Ten Weeks Out: The Presidential Race Tightens A Bit, But Clinton Still Leads

With ten weeks to go ,there’s been some tightening in the polls but Hillary Clinton continues to maintain a commanding lead in the race for the White House.

Evan McMullin’s Presidential Campaign Not Going So Well

The “independent conservative” running for President is finding it hard to even get on the ballot.

With Eleven Weeks To Go, Hillary Clinton Appears To Be Unstoppable

It’s eleven weeks — just 77 days — until Election Day, and things are looking pretty good for Hillary Clinton, and pretty bad for Donald Trump.

Clinton Continues To Show That Virginia Probably Isn’t A Swing State This Year

Another poll confirms that Virginia is firmly in the pocket of Hillary Clinton.

Another Round Of Battleground Polls Puts Clinton In The Lead

Donald Trump’s path to 270 Electoral Votes is becoming less likely by the day.

More Bad News For Trump From State-Level Polling

New polling from the states has good news for Hillary Clinton, and an even less plausible path to 270 for Donald Trump.

Anti-Trump Republicans Get Behind Campaign Of Some Guy Nobody’s Ever Heard Of

The latest desperation bid from anti-Trump Republicans is guaranteed to make a GOP civil war more likely.

Virginia Not Exactly Looking Like A Battleground State

The Old Dominion seems like it’s going to be even more firmly Democratic in 2016.

Another Poll Brings More Bad News For Trump

The first round of post-convention polls is now complete, and it’s not looking good for The Donald.

Donald Trump’s Electoral Map Isn’t Growing, It’s Shrinking

Post-convention polling at the state level holds some bad news for the Trump campaign.

Donald Trump’s Path To Potential Victory Is Already Narrowing

Looking at the Electoral College, it’s already apparent that Donald Trump’s campaign faces a daunting, perhaps impossible, path to victory.

Could Crazy Donald Trump Actually Win The Presidency?

While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

Pre-Convention Polls Show Clinton Leading, Johnson Rising, Major Party Candidates Hated

A look at the state of the race before the two party conventions begin.

Quixotic ‘Stop Trump’ Movement Still Out There, Still Doomed To Fail

Despite a year of utter failure, one group of Republicans apparently still thinks they can deny Donald Trump the Republican nomination.

Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump In Seven Battleground States

Hillary Clinton holds solid leads over Donald Trump in seven battleground states.

What Does The Success Of Brexit Tell Us About Donald Trump’s Chances? Pretty Much Nothing

Many pundits are arguing that the victory for ‘Leave’ presages good news for Trump in November, but there’s no reason to believe that.

Sabato Predicts Electoral College Landslide for Clinton

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Americans Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

A new poll shows that public opinion about Donald Trump is at the lowest point its been since he entered the race. That bodes poorly for Trump, and for the the political party that has chosen to nominate him for President.

Gary Johnson, Bill Weld, and the ‘Libertarian Party’

With two former Republican governors running under its banner, is there such a thing as a “Libertarian Party”?

Stop Trying To Make Mitt Romney Happen

It’s not going to happen.

Republican Insiders Still Talking About Quixotic Independent Run For POTUS

With Donald Trump now destined to become the GOP nominee, some Republican insiders are trying to put together another ‘too little, too late’ strategy to stop him.

GOP Begins 2016 General Election Race With A Big Electoral College Disadvantage

A first look at the Electoral College paints a very grim picture for Donald Trump and the GOP.

Nebraska To Abandon Congressional District Method For Electoral Votes?

Nebraska legislators are talking about abandoning their somewhat unique method of allocating Electoral College votes.

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Donald Trump Would Lead The GOP To Electoral College Disaster

Putting Donald Trump at the top of the ticket would likely lead to an Electoral College disaster for Republicans.

Another Senator Defects On “No Hearings, No Votes” As Public Opposition Rises

Another Republican Senator has broken ranks and called for hearings on the nomination of Merrick Garland, as another poll shows most Americans support hearings as well.

Latinos Are Becoming Citizens For The Chance To Vote Against Donald Trump

Donald Trump is motivating people! The problem for Republicans is that he’s motivating them to become citizens so they can vote against him and, potentially, other Republicans.

Trump Leads Rubio In Florida By Double Digits

If Marco Rubio can’t win in his home state, where can he win?

Donald Trump Shrugging Donald Trump Shrugging

Latino Voters Really, Really Dislike Donald Trump

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

Republicans Risk The Senate And The Presidency By Refusing To Consider Any SCOTUS Nominee

Republicans are putting much on the line in their refusal to consider any Supreme Court nomination from President Obama.

Who Wants Michael Bloomberg To Run For President? Practically Nobody

As Michael Bloomberg flirts with the idea of running for President, a poll finds very little enthusiasm for the idea.

The Great Rubio Hope? Maybe, But He’ll Need To Show He Can Win First

Many analysts are making the argument that Marco Rubio is the GOP’s best hope to win the General Election in 2016. That may be true, but before he can get there he needs to find a way to win the GOP nomination.

No, the US is not on the Verge of a Multi-Party System

We will have a two party system for the foreseeable future.

The Battle Of The 2016 Narratives

To a large degree, the narrative you believe will govern the 2016 elections depend on which party you want to see win. But what’s the most likely outcome?

Republicans Underestimating Hillary Clinton?

Republicans seem to be thinking that Hillary Clinton will be an easier General Election candidate than the evidence suggests she is likely to be.

A Webb Independent Run

Pure fantasy.

The 2016 Electoral College Battlefield Is Very Small

The 2016 election will be fought on a very small battlefield, and right now the makeup of that battlefield heavily favors the Democrats.

John Kasich Begins Seemingly Quixotic Presidential Bid

Ohio Governor John Kasich looks good on paper, but his campaign seems as though it’s unlikely to get out of the starting gate.

John Kaisch To Enter Presidential Race In Late July

In an ordinary year, Ohio Governor John Kasich seems like he’d be a perfect candidate for Republicans in an era when winning the Buckeye State is essential to winning the White House. But things are far from ordinary in the GOP.

Reports Of Hillary Clinton’s Impending Political Demise Are Mostly Just Wishful Thinking

Even with a recent negative downturn in the polls, the reports of Hillary Clinton’s impending political demise are largely wishful thinking on the part of conservatives.

2016 A Close, Noncompetitive Election?

Once again, only six or seven states are likely to matter.

Making A Play For Latino Voters, Clinton Backs Path To Citizenship For Illegal Immigrants

In a move that is clearly designed to have an impact in the General Election, Hillary Clinton came out in support of broad immigration reform in Nevada yesterday.

Mitt Romney to Announce 2016 Plans Today

Mitt Romney is set to make an announcement at 11 Eastern today. [UPDATE: He’s out!]

In The Wake Of Midterm Losses, Some On The Left Say Democrats Should Write Off The South

Some on the left are suggesting Democrats should write off the South for the foreseeable future, but that would be as foolish as Republicans assuming that their dominance in the region will last as long as Democratic dominance did in the century after the Civil War.

Can Hillary Expand The Electoral College Map In 2016? In An Important Sense, It Doesn’t Matter

An adviser close to Hillary Clinton is talking about expanding the Electoral College map in 2016, but even without such an expansion the GOP faces an uphill battle.

With The Midterms Done, Will Republican State Legislators Revisit Electoral College “Reforms?”

After the 2010 elections, several newly Republican state legislatures flirted with the idea of changing the way their state allocates Electoral Votes. The outcome of last weeks elections raises the possibility that this could happen again.

A (Mostly) Solid Republican South, At Least For Now

The GOP is dominant in the Southern United States, but it’s unlikely to last as long as Democratic dominance of the region did.

What to Make of the 2014 Wave Election

What happened Tuesday? And what does it tell us about 2016?