners at this stage won their nominations easily. But that’s often not the case.

Netanyahu Survives Likud Leadership Challenge

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu easily survived a challenge for leadership of the Likud Party.

Brokered Convention Fantasies: 2020 Edition

It’s time to start speculating about a brokered convention again,even though it probably isn’t going to happen.

Democrats Growing Skeptical Of ‘Medicare For All’

Even as candidates like Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders continue to base their campaigns on it, Democrats appear to be growing skeptical of ‘Medicare For All.’

Mike Bloomberg Is Running For President.

After flirting with the idea many times over the past decade and a half, Mike Bloomberg is officially running for President.

Mike Bloomberg Takes Another Step Toward Officially Running

Mike Bloomberg isn’t officially a candidate for President yet, but he’s getting closer.

Democratic Candidates Criticize Caucuses

Many of the 2020 Democratic candidates for President are arguing that the caucus process itself is unfair and undemocratic. They’re right.

Louisiana Reelects Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards

In what many are seeing as a rebuke of the President, Louisiana voters re-elected Democratic incumbent John Bel Edwards over his Republican opponent.

Democratic Voters Not Exactly Enthusiastic About Mike Bloomberg

A new poll seems to indicate that Democratic voters aren’t exactly jumping on the Mike Bloomberg train.