Outside the Beltway

Post-convention polling at the state level holds some bad news for the Trump campaign.

Looking at the Electoral College, it’s already apparent that Donald Trump’s campaign faces a daunting, perhaps impossible, path to victory.

While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

A look at the state of the race before the two party conventions begin.

Despite a year of utter failure, one group of Republicans apparently still thinks they can deny Donald Trump the Republican nomination.

Hillary Clinton holds solid leads over Donald Trump in seven battleground states.

Many pundits are arguing that the victory for ‘Leave’ presages good news for Trump in November, but there’s no reason to believe that.

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

A new poll shows that public opinion about Donald Trump is at the lowest point its been since he entered the race. That bodes poorly for Trump, and for the the political party that has chosen to nominate him for President.

With two former Republican governors running under its banner, is there such a thing as a “Libertarian Party”?

It’s not going to happen.

With Donald Trump now destined to become the GOP nominee, some Republican insiders are trying to put together another ‘too little, too late’ strategy to stop him.

A first look at the Electoral College paints a very grim picture for Donald Trump and the GOP.

Nebraska legislators are talking about abandoning their somewhat unique method of allocating Electoral College votes.

Putting Donald Trump at the top of the ticket would likely lead to an Electoral College disaster for Republicans.

Another Republican Senator has broken ranks and called for hearings on the nomination of Merrick Garland, as another poll shows most Americans support hearings as well.

Donald Trump is motivating people! The problem for Republicans is that he’s motivating them to become citizens so they can vote against him and, potentially, other Republicans.

If Marco Rubio can’t win in his home state, where can he win?

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

Republicans are putting much on the line in their refusal to consider any Supreme Court nomination from President Obama.

As Michael Bloomberg flirts with the idea of running for President, a poll finds very little enthusiasm for the idea.

Many analysts are making the argument that Marco Rubio is the GOP’s best hope to win the General Election in 2016. That may be true, but before he can get there he needs to find a way to win the GOP nomination.

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

To a large degree, the narrative you believe will govern the 2016 elections depend on which party you want to see win. But what’s the most likely outcome?

Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.

Pure fantasy.

The 2016 election will be fought on a very small battlefield, and right now the makeup of that battlefield heavily favors the Democrats.

Ohio Governor John Kasich looks good on paper, but his campaign seems as though it’s unlikely to get out of the starting gate.

In an ordinary year, Ohio Governor John Kasich seems like he’d be a perfect candidate for Republicans in an era when winning the Buckeye State is essential to winning the White House. But things are far from ordinary in the GOP.

Even with a recent negative downturn in the polls, the reports of Hillary Clinton’s impending political demise are largely wishful thinking on the part of conservatives.

Once again, only six or seven states are likely to matter.

In a move that is clearly designed to have an impact in the General Election, Hillary Clinton came out in support of broad immigration reform in Nevada yesterday.

Mitt Romney is set to make an announcement at 11 Eastern today. [UPDATE: He’s out!]

Some on the left are suggesting Democrats should write off the South for the foreseeable future, but that would be as foolish as Republicans assuming that their dominance in the region will last as long as Democratic dominance did in the century after the Civil War.

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

The GOP is dominant in the Southern United States, but it’s unlikely to last as long as Democratic dominance of the region did.

What happened Tuesday? And what does it tell us about 2016?

Arguably the most surprising Senate race of 2014 was in Virginia, and it’s not over yet.

Everything old is new again.

Some have argued that there is an historical bias against political parties holding on to the White House for more than two terms. As with most commonly held ideas, that simply isn’t true.

It’s hard for a party to win four straight presidential elections. The Democrats may pull it off.

A new poll suggests that Republicans could be losing a constituency that is very key for them in the nation’s third most populous state.

GOP Whip Kevin McCarthy of California won the vote to replace Eric Cantor as the new GOP House Majority Leader. The question is who replaces McCarthy.

Another victory for the GOP establishment in its battle against the Tea Party.

Does the office of Vice-President serve any useful purpose anymore?