Outside the Beltway

Injecting data into the conversation.

President Trump is historically unpopular and has consistently trailed Joe Biden. He could still win.

The Electoral College is once again having the opposite effect of what its defenders claim.

Thinking about wildfires and electoral politics.

The President has hit rock bottom.

Black football players at Iowa complain they were treated differently—and also the same.

A hundred days out, a wave election is the best bet.

A movement that has grown beyond recognition.

More dominoes are falling. They won’t be the last.

Always look for evidence.

Iowa Republicans have had enough of being represented by a racist buffoon.

Outside agitators, including white supremacist groups, are shaping public perception of the George Floyd protests.

Another allegation of Biden misbehavior that is another category altogether.

The bad news keeps on coming.

The 58-year-old may have a post-presidency unmatched in history.

Who knew?

An encouraging sign.

Looking back at my predictions about the 2020 Democratic race.

The inevitable has happened.

Women didn’t vote for her either. But that doesn’t mean sexism didn’t play a role in her loss.

A quick follow-up.

The races are more alike—and yet more different—than we seem to remember.

A bad night for Bloomberg and Warren has radically reshaped the race.

Evidence from the four early states is not looking promising.

96 percent of the delegates have yet to be awarded. How can the race be down to two?

The final delegate count may well be skewed.

The Iowa winner and New Hampshire runner-up has acknowledged the inevitable.

The administration’s handling underscores its poor governance skills (and the degree to which it doesn’t matter to supporters).

The women, minority, and non-geriatric candidates have been all but eliminated from the race.

She’s continuing to swing at the candidates beating her at the polls.

Donald Trump is once again trying to deflect reality.

Hopefully, the final tally for a contest that shouldn’t exist.

If the current polls are right, the race will be all but over in five days.

It comports with the polling.

There’s no way to catch him in a six-candidate field.

Media overreacts to the Sanders victory all the polls predicted.

Competing in fourteen states plus overseas territories in one day is expensive.

It got somewhat ugly at the kids’ table.

The wrong people are choosing the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee.

Do gay candidates have a special obligation to be leftists?

Could the fevered dream really come true?

Two early frontrunners are being written off.

We now have five candidates in double-digits.

The Democratic nominee will be white.

There was not a singular “winner” last night, so we need to stop talking like there was.

Iowa and New Hampshire voters are changing the perception of the race.

The math compelled it. But he outlasted several better-known candidates.

Biden’s support is in decline. But it’s not clear that Buttigieg is getting an Iowa bounce.

The precise distribution of 41 measly delegates is now known. Unless there’s a recount.

How is the mayor of a modest-sized Midwestern city doing as well as he has?