Clinton Up Four Points In New Arizona Poll

With the lone exception of Bill Clinton in 1996, Arizona hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1948. That streak could end this year.

With Three Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Momentum Appears To Be Surging

With twenty-one days to go until Election Day, things are looking very good for Hillary Clinton.

Trump In Danger In Deeply Red Utah?

Donald Trump is facing potential trouble in a state that has gone for a Democrat only twice since the end of World War II.

Clinton Keeps Pulling Ahead Heading Into Second Presidential Debate

As we head into the second Presidential debate, Hillary Clinton looks to be in very good shape.

With Five Weeks To Go, Clinton Appears To Have Momentum

With five weeks to go, the momentum in the race is moving decidedly in Hillary Clinton’s favor.

Presidential Race Remains Tight Heading Into First Debate

With just hours before the first debate, and six weeks until Election Day, the race for President remains tight.

Presidential Race Continues To Tighten With Seven Weeks To Go

With just forty-nine days left in the campaign, and less than a week before the first debate, the race for President is tighter than ever.

Despite Historic Success, Gary Johnson Struggles To Qualify For Presidential Debates

Gary Johnson is doing better than any third-party candidate in twenty years, but that doesn’t mean he’s likely to get an invitation to the upcoming Presidential debates.

With Eight Weeks To Go, A Tighter Race But It’s Still Advantage Clinton

The election is now fifty-six days away and, while the race is tighter than it has been, it’s still one in which Hillary Clinton has seemingly all the advantages.

With Nine Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Post-Convention Bounce Seems To Have Disappeared

It’s the traditional start of the campaign season, and the race for President is getting close, at least at the national level.

Supreme Court Blocks North Carolina From Enforcing Restrictive Voting Law

In a ruling that could have a real impact on the 2016 election, the Supreme Court has declined to grant a stay to a lower court ruling striking down a North Carolina law that tightened Voter ID laws and restricted early voting.

Ten Weeks Out: The Presidential Race Tightens A Bit, But Clinton Still Leads

With ten weeks to go ,there’s been some tightening in the polls but Hillary Clinton continues to maintain a commanding lead in the race for the White House.

Evan McMullin’s Presidential Campaign Not Going So Well

The “independent conservative” running for President is finding it hard to even get on the ballot.

With Eleven Weeks To Go, Hillary Clinton Appears To Be Unstoppable

It’s eleven weeks — just 77 days — until Election Day, and things are looking pretty good for Hillary Clinton, and pretty bad for Donald Trump.

Clinton Continues To Show That Virginia Probably Isn’t A Swing State This Year

Another poll confirms that Virginia is firmly in the pocket of Hillary Clinton.

Another Round Of Battleground Polls Puts Clinton In The Lead

Donald Trump’s path to 270 Electoral Votes is becoming less likely by the day.

More Bad News For Trump From State-Level Polling

New polling from the states has good news for Hillary Clinton, and an even less plausible path to 270 for Donald Trump.

Anti-Trump Republicans Get Behind Campaign Of Some Guy Nobody’s Ever Heard Of

The latest desperation bid from anti-Trump Republicans is guaranteed to make a GOP civil war more likely.

Virginia Not Exactly Looking Like A Battleground State

The Old Dominion seems like it’s going to be even more firmly Democratic in 2016.

Another Poll Brings More Bad News For Trump

The first round of post-convention polls is now complete, and it’s not looking good for The Donald.

Donald Trump’s Electoral Map Isn’t Growing, It’s Shrinking

Post-convention polling at the state level holds some bad news for the Trump campaign.

Donald Trump’s Path To Potential Victory Is Already Narrowing

Looking at the Electoral College, it’s already apparent that Donald Trump’s campaign faces a daunting, perhaps impossible, path to victory.

Could Crazy Donald Trump Actually Win The Presidency?

While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

Pre-Convention Polls Show Clinton Leading, Johnson Rising, Major Party Candidates Hated

A look at the state of the race before the two party conventions begin.

Quixotic ‘Stop Trump’ Movement Still Out There, Still Doomed To Fail

Despite a year of utter failure, one group of Republicans apparently still thinks they can deny Donald Trump the Republican nomination.

Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump In Seven Battleground States

Hillary Clinton holds solid leads over Donald Trump in seven battleground states.

What Does The Success Of Brexit Tell Us About Donald Trump’s Chances? Pretty Much Nothing

Many pundits are arguing that the victory for ‘Leave’ presages good news for Trump in November, but there’s no reason to believe that.

Sabato Predicts Electoral College Landslide for Clinton

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Americans Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

A new poll shows that public opinion about Donald Trump is at the lowest point its been since he entered the race. That bodes poorly for Trump, and for the the political party that has chosen to nominate him for President.

Gary Johnson, Bill Weld, and the ‘Libertarian Party’

With two former Republican governors running under its banner, is there such a thing as a “Libertarian Party”?

Stop Trying To Make Mitt Romney Happen

It’s not going to happen.

Republican Insiders Still Talking About Quixotic Independent Run For POTUS

With Donald Trump now destined to become the GOP nominee, some Republican insiders are trying to put together another ‘too little, too late’ strategy to stop him.

GOP Begins 2016 General Election Race With A Big Electoral College Disadvantage

A first look at the Electoral College paints a very grim picture for Donald Trump and the GOP.

Nebraska To Abandon Congressional District Method For Electoral Votes?

Nebraska legislators are talking about abandoning their somewhat unique method of allocating Electoral College votes.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Donald Trump Would Lead The GOP To Electoral College Disaster

Putting Donald Trump at the top of the ticket would likely lead to an Electoral College disaster for Republicans.

Another Senator Defects On “No Hearings, No Votes” As Public Opposition Rises

Another Republican Senator has broken ranks and called for hearings on the nomination of Merrick Garland, as another poll shows most Americans support hearings as well.

Latinos Are Becoming Citizens For The Chance To Vote Against Donald Trump

Donald Trump is motivating people! The problem for Republicans is that he’s motivating them to become citizens so they can vote against him and, potentially, other Republicans.

Trump Leads Rubio In Florida By Double Digits

If Marco Rubio can’t win in his home state, where can he win?

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Latino Voters Really, Really Dislike Donald Trump

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

Republicans Risk The Senate And The Presidency By Refusing To Consider Any SCOTUS Nominee

Republicans are putting much on the line in their refusal to consider any Supreme Court nomination from President Obama.

Who Wants Michael Bloomberg To Run For President? Practically Nobody

As Michael Bloomberg flirts with the idea of running for President, a poll finds very little enthusiasm for the idea.

The Great Rubio Hope? Maybe, But He’ll Need To Show He Can Win First

Many analysts are making the argument that Marco Rubio is the GOP’s best hope to win the General Election in 2016. That may be true, but before he can get there he needs to find a way to win the GOP nomination.

No, the US is not on the Verge of a Multi-Party System

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

The Battle Of The 2016 Narratives

To a large degree, the narrative you believe will govern the 2016 elections depend on which party you want to see win. But what’s the most likely outcome?

Republicans Underestimating Hillary Clinton?

Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.

A Webb Independent Run

Pure fantasy.

The 2016 Electoral College Battlefield Is Very Small

The 2016 election will be fought on a very small battlefield, and right now the makeup of that battlefield heavily favors the Democrats.